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The AAII Journal

June 2013 Issue

Editor's Note »

Editor's Note

thumbnail for Editor's Note If I could use a single word to describe a theme of this month's issue, it would be correlation. It is human nature to confuse correlated events with causal events. Correlated events are ones where there is a pattern of one event followed by another. Since World War II, September has been the worst month of the year to hold stocks.

 

Features »

Using Seasonal and Cyclical Stock Market Patterns

thumbnail for Using Seasonal and Cyclical Stock Market Patterns Presidential terms, the calendar month and a basket of January indicators give insight into market direction.

 

Stock Strategies »

Valuations, Inflation and Real Returns

The Yale economics professor explains why he looks at 10 years of earnings and the importance of factoring in inflation when valuing assets.

 

Mutual Funds »

Money Funds and the Regulators

thumbnail for Money Funds and the Regulators Following the 2008 financial crisis, there has been debate about how much regulatory change is needed, including whether floating net asset values should be required.

 

Member News »

Member News 2013

thumbnail for Member News 2013 Our annual update on AAII programs and services.

 

Stock Screens »

Lowell Miller’s Best Dividend Screen

thumbnail for Lowell Miller’s Best Dividend Screen Portfolio manager Lowell Miller says the best dividend stocks combine growth, reasonable valuations, financial strength and price momentum.

 

Trading Strategies »

Is the AAII Sentiment Survey a Contrarian Indicator?

Both optimism and pessimism have had periods where they have stayed at high levels; low levels of optimism have had the highest correlation with market reversals.

 

Retired Investor »

Determining When to Switch to the RMD

Determining when to change from the 4% withdrawal rule to the RMD depends in part on your age and the types of retirement accounts you own.

 
Departments
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Cover Articles »

Using Seasonal and Cyclical Stock Market Patterns

“Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it,” proclaimed philosopher George Santayana. I believe that “those who study market history are bound to profit from it.”


Topic Archive

Below you can view the complete archives of each AAII Journal topic.