TABLE 1. Stock Strategy Performance: Winners and Losers in 2002
Strategy
Value
Total Gain (%) Monthly Variability (%) Monthly Holdings
2002* 2001 2000 1999 1998 Cumulative Std. Dev. High Low Avg. % Holdover
Cash Rich Firms -10.2 20.1 40.5 37.1 -3.8 99.9 7.8 17.6 -20.7 34 73.6
David Dreman 6.0 26.4 38.0 -3.0 -1.5 76.6 5.3 12.6 -15.4 21 68.4
David Dreman With Est Revisions 17.0 -29.9 38.7 6.7 10.7 34.3 7.4 11.4 -25.8 7 19.4
Dividend Screen—DRPs -1.9 38.9 27.7 -1.1 -4.1 65.1 5.5 15.6 -14.2 29 73.2
Dividend Screen—Non-DRPs 27.2 54.7 16.5 -3.6 0.6 122.3 4.4 10.5 -13.6 30 73.3
High Relative Dividend Yield 0.6 24.1 23.3 -2.1 6.3 60.3 5.1 12.5 -12.0 36 77.9
Dogs of the Dow -9.3 -1.2 4.1 5.7 9.8 8.2 6.2 16.1 -15.5 10 92.0
Dogs of the Dow—Low Priced 5 -6.1 7.2 3.2 -2.0 24.6 26.8 7.3 19.4 -15.8 5 82.4
Low Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow 13.4 63.8 17.8 10.0 2.6 146.9 6.7 25.1 -14.4 30 75.1
Fundamental Rule of Thumb 1.3 42.3 28.7 11.7 -9.4 87.8 8.4 33.8 -19.2 50 75.5
Graham—Defensive Investor (Non-Utility) 2.9 61.5 12.0 3.6 9.6 111.3 6.4 15.7 -14.6 20 78.5
Graham—Enterprising Investor 48.1 55.3 24.2 -5.0 -7.3 151.5 7.1 23.4 -18.7 7 68.3
Josef Lakonishok -1.9 -3.5 36.7 14.8 7.3 59.4 6.2 16.6 -13.7 18 9.2
John Neff 14.8 65.2 37.3 17.4 9.3 234.0 7.9 26.8 -20.2 18 63.5
O'Shaughnessy—Value -12.2 10.6 22.3 -3.9 7.2 22.4 6.3 15.5 -14.0 49 78.4
Joseph Piotroski -19.1 100.2 -0.9 27.1 17.9 140.4 8.8 25.7 -17.2 7 79.1
Low Price to Book -4.0 50.2 -22.7 31.1 -9.8 31.7 10.1 50.2 -18.4 0 0.0
P/E Relative 10.9 16.1 20.3 -6.0 26.5 84.1 5.3 14.9 -12.4 29 19.8
Weiss Blue Chip Div. Yield -10.0 25.6 18.8 3.9 3.3 44.2 6.9 14.3 -14.8 10 70.3
Growth & Value
Buffett—Hagstrom -8.6 13.9 11.4 31.4 27.5 94.3 6.2 13.2 -15.5 30 77.3
Buffettology—EPS Growth -11.3 25.7 5.9 17.7 4.0 44.6 6.7 15.0 -20.4 40 87.6
Buffettology—Sustainable Growth -12.8 29.7 3.3 14.6 7.4 43.8 7.3 16.5 -18.0 27 84.4
Philip Fisher -11.0 70.7 -16.7 5.4 2.6 36.8 10.8 25.6 -26.7 37 68.9
Peter Lynch -6.6 39.3 3.2 8.9 1.3 48.0 5.0 16.4 -17.4 27 77.3
Oberweis Octagon -17.1 20.2 18.4 33.4 15.6 82.0 9.4 23.3 -23.2 20 58.7
O'Shaughnessy—Growth 11.8 19.2 11.5 19.5 19.4 112.1 6.7 13.9 -17.9 49 61.2
Low Price-to-Sales 1.3 43.3 23.3 21.1 13.2 145.4 6.5 14.8 -17.8 28 57.0
Stock Market Winners 29.2 41.6 27.6 21.7 -12.0 150.0 6.2 17.5 -16.7 20 37.8
T. Rowe Price -13.1 8.4 35.2 -4.5 1.8 23.9 7.4 17.0 -18.0 17 67.4
John Templeton -32.8 22.0 20.3 8.1 16.2 23.9 7.1 14.3 -18.2 27 73.4
Value on the Move—PEG With Est Growth 9.1 34.8 22.9 11.0 2.1 104.9 6.6 15.7 -23.1 57 52.0
Value on the Move—PEG With Hist Growth 11.0 22.4 19.4 18.0 1.5 94.2 5.1 12.7 -19.1 123 63.5
Ralph Wanger -10.3 21.1 -2.8 3.2 -2.4 6.4 7.7 22.8 -19.8 27 70.9
Martin Zweig 18.1 57.9 46.2 17.1 54.5 392.9 9.4 32.7 -24.2 13 54.4
Growth
Richard Driehaus -36.8 -27.4 -8.3 107.4 nmf -12.8 14.5 51.3 -25.7 10 31.2
Foolish Small Cap 8 -21.3 -8.6 24.2 80.9 17.7 90.1 10.7 38.8 -22.5 29 65.2
Inve$tWare Quality Growth -25.3 8.0 18.5 -3.0 14.5 6.3 6.5 18.2 -22.0 31 89.3
Return on Equity -2.3 18.1 31.4 1.0 18.8 81.9 6.5 13.0 -22.2 34 81.4
William O'Neil's CANSLIM 20.7 54.4 38.0 36.6 28.2 350.3 7.7 23.6 -23.1 12 48.0
Sector/Specialty
ADRs -3.5 -5.3 9.9 4.0 2.3 6.8 7.1 31.1 -17.7 16 57.6
Dual Cash Flow -11.9 24.6 5.7 114.3 0.9 150.9 8.5 34.7 -16.2 49 68.2
Est Rev Down -43.5 26.7 -7.1 21.9 -15.0 -31.1 8.7 17.6 -23.3 215 22.4
Est Rev Down 5% -60.9 28.3 -4.2 27.8 -3.9 -40.9 10.7 23.6 -23.2 74 11.0
Est Rev Up 1.5 -3.5 2.2 38.2 29.9 79.6 7.1 12.2 -18.6 154 18.2
Est Rev Up 5% 15.0 -8.1 3.6 107.1 43.3 225.0 11.1 30.8 -21.7 38 7.4
Graham—Defensive Investor (Utility) -17.3 5.2 51.4 -8.4 14.6 38.2 5.3 12.0 -11.0 19 83.6
Insider Net Purchases -18.0 21.8 -38.3 7.5 nmf -33.7 10.3 26.7 -19.0 27 67.4
Michael Murphy Technology -78.2 26.7 -52.1 139.7 29.7 -58.9 15.9 44.7 -29.2 16 76.2
Short % Outstanding -34.4 8.3 -31.7 -26.9 nmf -64.5 13.6 33.3 -26.2 25 82.6
Short Interest Change -34.8 11.6 -51.8 111.1 nmf -26.0 13.4 34.1 -27.4 25 23.3
Short Ratio -27.7 18.3 -40.9 2.2 nmf -48.3 10.8 37.8 -24.5 25 52.6
Shadow Stocks 2.4 29.2 -10.5 16.8 -4.3 32.3 6.3 22.2 -17.4 0 0.0
Shadow Stocks—Growth Screen -25.5 65.5 -6.2 0.7 -8.8 6.2 8.0 20.8 -18.5 8 53.5
Shadow Stocks—Value Screen 8.1 57.9 17.0 3.6 13.4 134.4 6.7 20.8 -11.3 7 82.9
Indexes
All Exchange-Listed Stocks -12.4 21.2 -14.2 35.1 5.9 30.3 7.5 23.9 -20.2    
S&P 500 -22.5 -13.0 -10.1 19.5 26.7 -8.3 5.4 9.7 -14.6    
S&P/Barra 500 Growth (incl. dividends) -22.3 -12.7 -22.1 28.3 42.1 -3.6 6.1 9.2 -13.0    
S&P/Barra 500 Value (incl. dividends) -20.8 -11.7 6.1 12.7 14.7 -4.1 5.4 10.4 -16.1    
S&P MidCap 400 -15.2 -1.6 16.2 13.3 17.7 29.3 6.4 12.0 -18.7    
S&P SmallCap 600 -14.5 5.7 11.0 11.5 -2.1 9.6 6.6 13.3 -19.4    
Unless otherwise stated, figures do not include dividends or transactions costs.                                *Through 12/15/2002