by John Bajkowski
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|Portfolio Management Systems|
I am a strong believer in the theory that if something works you dont fix it. So it was with great apprehension that we re-examined the CAN SLIM approach. We have been testing the performance of a wide range of screening systems for over five years now and our interpretation of the CAN SLIM approach has proven to be one the most consistent and strongest-performing screens during both bull and bear markets. Our implementation of the CAN SLIM approach was based upon the second edition of William ONeils book How to Make Money in Stocks: A Winning System in Good Times or Bad.
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ONeil extended his analysis of past market winners to 600 companies that performed strongly from 1953 to 2001 and subsequently revised a number of CAN SLIM criteria. The third edition of How to Make Money in Stocks was published last year and presents the revised CAN SLIM rules. The feature article of this issue as well as the April 2003 issue of the AAII Journal detail the revised criteria. One of the significant changes is the decreased emphasis on selecting stocks with a limited supply of shares. While the CAN SLIM approach previously focused more on smaller companies, ONeil now explicitly states that the CAN SLIM system is suited for the analysis of companies of all sizes. There are many other changes, which are discussed in our feature article.
The chart here provides a quick view of our initial testing of the revised CAN SLIM approach. The revised approach has proven to be a bit more volatilerising higher and faster in the bull market of late 1990s, but then giving up its lead in the recent bear market. We plan to track both strategies for some time and report on their performance in the Stock Screens area of AAII.com as well as in the AAII Journal.