• The First Cut
  • Attractively Priced Dividend Growth

    by John Bajkowski

    Attractively Priced Dividend Growth Splash image

    With May’s market volatility, investors have rediscovered the allure of dividend-paying stocks. As the price of a stock falls, its dividend yield (yield divided by price) goes up. Higher yields attract investors, provided the market views the dividend as being secure.

    A series of studies compiled by the Tweedy, Brown investment firm highlights the importance of dividends and the long-term benefits of investing in stocks with high dividend yields (www.tweedy.com/research/papers_speeches.php). Notably, the reinvestment of dividend income has played a critical role in stock returns over the years. There is substantial empirical evidence supporting a connection between high dividend yields and subsequently attractive stock returns. High-yield stocks tend to be less volatile, outperforming low-yield stocks during market downturns and recouping any bear market losses more quickly with their high dividend income. The studies also indicate that the attractiveness of high-dividend stocks holds true domestically and abroad.

    This issue’s First Cut seeks out domestic, exchange-listed dividend-paying companies trading with current dividend yields above their seven-year average. This filter helps to highlight companies that may be undervalued compared to their normal valuation levels. Only companies with a payout ratio (dividend divided by earnings) below 50% and long-term debt-to-equity ratios below 50% made the First Cut. Beyond high-dividend-yield levels, investors often look for a record of high dividend growth. The 30 stocks with the highest historical dividend growth rates and no dividend decreases over the last seven years made the First Cut. The historical earnings growth rate and the consensus I/B/E/S earnings growth rate estimate over the next three to five years are presented in the table to help you gauge the market’s growth expectations for these stocks. The 52-week price change highlights recent stock market performance, while the market cap (share price times number of shares outstanding) helps to measure the company size.

     

      Dividend Yield Growth Rate Payout
    Ratio
    (%)
    Share
    Price
    (5/21)
    ($)
    52-Wk
    Price
    Change
    (%)
    Market
    Cap
    ($ Mil)
    Description
    Historical Expected
    EPS
    (%)
    Current
    (%)
    7-Yr Avg
    (%)
    Div
    (%)
    EPS
    (%)
    Company (Exchange: Ticker)
    Flowers Foods, Inc. (N: FLO) 2.7 2.0 82.7 39.5 8.7 48.2 25.83 19 2,369.4 bakery prods
    Mattel, Inc. (M: MAT) 3.5 3.3 47.2 15.5 8.5 45.2 21.45 51 7,823.7 toy prods
    Life Partners Holdings, Inc. (M: LPHI) 4.7 2.1 46.5 61.1 2.6 45.4 21.28 47 316.2 life settlements
    Lowe's Companies, Inc. (N: LOW) 1.5 0.9 36.9 3.4 14.1 29.5 24.20 25 34,920.6 home improve 
    Noble Energy, Inc. (N: NBL) 1.2 0.7 36.9 -32.2 6.5 42.4 61.12 10 10,673.1 oil & natural gas
    Strayer Education, Inc. (M: STRA) 1.3 0.8 36.1 20.0 19.9 30.3 237.59 25 3,305.9 college education
    Roper Industries, Inc. (N: ROP) 0.7 0.6 35.8 121.8 14.4 12.9 58.04 37 5,453.9 energy systems
    Stryker Corporation (N: SYK) 1.1 0.5 35.4 18.1 11.9 22.5 52.70 36 20,906.0 medical tech
    C.H. Robinson Worldwide (M: CHRW) 1.7 1.4 33.3 22.1 13.0 45.4 58.18 19 9,651.5 logistics for freight
    EOG Resources, Inc. (N: EOG) 0.6 0.5 32.7 31.1 11.4 29.2 100.59 44 25,464.6 oil & natural gas
    AmerisourceBergen Corp. (N: ABC) 1.0 0.4 32.0 10.7 13.3 13.4 30.83 70 8,710.1 pharmaceuticals
    Expeditors International (M: EXPD) 1.0 0.7 30.2 11.1 14.2 33.3 38.30 20 8,153.6 logistics for freight
    FactSet Research Systems (N: FDS) 1.3 0.8 30.2 21.0 15.0 25.6 69.08 28 3,222.2 financial data
    Charles Schwab Corp. (N: SCHW) 1.4 0.9 29.2 35.8 14.5 48.0 16.67 -1 19,895.8 financial holding co
    Cardinal Health, Inc. (N: CAH) 2.3 0.8 27.9 4.4 9.7 36.8 33.21 36 12,024.4 healthcare supplies
    AptarGroup, Inc. (N: ATR) 1.6 1.4 25.8 10.2 9.4 29.7 38.71 26 2,627.9 natural gas energy
    Texas Instruments Inc. (N: TXN) 2.0 0.9 25.8 34.2 9.3 27.4 24.57 37 30,030.1 semiconductors
    Ross Stores, Inc. (M: ROST) 1.2 1.0 25.5 15.9 14.8 12.0 52.55 36 6,430.7 off-price apparel
    AFLAC Incorporated (N: AFL) 2.6 1.6 25.4 10.6 13.4 33.4 43.39 27 20,374.3 health & life insurance
    Rollins, Inc. (N: ROL) 1.7 1.2 24.6 17.6 -- 34.5 20.83 24 2,069.2 pest control servs
    Monsanto Company (N: MON) 1.9 1.1 23.3 18.0 15.0 43.4 54.95 -38 29,978.4 agricultural prods
    Tiffany & Co. (N: TIF) 1.9 1.2 23.0 7.2 11.3 31.9 42.72 64 5,399.0 jewelry holding co
    NIKE, Inc. (N: NKE) 1.5 1.3 22.3 13.8 13.2 29.3 71.39 39 34,674.2 footwear & apparel
    Brink's Company, The (N: BCO) 1.7 0.7 21.9 36.5 12.0 11.4 23.02 -17 1,102.6 bank security servs
    G&K Services, Inc. (M: GKSR) 1.2 0.5 21.9 -22.4 11.5 27.0 25.48 15 473.1 uniforms & supplies
    StanCorp Financial Group (N: SFG) 1.9 1.7 21.9 12.3 7.0 17.2 42.36 47 2,006.0 insurance & asset mgmt
    TJX Companies, Inc., The (N: TJX) 1.4 1.1 21.9 15.0 13.6 16.0 43.98 56 18,004.8 off-price apparel
    Wainwright Bank & Trust (M: WAIN) 3.7 2.6 21.9 -0.6 -- 41.0 8.75 12 63.9 banking servs
    Gap Inc., The (N: GPS) 1.8 1.4 20.9 16.4 10.8 22.6 22.15 39 14,783.4 specialty retailer
    Wolverine World Wide (N: WWW) 1.6 1.4 20.4 6.9 15.0 22.8 28.06 48 1,391.5 casual & work footwear
    John Bajkowski is president of AAII.


    Discussion

    Robert from SC posted over 5 years ago:

    How do I research individual stocks? Ie, enter a symbol, hit enter, sit back and study the results. As I remember, there was a time when I could do that.
    Long time Life Member.
    Thanks, Bob


    Sam from NY posted over 4 years ago:

    Unfortunately I think that is an additional fee and found in Stock Pro.


    Shanna from CO posted over 4 years ago:

    As another lifetime member, I use Toolkit 6 from Iclub.com to analyze individual stocks.


    E Coyble from MA posted over 2 years ago:

    LPHI has gone from 16 down to 3 since this article was written. It now pays a dividend yield of 11%.


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