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Risk & Return

When selecting a stock screening strategy, there are a number of factors to consider, including your time horizon and risk tolerance, as well as how closely you are able to monitor your stock portfolio. While historical performance is an important component of the selection process, the market can go through periods of extreme fluctuation. As a result, it is also useful to see how various strategies perform over different market conditions. One of the values of the AAII stock screens is that you can compare the performance and risk of a variety of strategies against broad market indexes and other strategies.

The risk and return data provided here allows you to evaluate the riskiness of the AAII stock screens relative to the overall market and their price performance, including on a risk-adjusted basis and over the latest bear and bull market periods.

Note: Click on the column headers to sort by specific year.
Data as of 11/28/2014
Strategy Historical Annual
Risk & Return
Avg Ann'l Price Gain (%) Price Gain (%) Category
Risk
Index (X)
Risk Adj
Return (%)
Since
Inception
1 Yr 3 Yr 5 Yr 10 Yr
Bull Mkt
Bear Mkt
Best Worst YTD 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
MAGNET Simple 2.99 9.5 15.5 -14.4 -19.5 -0.7 13.1 276.3 -75.9 52.1 -34.0 -14.4 -31.1 -12.4 19.5 56.1 339.5 Growth & Value With Price Momentum
Murphy Technology 2.77 -15.4 -1.4 9.0 25.7 16.5 5.8 193.0 -58.3 58.5 -44.9 6.2 39.7 42.3 -29.8 40.0 28.8 Growth & Value
MAGNET Complex 2.71 8.4 11.6 -2.2 -1.8 -4.3 -6.8 -32.0 -55.9 63.0 -28.2 -11.4 32.9 -19.6 6.9 -20.4 -31.1 Growth & Value With Price Momentum
Est Rev: Lowest 30 Down 2.34 -9.9 -0.5 -21.1 2.1 1.1 -2.1 122.8 -71.0 43.0 -29.9 -24.1 29.7 9.3 -34.1 37.8 106.2 Earnings Estimates
Driehaus 2.27 9.4 13.1 3.1 17.9 20.0 18.8 401.5 -53.4 51.3 -25.7 -3.3 47.7 16.7 -14.1 65.7 106.0 Growth With Price Momentum
Foolish Small Cap 8 2.26 7.8 9.3 -26.5 -2.3 5.0 0.5 106.3 -67.7 38.8 -25.9 -31.6 32.9 16.9 -14.9 25.2 48.1 Growth With Price Momentum
Kirkpatrick Value 2.22 8.1 10.0 -20.4 1.5 -5.2 7.8 -19.6 -23.3 49.0 -25.3 -17.0 21.9 19.4 -15.1 -25.5 -8.9 Growth & Value
Fisher (Philip) 2.20 1.8 4.4 9.7 11.8 -2.9 -0.1 64.2 -58.2 32.8 -27.9 5.6 39.5 -0.6 -50.9 9.2 107.9 Growth & Value
Kirkpatrick Growth 2.15 10.7 15.5 -2.8 -0.6 2.2 14.5 97.5 -38.7 64.1 -23.1 -1.9 18.1 -9.8 -11.6 15.3 80.2 Growth With Price Momentum
Foolish Small Cap 8 Revised 2.14 10.1 14.2 -2.1 13.5 -1.2 5.5 100.9 -64.0 28.1 -31.1 -2.1 0.4 41.8 -49.2 15.4 161.0 Growth & Value
Piotroski: High F-Score 2.07 17.8 30.0 5.4 69.9 33.9 27.0 1,043.2 -53.6 43.1 -42.0 7.5 137.6 91.7 -36.4 138.8 34.6 Value
Est Rev: Down 5% 1.96 -6.1 0.0 -14.3 5.2 2.6 0.0 110.1 -63.8 33.5 -30.5 -16.5 28.2 9.2 -31.1 30.3 76.0 Earnings Estimates
O'Shaughnessy: Tiny Titans 1.93 16.5 25.7 26.8 33.0 18.4 10.2 272.1 -67.3 37.4 -21.0 21.4 54.4 20.0 -22.9 21.1 71.1 Value With Price Momentum
O'Neil's CAN SLIM 1.92 16.3 25.3 43.6 28.3 9.7 20.1 213.1 -10.1 69.6 -23.1 46.4 13.1 18.0 -10.2 -9.6 97.3 Growth With Price Momentum
Oberweis Octagon 1.92 10.1 13.4 -7.2 19.8 21.7 7.2 219.2 -70.6 24.6 -23.2 -6.1 38.9 32.6 -14.7 78.4 2.1 Growth & Value With Price Momentum
Schloss 1.92 8.2 9.7 -30.8 3.2 -3.8 5.5 18.0 -37.6 27.1 -40.4 -17.4 16.7 13.1 -35.1 12.5 57.5 Value
Zweig 1.89 12.3 17.5 -12.2 6.9 3.9 2.2 33.4 -54.4 32.7 -24.2 -13.7 26.2 6.4 -18.3 12.8 -13.3 Growth & Value
Insider Net Purchases 1.87 -8.2 -1.3 -7.3 4.9 -3.0 -6.0 62.8 -65.5 27.8 -27.2 -17.0 21.5 11.5 -31.4 7.4 59.0 Specialty
O'Neil's CAN SLIM Revised 3rd Edition 1.86 12.9 18.4 48.9 29.8 19.0 10.2 179.2 -27.8 52.7 -26.7 44.0 55.2 7.3 -30.1 42.7 16.8 Growth With Price Momentum
Est Rev: Top 30 Up 1.84 16.9 25.5 11.8 23.9 24.0 23.5 421.9 -37.8 36.4 -26.7 6.5 42.1 21.9 -2.3 47.6 110.0 Earnings Estimates
Rule #1 Investing 1.81 10.7 14.2 48.8 34.7 28.2 13.8 574.7 -54.0 27.0 -26.8 50.3 47.1 11.3 -1.0 40.0 99.8 Growth & Value
NASDAQ 100 1.81 8.0 9.1 24.4 23.6 19.7 10.7 209.8 -50.1 25.0 -27.5 20.8 35.0 16.8 2.7 19.2 53.5 Indexes
Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow 1.78 14.5 20.7 15.1 31.3 25.4 17.7 777.9 -62.8 51.2 -31.7 11.5 97.8 1.1 -7.0 39.2 147.2 Value
Est Rev: Up 5% 1.76 18.2 27.1 5.8 20.7 21.6 23.3 322.4 -23.4 30.8 -21.7 3.8 27.7 28.8 6.1 35.9 86.3 Earnings Estimates
Graham--Enterprising Investor 1.75 11.8 15.8 -12.4 -0.6 6.6 12.6 126.9 -50.3 33.1 -23.4 -11.7 9.6 1.1 -1.1 43.5 48.5 Value
Graham--Enterprising Investor Revised 1.75 15.3 21.9 31.4 9.8 11.5 24.2 353.0 -49.9 36.4 -22.4 34.0 2.1 -4.9 -4.1 32.9 168.4 Value
Fundamental Rule of Thumb 1.71 10.4 13.1 -9.1 5.4 0.1 5.5 89.2 -57.0 33.8 -19.2 -9.4 46.1 -6.9 -35.2 17.7 92.1 Value
T. Rowe Price 1.67 8.6 10.0 4.4 4.5 23.9 9.3 349.4 -62.5 33.5 -20.0 4.4 28.5 -15.0 117.4 11.9 40.1 Growth & Value
Magic Formula 1.65 8.5 9.8 -10.0 6.8 3.1 4.1 130.9 -51.6 30.7 -22.4 -12.1 27.9 7.9 -30.6 26.6 97.0 Value
Neff 1.64 14.0 18.7 0.1 18.2 18.5 10.1 303.6 -52.8 32.6 -21.7 2.4 39.5 15.0 -4.2 35.0 52.5 Growth & Value
Dogs of the Dow: Low Priced 5 1.58 0.3 2.6 10.3 20.8 18.1 0.2 259.9 -82.9 27.6 -34.8 7.4 34.5 15.7 13.1 17.3 -7.7 Value
Muhlenkamp 1.58 -4.5 -0.4 -50.7 -24.1 -24.0 -12.7 -60.9 -49.0 21.0 -26.2 -49.1 -14.3 -3.0 -45.9 2.7 45.2 Growth & Value With Price Momentum
Dual Cash Flow 1.54 11.4 14.0 1.3 14.2 10.8 6.7 182.4 -61.0 34.7 -23.6 -2.6 48.9 5.1 -21.6 31.0 76.0 Growth
O'Shaughnessy: Small Cap Growth & Value 1.53 14.3 18.5 -1.7 23.3 21.4 13.6 171.2 -50.6 18.5 -18.2 -3.1 46.8 30.3 -0.3 26.1 -3.3 Value With Price Momentum
O'Shaughnessy: Growth 1.52 13.1 16.5 -0.4 21.7 17.1 9.6 195.8 -57.2 18.6 -17.9 0.9 38.7 28.8 -7.5 21.3 22.4 Value With Price Momentum
ADR Screen 1.48 8.4 9.3 32.8 19.2 9.9 7.7 172.5 -68.7 31.1 -29.7 31.8 33.2 1.4 -25.9 18.8 53.2 Growth & Value With Price Momentum
Stock Market Winners 1.46 16.0 20.5 12.6 19.2 35.1 13.8 411.7 -51.3 22.0 -23.4 8.0 34.8 13.6 21.2 124.6 -9.0 Growth & Value With Price Momentum
Wanger (Revised) 1.44 8.7 9.7 3.5 22.9 16.3 10.0 177.4 -51.3 22.8 -19.8 0.6 51.1 23.5 -5.2 12.5 24.7 Growth & Value
O'Neil's CAN SLIM No Float 1.40 13.3 16.0 5.2 14.4 12.1 8.0 196.6 -61.6 23.5 -35.5 2.7 30.8 8.9 -3.9 20.6 36.9 Growth With Price Momentum
O'Shaughnessy: All Cap 1.38 9.7 11.0 1.6 9.1 11.0 7.4 118.0 -52.1 18.4 -21.5 -1.9 18.4 12.4 -5.0 29.4 23.3 Value With Price Momentum
All Exchange-Listed Stocks 1.38 9.5 10.6 7.6 18.1 14.2 7.3 219.5 -58.6 23.9 -22.1 4.7 38.1 14.8 -12.3 26.2 65.8 Indexes
Graham--Defensive Investor (Non-Utility) 1.38 13.8 16.5 -7.2 12.8 16.5 15.5 259.0 -52.1 25.8 -17.3 -8.6 33.9 18.9 7.0 31.4 57.9 Value
Cash Rich Firms 1.38 9.6 10.8 7.1 17.0 5.0 4.4 91.7 -45.6 17.6 -20.7 4.6 36.6 10.5 -32.8 14.4 56.9 Value
Kirkpatrick Bargain 1.37 7.7 8.1 5.9 8.7 8.8 13.3 114.5 -43.2 21.1 -21.7 3.4 7.3 14.9 3.6 9.4 22.2 Growth & Value
Dreman With Est Revisions 1.36 13.7 16.3 17.2 20.6 22.4 15.4 288.7 -39.9 21.4 -26.2 9.7 35.8 13.0 21.6 26.5 62.9 Earnings Estimates
Value on the Move--PEG With Est Growth 1.34 16.4 19.8 14.8 23.8 21.3 14.4 256.5 -50.2 15.7 -23.1 10.0 59.5 9.0 -0.3 29.7 24.2 Growth & Value With Price Momentum
O'Shaughnessy: Value 1.34 5.5 5.8 0.4 14.8 8.2 2.2 149.3 -69.1 22.0 -23.8 -2.0 29.6 20.3 -11.2 7.4 31.5 Value
Price-to-Sales 1.33 12.9 15.0 -2.4 13.6 14.6 9.1 204.3 -55.1 18.3 -20.6 -5.2 36.3 11.3 -2.6 29.6 47.1 Growth & Value
S&P SmallCap 600 Growth (TR) 1.32 8.8 9.5 2.1 18.4 19.2 9.6 238.0 -51.1 17.0 -21.7 0.8 42.6 14.9 4.1 28.0 30.7 Indexes
S&P MidCap 400 Growth (TR) 1.31 10.8 12.1 4.3 19.6 18.6 10.7 219.4 -47.7 19.0 -22.2 7.3 32.8 15.8 -0.9 30.6 38.1 Indexes
Return on Equity 1.29 10.9 12.2 -7.8 10.4 12.4 8.7 168.3 -47.2 14.6 -22.2 -8.1 34.2 10.1 -5.7 32.0 40.0 Growth
Buffettology: Sustainable Growth 1.29 10.4 11.5 6.3 16.2 14.7 11.0 226.2 -41.9 16.5 -20.4 3.9 35.8 8.8 0.7 18.4 68.0 Growth & Value
S&P SmallCap 600 1.28 7.8 8.1 3.0 18.1 17.2 7.7 204.3 -52.2 17.3 -20.2 1.7 39.7 14.8 -0.2 25.0 23.8 Indexes
Inve$tWare Quality Growth 1.26 7.7 8.0 20.9 22.3 16.4 8.9 203.8 -44.7 18.2 -22.0 20.9 30.4 19.7 -9.4 17.3 39.6 Growth
Templeton 1.26 10.1 11.1 12.8 25.0 19.7 11.0 222.3 -40.0 14.5 -23.1 9.8 29.4 31.0 3.2 22.4 54.7 Growth & Value
Dreman 1.25 10.1 11.0 9.6 18.5 14.0 7.0 144.7 -55.0 23.9 -22.2 8.5 27.6 20.6 -11.7 22.7 37.2 Growth & Value
Lynch 1.24 10.7 11.7 -7.5 5.5 4.4 6.1 111.1 -47.5 18.9 -21.3 -3.7 24.3 0.7 -27.9 24.9 82.8 Growth & Value
S&P SmallCap 600 Value (TR) 1.23 8.3 8.7 6.4 19.5 17.4 8.2 206.1 -51.0 18.4 -19.6 4.7 35.6 17.8 -1.2 24.7 20.6 Indexes
O'Shaughnessy: Growth Market Leaders 1.23 7.1 7.3 6.6 20.7 16.2 6.7 139.2 -50.5 13.6 -18.6 -4.7 48.5 15.8 -1.2 15.7 12.6 Value With Price Momentum
Weiss Blue Chip Div Yield 1.22 10.3 11.1 10.8 15.3 16.5 10.1 203.7 -43.1 16.0 -16.8 7.4 21.3 19.2 7.6 26.9 27.9 Value
Dogs of the Dow 1.22 2.6 3.3 11.9 17.1 15.7 3.5 210.2 -69.0 17.1 -23.4 10.1 27.9 9.6 10.7 19.4 8.1 Value
Buffettology: EPS Growth 1.22 10.3 11.1 5.4 19.3 17.6 11.1 258.7 -48.4 15.1 -20.8 4.1 38.4 17.4 3.8 20.5 57.5 Growth & Value
Lakonishok 1.21 13.1 14.4 12.2 16.4 16.2 14.2 219.6 -32.5 16.6 -17.9 9.2 26.8 7.5 -0.6 32.7 53.5 Value With Price Momentum
S&P MidCap 400 1.20 8.6 9.0 10.6 17.7 16.1 8.5 195.0 -50.5 14.8 -21.8 7.5 31.6 16.1 -3.1 24.9 35.0 Indexes
P/E Relative 1.13 15.3 16.5 7.7 16.5 16.6 14.4 199.0 -27.6 18.4 -18.3 6.6 29.5 14.3 -1.9 29.6 51.8 Earnings Estimates
S&P MidCap 400 Value (TR) 1.12 8.7 8.9 13.7 21.6 18.0 9.9 224.8 -49.4 15.7 -21.8 10.5 34.3 20.1 -2.4 22.8 33.7 Indexes
Buffett: Hagstrom 1.12 14.0 14.9 11.0 18.0 19.3 12.5 227.3 -39.8 13.2 -19.0 8.5 35.4 13.0 8.2 27.7 30.0 Growth & Value
S&P 500 Growth (TR) 1.10 6.5 6.5 19.1 21.0 16.8 8.9 198.0 -44.4 10.8 -16.5 16.0 35.5 14.6 4.7 15.0 31.6 Indexes
Value on the Move--PEG With Hist Growth 1.06 14.0 14.5 5.8 16.7 18.1 10.1 199.7 -50.1 12.7 -19.1 3.4 49.2 4.3 1.0 31.7 23.9 Growth & Value With Price Momentum
S&P 500 Value (TR) 1.00 6.1 6.1 14.5 20.9 15.2 7.4 187.6 -56.0 11.3 -17.1 11.9 33.7 17.7 -0.5 15.1 21.2 Indexes
S&P 500 1.00 4.6 4.6 14.5 18.3 13.5 5.8 159.1 -52.6 10.8 -16.8 11.9 29.6 13.4 0.0 12.8 23.5 Indexes
Dividend (High Relative Yield) 0.97 9.3 9.2 5.1 17.1 14.9 6.4 158.0 -40.4 12.5 -14.2 2.1 40.6 9.8 3.0 19.4 16.4 Growth & Value
Dow Jones 30 0.97 5.0 4.9 10.8 13.9 11.5 5.5 134.3 -49.3 11.8 -15.1 7.6 26.5 7.3 5.5 11.0 18.8 Indexes
Graham--Defensive Investor (Utility) 0.94 8.3 8.2 14.2 8.8 9.0 7.2 77.4 -31.4 12.0 -13.4 15.1 10.0 1.2 8.6 4.6 7.9 Value