Stock Return Outlook: Not-So-Great Expectations

by Steve Norwitz

In the unprecedented stock market boom of the late 1990s, equity investors became accustomed to double-digit annual returns as the Standard & Poor’s 500 index reeled off five straight years of gains exceeding 20%.

That bubble burst, however, and the S&P 500 produced a –4.7% annualized return from the end of 1999 through July 2004 despite the vigorous rebound in 2003.

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So, what should investors realistically expect for equity returns over the next five to 10 years?

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