Risk & Return

When selecting a stock screening strategy, there are a number of factors to consider, including your time horizon and risk tolerance, as well as how closely you are able to monitor your stock portfolio. While historical performance is an important component of the selection process, the market can go through periods of extreme fluctuation. As a result, it is also useful to see how various strategies perform over different market conditions. One of the values of the AAII stock screens is that you can compare the performance and risk of a variety of strategies against broad market indexes and other strategies.

The risk and return data provided here allows you to evaluate the riskiness of the AAII stock screens relative to the overall market and their price performance, including on a risk-adjusted basis and over the latest bear and bull market periods.

Note: Click on the column headers to sort by specific year.
Data as of 4/30/2015
Strategy Historical Annual
Risk & Return
Avg Ann'l Price Gain (%) Price Gain (%) Category
Risk
Index (X)
Risk Adj
Return (%)
Since
Inception
1 Yr 3 Yr 5 Yr 10 Yr
Bull Mkt
Bear Mkt
Best Worst YTD 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010
Piotroski: High F-Score 2.07 17.1 28.5 -14.0 47.0 32.8 24.5 945.5 -53.6 43.1 -42.0 -1.5 -0.3 137.6 91.7 -36.4 138.8 Value
O'Neil's CAN SLIM Revised 3rd Edition 1.87 12.9 18.5 50.3 32.8 22.2 12.4 205.8 -27.8 52.7 -26.7 14.8 37.3 55.2 7.3 -30.1 42.7 Growth With Price Momentum
Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow 1.78 14.4 20.6 12.3 32.4 19.5 17.9 834.1 -62.8 51.2 -31.7 5.6 12.4 97.8 1.1 -7.0 39.2 Value
Rule #1 Investing 1.81 10.9 14.5 21.3 31.1 24.1 14.9 647.5 -54.0 27.0 -26.8 10.8 50.3 47.1 11.3 -1.0 40.0 Growth & Value
O'Neil's CAN SLIM 1.92 16.1 24.9 37.1 26.9 17.8 18.6 223.4 -10.1 69.6 -23.1 4.9 44.1 13.1 18.0 -10.2 -9.6 Growth With Price Momentum
O'Shaughnessy: Tiny Titans 1.92 16.1 25.0 1.8 25.8 9.1 11.2 271.8 -67.3 37.4 -21.0 -3.5 25.7 54.4 20.0 -22.9 21.1 Value With Price Momentum
Value on the Move--PEG With Est Growth 1.34 16.6 20.0 31.3 23.3 18.4 15.4 294.3 -50.2 15.7 -23.1 11.8 8.9 59.5 9.0 -0.3 29.7 Growth & Value With Price Momentum
Est Rev: Top 30 Up 1.83 16.9 25.5 19.3 19.3 19.5 24.8 470.3 -37.8 36.4 -26.7 7.5 8.3 42.1 21.9 -2.3 47.6 Earnings Estimates
Wanger (Revised) 1.44 8.8 9.7 6.2 18.8 13.4 11.2 192.1 -51.3 22.8 -19.8 4.6 1.3 51.1 23.5 -5.2 12.5 Growth & Value
Est Rev: Up 5% 1.75 18.3 27.3 29.4 18.6 19.6 25.8 377.4 -23.4 30.8 -21.7 11.3 5.5 27.7 28.8 6.1 35.9 Earnings Estimates
O'Shaughnessy: Small Cap Growth & Value 1.53 14.1 18.0 3.5 18.2 15.2 13.5 172.3 -50.6 18.5 -18.2 -5.0 2.4 46.8 30.3 -0.3 26.1 Value With Price Momentum
S&P MidCap 400 Value (TR) 1.12 8.7 9.0 10.8 18.1 14.3 10.4 237.6 -49.4 15.7 -21.8 2.5 12.1 34.3 20.1 -2.4 22.8 Indexes
Inve$tWare Quality Growth 1.26 7.8 8.2 34.4 18.0 14.6 9.7 222.3 -44.7 18.2 -22.0 5.5 21.6 30.4 19.7 -9.4 17.3 Growth
O'Shaughnessy: Growth 1.51 12.9 16.2 0.4 17.7 11.4 10.3 199.5 -57.2 18.6 -17.9 0.4 1.7 38.7 28.8 -7.5 21.3 Value With Price Momentum
Dreman With Est Revisions 1.35 13.8 16.3 13.3 17.7 20.3 16.7 314.3 -39.9 21.4 -26.2 2.5 14.2 35.8 13.0 21.6 26.5 Earnings Estimates
O'Shaughnessy: Growth Market Leaders 1.23 6.9 7.0 6.3 17.5 11.1 6.1 136.8 -50.5 13.6 -18.6 -1.5 -4.2 48.5 15.8 -1.2 15.7 Value With Price Momentum
NASDAQ 100 1.80 7.9 9.0 23.2 17.4 17.1 12.0 215.3 -50.1 25.0 -27.5 4.2 17.9 35.0 16.8 2.7 19.2 Indexes
Templeton 1.26 10.2 11.1 17.4 17.3 17.7 11.2 238.6 -40.0 14.5 -23.1 2.1 13.0 29.4 31.0 3.2 22.4 Growth & Value
Stock Market Winners 1.45 16.2 20.6 15.6 17.3 29.0 13.4 467.5 -51.3 22.0 -23.4 9.2 9.7 34.8 13.6 21.2 124.6 Growth & Value With Price Momentum
Driehaus 2.25 9.5 13.2 22.4 17.2 15.9 21.2 439.7 -53.4 51.3 -25.7 4.8 -0.7 47.7 16.7 -14.1 65.7 Growth With Price Momentum
S&P 500 Growth (TR) 1.10 6.5 6.5 16.3 17.0 15.6 9.3 203.9 -44.4 10.8 -16.5 3.0 14.9 35.5 14.6 4.7 15.0 Indexes
S&P SmallCap 600 Growth (TR) 1.32 8.9 9.7 11.3 16.9 15.8 10.8 260.7 -51.1 17.0 -21.7 3.6 3.9 42.6 14.9 4.1 28.0 Indexes
S&P MidCap 400 Growth (TR) 1.30 10.8 12.1 9.2 16.9 14.4 11.1 233.6 -47.7 19.0 -22.2 4.8 7.6 32.8 15.8 -0.9 30.6 Indexes
Murphy Technology 2.76 -16.0 -1.6 -7.8 16.6 9.4 5.2 179.2 -58.3 58.5 -44.9 2.5 -1.3 39.7 42.3 -29.8 40.0 Growth & Value
S&P 500 Value (TR) 1.00 6.1 6.1 9.6 16.5 13.1 7.5 191.5 -56.0 11.3 -17.1 0.8 12.5 33.7 17.7 -0.5 15.1 Indexes
ADR Screen 1.48 8.3 9.1 5.0 16.2 11.3 8.3 174.5 -68.7 31.1 -29.7 4.3 27.3 33.2 1.4 -25.9 18.8 Growth & Value With Price Momentum
Dogs of the Dow: Low Priced 5 1.57 0.5 2.7 9.3 16.0 17.6 0.7 270.6 -82.9 27.6 -34.8 7.3 3.0 34.5 15.7 13.1 17.3 Value
Fisher (Philip) 2.22 4.0 5.4 21.6 15.7 -5.6 0.9 97.6 -58.2 32.8 -27.9 28.7 -1.3 39.5 -0.6 -50.9 9.2 Growth & Value
S&P SmallCap 600 Value (TR) 1.23 8.2 8.6 7.2 15.5 12.4 9.2 212.8 -51.0 18.4 -19.6 -0.5 7.5 35.6 17.8 -1.2 24.7 Indexes
S&P SmallCap 600 1.27 7.8 8.1 7.8 15.4 13.0 8.8 216.0 -52.2 17.3 -20.2 1.1 4.4 39.7 14.8 -0.2 25.0 Indexes
Lakonishok 1.20 13.2 14.6 17.3 15.3 14.3 14.9 245.2 -32.5 16.6 -17.9 4.3 13.0 26.8 7.5 -0.6 32.7 Value With Price Momentum
Foolish Small Cap 8 2.28 8.5 11.1 25.9 15.1 4.4 4.0 182.6 -67.7 38.8 -25.9 17.0 -19.9 32.9 16.9 -14.9 25.2 Growth With Price Momentum
S&P MidCap 400 1.19 8.6 9.1 10.6 14.9 12.8 9.2 206.8 -50.5 14.8 -21.8 3.3 8.2 31.6 16.1 -3.1 24.9 Indexes
Dreman 1.25 10.1 11.0 11.8 14.8 11.1 7.6 155.8 -55.0 23.9 -22.2 5.3 7.7 27.6 20.6 -11.7 22.7 Growth & Value
All Exchange-Listed Stocks 1.37 9.5 10.6 4.1 14.8 10.3 8.3 233.9 -58.6 23.9 -22.1 4.2 5.0 38.1 14.8 -12.3 26.2 Indexes
Neff 1.63 14.0 18.7 9.2 14.4 13.4 12.3 331.7 -52.8 32.6 -21.7 4.2 5.1 39.5 15.0 -4.2 35.0 Growth & Value
Dividend (High Relative Yield) 0.97 9.1 9.0 -1.9 14.3 12.5 7.2 159.8 -40.4 12.5 -14.2 0.8 2.0 40.6 9.8 3.0 19.4 Growth & Value
S&P 500 1.00 4.5 4.5 10.7 14.2 11.9 6.1 161.4 -52.6 10.8 -16.8 1.3 11.4 29.6 13.4 0.0 12.8 Indexes
Buffett: Hagstrom 1.12 14.0 14.9 17.4 14.2 17.1 12.9 245.8 -39.8 13.2 -19.0 4.6 9.6 35.4 13.0 8.2 27.7 Growth & Value
Cash Rich Firms 1.38 9.6 10.7 3.4 14.1 1.9 5.8 96.3 -45.6 17.6 -20.7 4.5 2.5 36.6 10.5 -32.8 14.4 Value
Value on the Move--PEG With Hist Growth 1.06 13.9 14.3 14.0 13.9 14.0 10.7 209.1 -50.1 12.7 -19.1 3.1 3.5 49.2 4.3 1.0 31.7 Growth & Value With Price Momentum
Graham--Enterprising Investor Revised 1.75 15.7 22.6 43.6 13.9 11.8 25.1 441.8 -49.9 36.4 -22.4 12.9 41.9 2.1 -4.9 -4.1 32.9 Value
P/E Relative 1.13 15.1 16.2 11.2 13.7 12.7 14.8 207.1 -27.6 18.4 -18.3 3.9 5.3 29.5 14.3 -1.9 29.6 Earnings Estimates
Buffettology: EPS Growth 1.22 10.0 10.8 5.3 13.6 13.6 11.4 258.3 -48.4 15.1 -20.8 -0.4 4.4 38.4 17.4 3.8 20.5 Growth & Value
Dogs of the Dow 1.22 2.4 3.1 5.3 12.5 13.9 3.6 206.7 -69.0 17.1 -23.4 1.9 6.8 27.9 9.6 10.7 19.4 Value
Graham--Defensive Investor (Non-Utility) 1.38 13.6 16.3 -6.4 11.3 12.7 16.8 272.7 -52.1 25.8 -17.3 9.1 -13.1 33.9 18.9 7.0 31.4 Value
Price-to-Sales 1.32 12.9 15.0 3.3 11.2 11.0 9.9 223.5 -55.1 18.3 -20.6 6.3 -5.1 36.3 11.3 -2.6 29.6 Growth & Value
Dual Cash Flow 1.53 11.2 13.8 -3.7 11.2 4.8 7.1 186.0 -61.0 34.7 -23.6 1.8 -3.2 48.9 5.1 -21.6 31.0 Growth
Buffettology: Sustainable Growth 1.28 10.0 11.0 2.5 10.9 9.2 10.7 213.6 -41.9 16.5 -20.4 -3.2 3.2 35.8 8.8 0.7 18.4 Growth & Value
O'Neil's CAN SLIM No Float 1.39 13.3 15.9 16.3 10.7 13.6 7.5 210.8 -61.6 23.5 -35.5 5.6 2.0 30.8 8.9 -3.9 20.6 Growth With Price Momentum
Dow Jones 30 0.97 4.9 4.8 7.6 10.5 10.1 5.8 134.5 -49.3 11.8 -15.1 0.1 7.5 26.5 7.3 5.5 11.0 Indexes
Weiss Blue Chip Div Yield 1.22 9.8 10.5 1.0 10.4 13.2 9.6 190.2 -43.1 16.0 -16.8 -2.6 5.4 21.3 19.2 7.6 26.9 Value
Oberweis Octagon 1.93 9.7 12.7 -5.8 10.0 8.6 8.2 203.8 -70.6 24.6 -23.2 -5.0 -5.9 38.9 32.6 -14.7 78.4 Growth & Value With Price Momentum
O'Shaughnessy: Value 1.34 5.1 5.5 -5.6 9.5 7.6 1.9 143.9 -69.1 22.0 -23.8 1.8 -5.8 29.6 20.3 -11.2 7.4 Value
O'Shaughnessy: All Cap 1.39 9.9 11.3 10.0 9.2 8.4 8.0 138.5 -52.1 18.4 -21.5 8.9 -1.4 18.4 12.4 -5.0 29.4 Value With Price Momentum
Return on Equity 1.28 10.9 12.2 1.2 7.7 9.7 9.4 181.2 -47.2 14.6 -22.2 5.6 -8.8 34.2 10.1 -5.7 32.0 Growth
Zweig 1.91 12.4 17.7 -13.8 7.2 1.5 2.3 46.0 -54.4 32.7 -24.2 10.6 -14.6 26.2 6.4 -18.3 12.8 Growth & Value
Lynch 1.25 10.9 12.0 -10.7 6.2 1.0 6.4 131.0 -47.5 18.9 -21.3 13.7 -7.2 24.3 0.7 -27.9 24.9 Growth & Value
Fundamental Rule of Thumb 1.70 10.6 13.5 1.6 5.6 -0.9 6.6 109.6 -57.0 33.8 -19.2 13.5 -11.6 46.1 -6.9 -35.2 17.7 Value
T. Rowe Price 1.66 8.5 9.8 4.4 4.5 19.3 8.3 349.4 -62.5 33.5 -20.0 0.0 4.4 28.5 -15.0 117.4 11.9 Growth & Value
Kirkpatrick Value 2.20 8.2 10.2 1.7 3.7 -4.0 11.3 -13.7 -23.3 49.0 -25.3 4.9 -15.1 21.9 19.4 -15.1 -25.5 Growth & Value
Est Rev: Down 5% 1.95 -5.1 0.6 -5.0 2.5 -0.1 2.0 129.6 -63.8 33.5 -30.5 5.6 -13.5 28.2 9.2 -31.1 30.3 Earnings Estimates
Kirkpatrick Bargain 1.36 7.4 7.7 2.2 1.6 7.1 11.4 108.0 -43.2 21.1 -21.7 -5.3 5.9 7.3 14.9 3.6 9.4 Growth & Value
MAGNET Complex 2.73 8.5 11.9 5.5 1.4 0.7 -4.1 -25.0 -55.9 63.0 -28.2 -9.2 7.4 32.9 -19.6 6.9 -20.4 Growth & Value With Price Momentum
Foolish Small Cap 8 Revised 2.13 9.8 13.5 -7.6 1.3 -7.1 5.4 89.6 -64.0 28.1 -31.1 -5.6 -2.1 0.4 41.8 -49.2 15.4 Growth & Value
Graham--Defensive Investor (Utility) 0.96 6.9 6.9 -14.1 1.3 3.8 4.9 47.3 -31.4 12.0 -13.7 -17.6 16.0 10.0 1.2 8.6 4.6 Value
Insider Net Purchases 1.87 -6.5 -0.4 10.7 1.3 -5.1 -2.9 87.7 -65.5 27.8 -27.2 8.6 -11.9 21.5 11.5 -31.4 7.4 Specialty
Est Rev: Lowest 30 Down 2.33 -8.4 0.1 -10.4 1.1 -1.8 0.7 147.7 -71.0 43.0 -29.9 6.0 -20.4 29.7 9.3 -34.1 37.8 Earnings Estimates
Schloss 1.94 8.4 10.2 22.9 0.5 0.8 4.8 33.1 -37.6 27.1 -40.4 -0.9 -5.9 16.7 13.1 -35.1 12.5 Value
Kirkpatrick Growth 2.14 10.7 15.4 5.8 0.5 2.9 15.6 108.5 -38.7 64.1 -23.1 4.8 -1.2 18.1 -9.8 -11.6 15.3 Growth With Price Momentum
Magic Formula 1.64 8.4 9.6 -12.6 -0.2 -1.6 5.9 132.4 -51.6 30.7 -22.4 6.0 -16.5 27.9 7.9 -30.6 26.6 Value
Graham--Enterprising Investor 1.78 12.2 16.7 15.4 -3.0 8.5 14.9 175.9 -50.3 33.1 -23.4 35.2 -20.6 9.6 1.1 -1.1 43.5 Value
MAGNET Simple 2.97 9.4 15.1 -5.5 -17.5 -1.1 11.8 276.0 -75.9 52.1 -34.0 0.8 -15.2 -31.1 -12.4 19.5 56.1 Growth & Value With Price Momentum
Muhlenkamp 1.59 -4.6 -0.5 -41.9 -27.7 -27.6 -12.6 -61.5 -49.0 21.0 -26.2 -2.8 -48.5 -14.3 -3.0 -45.9 2.7 Growth & Value With Price Momentum