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Risk & Return

When selecting a stock screening strategy, there are a number of factors to consider, including your time horizon and risk tolerance, as well as how closely you are able to monitor your stock portfolio. While historical performance is an important component of the selection process, the market can go through periods of extreme fluctuation. As a result, it is also useful to see how various strategies perform over different market conditions. One of the values of the AAII stock screens is that you can compare the performance and risk of a variety of strategies against broad market indexes and other strategies.

The risk and return data provided here allows you to evaluate the riskiness of the AAII stock screens relative to the overall market and their price performance, including on a risk-adjusted basis and over the latest bear and bull market periods.

Note: Click on the column headers to sort by specific year.
Data as of 6/30/2014
Strategy Historical Annual
Risk & Return
Avg Ann'l Price Gain (%) Price Gain (%) Category
Risk
Index (X)
Risk Adj
Return (%)
Since
Inception
1 Yr 3 Yr 5 Yr 10 Yr
Bull Mkt
Bear Mkt
Best Worst YTD 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
Graham--Defensive Investor (Utility) 0.91 8.6 8.4 15.1 9.1 10.1 8.6 76.7 -31.4 12.0 -13.4 14.7 10.0 1.2 8.6 4.6 7.9 Value
Dividend (High Relative Yield) 0.96 10.0 9.8 37.3 18.5 19.5 8.0 174.4 -40.4 12.5 -14.2 8.6 40.6 9.8 3.0 19.4 16.4 Growth & Value
Dow Jones 30 0.97 4.7 4.7 12.9 10.7 14.8 4.9 121.1 -49.3 11.8 -15.1 1.5 26.5 7.3 5.5 11.0 18.8 Indexes
Dividend Screen: Non-DRPs 0.91 13.9 13.2 24.6 16.0 18.1 9.0 199.5 -48.1 17.6 -15.3 7.3 22.2 18.1 4.3 25.3 25.4 Growth & Value
S&P 500 Growth (TR) 1.10 6.2 6.2 27.1 16.9 19.2 8.1 175.6 -44.4 10.8 -16.5 7.3 35.5 14.6 4.7 15.0 31.6 Indexes
S&P 500 1.00 4.4 4.4 22.0 14.1 16.4 5.6 145.7 -52.6 10.8 -16.8 6.1 29.6 13.4 0.0 12.8 23.5 Indexes
Weiss Blue Chip Div Yield 1.21 10.5 11.4 26.6 14.6 21.0 10.6 203.3 -43.1 16.0 -16.8 7.3 21.3 19.2 7.6 26.9 27.9 Value
S&P 500 Value (TR) 1.00 6.0 6.0 22.0 16.2 18.5 7.7 174.9 -56.0 11.3 -17.1 7.0 33.7 17.7 -0.5 15.1 21.2 Indexes
Graham--Defensive Investor (Non-Utility) 1.37 14.7 17.7 29.7 17.6 23.9 17.8 297.8 -52.1 25.8 -17.3 1.2 33.9 18.9 7.0 31.4 57.9 Value
O'Shaughnessy: Growth 1.51 13.6 17.2 25.8 13.6 21.7 12.1 204.7 -57.2 18.6 -17.9 4.0 38.7 28.8 -7.5 21.3 22.4 Value With Price Momentum
Lakonishok 1.20 13.2 14.5 26.2 10.3 20.5 15.1 205.2 -32.5 16.6 -17.9 4.2 26.8 7.5 -0.6 32.7 53.5 Value With Price Momentum
O'Shaughnessy: Small Cap Growth & Value 1.51 14.7 19.0 15.0 18.6 21.8 14.8 169.6 -50.6 18.5 -18.2 -3.7 46.8 30.3 -0.3 26.1 -3.3 Value With Price Momentum
Dividend Screen: DRPs 1.10 8.8 9.1 26.2 12.6 16.8 6.1 180.7 -50.4 20.5 -18.2 6.3 26.1 10.9 1.9 19.8 29.4 Growth & Value
P/E Relative 1.13 15.4 16.6 13.2 12.0 19.8 15.3 186.0 -27.6 18.4 -18.3 2.0 29.5 14.3 -1.9 29.6 51.8 Earnings Estimates
O'Shaughnessy: Growth Market Leaders 1.23 7.6 7.8 37.0 15.3 18.0 6.7 137.3 -50.5 13.6 -18.6 1.0 48.5 15.8 -1.2 15.7 12.6 Value With Price Momentum
Buffett: Hagstrom 1.11 14.0 14.9 20.1 15.0 21.1 13.4 208.3 -39.8 13.2 -19.0 2.2 35.4 13.0 8.2 27.7 30.0 Growth & Value
Value on the Move--PEG With Hist Growth 1.05 14.3 14.7 27.5 12.0 22.2 11.4 191.1 -50.1 12.7 -19.1 0.5 49.2 4.3 1.0 31.7 23.9 Growth & Value With Price Momentum
Fundamental Rule of Thumb 1.70 11.1 14.3 32.8 3.6 6.6 9.7 114.2 -57.0 33.8 -19.2 2.6 46.1 -6.9 -35.2 17.7 92.1 Value
S&P SmallCap 600 Value (TR) 1.22 8.5 8.9 21.5 16.6 20.4 9.1 205.4 -51.0 18.4 -19.6 4.5 35.6 17.8 -1.2 24.7 20.6 Indexes
Wanger (Revised) 1.43 9.0 10.1 36.2 19.5 19.1 11.2 185.5 -51.3 22.8 -19.8 3.6 51.1 23.5 -5.2 12.5 24.7 Growth & Value
T. Rowe Price 1.67 8.6 10.0 0.0 13.4 24.0 10.8 330.5 -62.5 33.5 -20.0 0.0 28.5 -15.0 117.4 11.9 40.1 Growth & Value
S&P SmallCap 600 1.27 8.0 8.4 24.0 15.4 20.5 8.7 207.0 -52.2 17.3 -20.2 2.6 39.7 14.8 -0.2 25.0 23.8 Indexes
Buffettology: Sustainable Growth 1.28 10.6 11.7 23.0 13.9 19.6 11.2 221.2 -41.9 16.5 -20.4 2.3 35.8 8.8 0.7 18.4 68.0 Growth & Value
Price-to-Sales 1.32 13.7 16.0 29.8 12.5 20.4 10.9 232.5 -55.1 18.3 -20.6 3.6 36.3 11.3 -2.6 29.6 47.1 Growth & Value
Cash Rich Firms 1.37 10.4 11.9 48.1 16.1 11.7 5.9 113.2 -45.6 17.6 -20.7 16.4 36.6 10.5 -32.8 14.4 56.9 Value
Buffettology: EPS Growth 1.22 10.4 11.3 24.3 18.2 22.2 10.9 253.3 -48.4 15.1 -20.8 2.6 38.4 17.4 3.8 20.5 57.5 Growth & Value
O'Shaughnessy: Tiny Titans 1.92 17.0 26.7 42.0 21.5 22.2 11.5 282.2 -67.3 37.4 -21.0 24.7 54.4 20.0 -22.9 21.1 71.1 Value With Price Momentum
Lynch 1.23 12.2 13.4 44.6 6.6 14.5 11.3 161.2 -47.5 18.9 -21.3 19.2 24.3 0.7 -27.9 24.9 82.8 Growth & Value
O'Shaughnessy: All Cap 1.37 10.1 11.5 19.2 8.3 14.0 10.1 126.1 -52.1 18.4 -21.5 1.8 18.4 12.4 -5.0 29.4 23.3 Value With Price Momentum
S&P SmallCap 600 Growth (TR) 1.31 9.0 9.8 25.5 16.0 23.0 10.7 241.7 -51.1 17.0 -21.7 1.9 42.6 14.9 4.1 28.0 30.7 Indexes
Kirkpatrick Bargain 1.37 7.8 8.3 6.9 4.6 13.8 15.1 111.6 -43.2 21.1 -21.7 2.0 7.3 14.9 3.6 9.4 22.2 Growth & Value
Est Rev: Up 5% 1.76 18.6 27.7 23.7 17.6 26.2 25.6 315.7 -23.4 30.8 -21.7 2.2 27.7 28.8 6.1 35.9 86.3 Earnings Estimates
Neff 1.63 14.4 19.3 21.1 12.0 22.6 11.5 305.7 -52.8 32.6 -21.7 2.9 39.5 15.0 -4.2 35.0 52.5 Growth & Value
S&P MidCap 400 1.19 8.8 9.2 23.4 13.5 20.1 9.0 193.0 -50.5 14.8 -21.8 6.7 31.6 16.1 -3.1 24.9 35.0 Indexes
S&P MidCap 400 Value (TR) 1.11 8.9 9.2 27.4 17.6 22.2 10.5 223.4 -49.4 15.7 -21.8 10.0 34.3 20.1 -2.4 22.8 33.7 Indexes
IBD Stable 70 1.19 10.3 11.0 19.5 16.6 22.2 8.9 214.0 -50.6 18.4 -21.9 -3.9 34.3 24.6 3.7 21.2 56.0 Growth
Inve$tWare Quality Growth 1.26 7.0 7.2 23.3 10.4 16.8 7.6 158.2 -44.7 18.2 -22.0 2.8 30.4 19.7 -9.4 17.3 39.6 Growth
All Exchange-Listed Stocks 1.38 9.9 11.2 32.8 14.3 19.7 8.6 236.3 -58.6 23.9 -22.1 10.2 38.1 14.8 -12.3 26.2 65.8 Indexes
S&P MidCap 400 Growth (TR) 1.30 10.9 12.3 25.6 16.8 22.0 11.2 220.6 -47.7 19.0 -22.2 5.1 32.8 15.8 -0.9 30.6 38.1 Indexes
Dreman 1.25 10.2 11.1 16.3 13.7 15.4 8.2 138.9 -55.0 23.9 -22.2 5.9 27.6 20.6 -11.7 22.7 37.2 Growth & Value
Return on Equity 1.28 11.4 12.8 17.5 8.2 17.4 9.8 180.1 -47.2 14.6 -22.2 -4.1 34.2 10.1 -5.7 32.0 40.0 Growth
Graham--Enterprising Investor Revised 1.74 15.1 21.4 8.0 2.9 17.8 24.7 289.1 -49.9 36.4 -22.4 15.1 2.1 -4.9 -4.1 32.9 168.4 Value
Magic Formula 1.64 9.2 10.9 11.8 2.5 10.5 5.2 161.4 -51.6 30.7 -22.4 -0.5 27.9 7.9 -30.6 26.6 97.0 Value
Templeton 1.24 10.4 11.3 17.2 24.4 21.7 11.6 217.7 -40.0 14.5 -23.1 8.2 29.4 31.0 3.2 22.4 54.7 Growth & Value
Kirkpatrick Growth 2.15 11.1 16.3 14.8 -5.3 12.7 16.9 108.9 -38.7 64.1 -23.1 3.7 18.1 -9.8 -11.6 15.3 80.2 Growth With Price Momentum
Value on the Move--PEG With Est Growth 1.33 16.6 19.9 34.0 17.4 23.6 15.4 236.0 -50.2 15.7 -23.1 3.7 59.5 9.0 -0.3 29.7 24.2 Growth & Value With Price Momentum
O'Neil's CAN SLIM 1.91 16.2 25.1 36.0 11.9 10.4 18.8 178.2 -10.1 69.6 -23.1 30.1 13.1 18.0 -10.2 -9.6 97.3 Growth With Price Momentum
Oberweis Octagon 1.91 10.6 14.3 25.4 15.8 24.2 10.7 243.7 -70.6 24.6 -23.2 1.2 38.9 32.6 -14.7 78.4 2.1 Growth & Value With Price Momentum
Graham--Enterprising Investor 1.75 12.7 17.4 18.8 4.7 16.0 15.5 166.0 -50.3 33.1 -23.4 3.5 9.6 1.1 -1.1 43.5 48.5 Value
Dogs of the Dow 1.22 2.3 3.1 13.5 15.0 19.7 2.8 196.2 -69.0 17.1 -23.4 5.1 27.9 9.6 10.7 19.4 8.1 Value
Stock Market Winners 1.46 16.2 20.7 10.7 22.2 32.9 15.5 390.2 -51.3 22.0 -23.4 3.5 34.8 13.6 21.2 124.6 -9.0 Growth & Value With Price Momentum
Dual Cash Flow 1.53 12.2 15.2 35.8 11.0 18.2 8.5 214.7 -61.0 34.7 -23.6 8.5 48.9 5.1 -21.6 31.0 76.0 Growth
O'Shaughnessy: Value 1.34 6.3 6.3 27.9 12.0 14.3 4.0 165.9 -69.1 22.0 -23.8 4.5 29.6 20.3 -11.2 7.4 31.5 Value
Zweig 1.83 13.6 19.4 32.3 9.7 6.0 5.9 62.4 -54.4 32.7 -24.2 5.1 26.2 6.4 -18.3 12.8 -13.3 Growth & Value
Kirkpatrick Value 2.21 8.4 10.7 -5.6 -8.1 -2.4 13.3 -14.3 -23.3 49.0 -25.3 -11.6 21.9 19.4 -15.1 -25.5 -8.9 Growth & Value
Driehaus 2.24 9.4 13.0 9.3 8.6 30.4 17.5 373.4 -53.4 51.3 -25.7 -8.7 47.7 16.7 -14.1 65.7 106.0 Growth With Price Momentum
Foolish Small Cap 8 2.26 7.8 9.5 -4.1 -6.6 10.6 1.3 102.3 -67.7 38.8 -25.9 -32.9 32.9 16.9 -14.9 25.2 48.1 Growth With Price Momentum
Dreman With Est Revisions 1.35 14.0 16.7 34.5 19.7 25.2 17.6 283.1 -39.9 21.4 -26.2 8.2 35.8 13.0 21.6 26.5 62.9 Earnings Estimates
Muhlenkamp 1.51 -3.9 -0.3 -31.6 -29.7 -21.4 -10.4 -60.3 -49.0 21.0 -26.2 -48.4 -14.3 -3.0 -45.9 2.7 45.2 Growth & Value With Price Momentum
Est Rev: Top 30 Up 1.83 17.3 26.3 31.6 20.4 29.1 26.4 427.8 -37.8 36.4 -26.7 7.7 42.1 21.9 -2.3 47.6 110.0 Earnings Estimates
O'Neil's CAN SLIM Revised 3rd Edition 1.86 12.5 17.6 72.1 20.5 18.3 8.5 132.1 -27.8 52.7 -26.7 19.7 55.2 7.3 -30.1 42.7 16.8 Growth With Price Momentum
Rule #1 Investing 1.81 11.0 14.7 80.6 31.9 37.9 14.6 593.4 -54.0 27.0 -26.8 54.5 47.1 11.3 -1.0 40.0 99.8 Growth & Value
Insider Net Purchases 1.85 -6.1 -0.3 14.3 0.3 3.9 -4.0 92.2 -65.5 27.8 -27.2 -2.0 21.5 11.5 -31.4 7.4 59.0 Specialty
NASDAQ 100 1.81 7.6 8.6 33.1 18.3 21.1 9.8 175.0 -50.1 25.0 -27.5 7.2 35.0 16.8 2.7 19.2 53.5 Indexes
Fisher (Philip) 2.20 2.8 4.8 50.5 0.9 -1.3 0.9 73.3 -58.2 32.8 -27.9 11.4 39.5 -0.6 -50.9 9.2 107.9 Growth & Value
MAGNET Complex 2.71 8.6 12.2 22.9 -2.8 -6.6 -3.5 -29.0 -55.9 63.0 -28.2 -7.5 32.9 -19.6 6.9 -20.4 -31.1 Growth & Value With Price Momentum
ADR Screen 1.48 8.6 9.7 73.8 10.9 15.2 9.5 177.4 -68.7 31.1 -29.7 34.2 33.2 1.4 -25.9 18.8 53.2 Growth & Value With Price Momentum
Est Rev: Lowest 30 Down 2.32 -5.7 1.3 24.1 1.8 13.4 1.5 198.9 -71.0 43.0 -29.9 1.8 29.7 9.3 -34.1 37.8 106.2 Earnings Estimates
Est Rev: Down 5% 1.95 -3.6 1.3 22.4 2.8 11.8 2.6 158.4 -63.8 33.5 -30.5 2.7 28.2 9.2 -31.1 30.3 76.0 Earnings Estimates
Foolish Small Cap 8 Revised 2.14 10.3 14.7 0.0 -7.3 8.2 5.0 105.1 -64.0 28.1 -31.1 0.0 0.4 41.8 -49.2 15.4 161.0 Growth & Value
Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow 1.77 14.8 21.3 69.6 22.6 37.7 18.3 780.1 -62.8 51.2 -31.7 11.8 97.8 1.1 -7.0 39.2 147.2 Value
MAGNET Simple 2.98 9.9 16.8 -18.9 -17.0 11.6 14.7 324.4 -75.9 52.1 -34.0 -3.5 -31.1 -12.4 19.5 56.1 339.5 Growth & Value With Price Momentum
Dogs of the Dow: Low Priced 5 1.58 0.1 2.4 16.4 18.4 20.9 0.0 247.0 -82.9 27.6 -34.8 3.5 34.5 15.7 13.1 17.3 -7.7 Value
O'Neil's CAN SLIM No Float 1.39 13.4 16.0 10.6 8.8 16.9 7.4 178.4 -61.6 23.5 -35.5 -3.6 30.8 8.9 -3.9 20.6 36.9 Growth With Price Momentum
Schloss 1.91 8.0 9.4 -18.3 -3.9 -5.6 3.0 9.3 -37.6 27.1 -40.4 -23.4 16.7 13.1 -35.1 12.5 57.5 Value
Piotroski: High F-Score 2.06 18.6 31.4 44.3 54.9 46.8 27.3 1,122.5 -53.6 43.1 -42.0 14.9 137.6 91.7 -36.4 138.8 34.6 Value
Murphy Technology 2.76 -12.6 -0.4 45.8 21.9 20.9 9.4 247.8 -58.3 58.5 -44.9 26.1 39.7 42.3 -29.8 40.0 28.8 Growth & Value