Model Shadow Stock Portfolio: Up Modestly During an Atypical Year
After being in negative territory for a number of months, the Model Shadow Stock Portfolio showed a positive return year-to-date as of the end of November.
And after lagging for most of 2011, it finally passed the S&P 500 with a return of 1.5% compared to the S&P 500’s 0.9%, as measured by the Vanguard 500 Index fund (VFINX). Results for the past 19 years can be seen in Figure 1 and Table 2.
It is hard to get excited about such a small return, particularly in a pre-election year, when the average return on the S&P 500 index since the Great Depression has been 21.7%. But it looks like we may avoid a pre-election year negative return, a scenario that has not occurred since 1931.
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