| TABLE 1. Performance of Stock Screens on AAII's Web Site. (Ranked by 2004) |
| |
Price Change (%) |
Monthly Variability (%) |
Monthly Holdings |
| Value Strategies |
2004* |
2003 |
2002 |
2001 |
2000 |
1999 |
1998 |
Cum'l* |
Std Dev |
Gain |
Loss |
Avg # |
Turnover % |
| Piotroski |
62.3 |
154.6 |
-15.9 |
100.2 |
-0.9 |
27.1 |
17.9 |
933.2 |
9.1 |
34.3 |
-17.2 |
7 |
21.3 |
| Dreman With Est Revisions |
32.9 |
69.2 |
16.6 |
-29.9 |
38.7 |
6.7 |
10.7 |
200.8 |
6.7 |
11.4 |
-25.8 |
11 |
79.5 |
| Fundamental Rule of Thumb |
31.1 |
83.3 |
4.7 |
42.3 |
28.7 |
11.7 |
-9.4 |
366.1 |
8.1 |
33.8 |
-19.2 |
50 |
23.0 |
| Lakonishok |
27.1 |
39.9 |
-5.2 |
-3.5 |
36.7 |
14.8 |
7.3 |
174.0 |
5.9 |
16.6 |
-13.7 |
24 |
90.9 |
| Neff |
23.1 |
85.1 |
15.0 |
65.2 |
37.3 |
17.4 |
9.3 |
662.9 |
7.4 |
26.8 |
-20.2 |
18 |
36.0 |
| P/E Relative |
21.8 |
51.1 |
11.1 |
16.1 |
20.3 |
-6.0 |
26.5 |
239.6 |
4.8 |
14.9 |
-12.4 |
33 |
78.5 |
| Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow |
21.1 |
61.7 |
13.6 |
63.8 |
17.8 |
10.0 |
2.6 |
384.5 |
6.3 |
25.1 |
-14.4 |
30 |
24.1 |
| Dividend Screen—Non-DRPs |
19.4 |
40.5 |
28.6 |
54.7 |
16.5 |
-3.6 |
0.6 |
276.9 |
3.9 |
10.5 |
-13.6 |
30 |
28.4 |
| Graham—Enterprising Investor |
19.1 |
25.9 |
43.5 |
55.3 |
24.2 |
-5.0 |
-7.3 |
265.6 |
8.1 |
33.1 |
-18.7 |
6 |
33.4 |
| Dreman |
17.2 |
37.7 |
8.3 |
26.4 |
38.0 |
-3.0 |
-1.5 |
191.1 |
4.9 |
12.6 |
-15.4 |
21 |
30.4 |
| Dividend (High Relative Yield) |
16.2 |
27.9 |
0.4 |
24.1 |
23.3 |
-2.1 |
6.3 |
137.6 |
4.6 |
12.5 |
-12.0 |
38 |
21.4 |
| Cash Rich Firms |
15.7 |
64.0 |
-9.4 |
20.1 |
40.5 |
37.1 |
-3.8 |
283.0 |
7.0 |
17.6 |
-20.7 |
33 |
24.5 |
| Dividend Screen—DRPs |
14.2 |
28.3 |
-1.2 |
38.9 |
27.7 |
-1.1 |
-4.1 |
143.6 |
4.9 |
15.6 |
-14.2 |
30 |
25.7 |
| O'Shaughnessy—Value |
14.2 |
47.2 |
-12.1 |
10.6 |
22.3 |
-3.9 |
7.2 |
106.0 |
5.8 |
15.5 |
-14.0 |
50 |
20.2 |
| Weiss Blue Chip Div Yield |
13.9 |
48.9 |
-14.1 |
25.6 |
18.8 |
3.9 |
3.3 |
133.4 |
6.5 |
14.3 |
-14.8 |
10 |
27.0 |
| Graham—Defensive Investor (Non-Utility) |
6.9 |
32.7 |
3.1 |
61.5 |
12.0 |
3.6 |
9.6 |
200.0 |
6.1 |
15.7 |
-14.6 |
18 |
20.6 |
| Dogs of the Dow—Low Priced 5 |
2.1 |
17.6 |
-6.5 |
7.2 |
3.2 |
-2.0 |
24.6 |
51.6 |
6.7 |
19.4 |
-15.8 |
5 |
16.9 |
| Dogs of the Dow |
-4.9 |
20.4 |
-9.8 |
-1.2 |
4.1 |
5.7 |
9.8 |
23.2 |
5.7 |
16.1 |
-15.5 |
10 |
7.7 |
| Growth & Value Strategies |
2004* |
2003 |
2002 |
2001 |
2000 |
1999 |
1998 |
Total* |
Std Dev |
Gain |
Loss |
Avg # |
Turnover % |
| Lynch |
53.3 |
59.0 |
-7.2 |
39.3 |
3.2 |
8.9 |
1.3 |
258.5 |
5.4 |
18.9 |
-17.4 |
24 |
23.0 |
| Value on the Move—PEG With Est Growth |
50.6 |
87.0 |
7.9 |
34.8 |
22.9 |
11.0 |
2.1 |
471.0 |
6.3 |
15.7 |
-23.1 |
49 |
46.2 |
| Zweig |
39.4 |
88.8 |
16.9 |
57.9 |
46.2 |
17.1 |
54.5 |
1,183.2 |
8.7 |
32.7 |
-24.2 |
13 |
44.3 |
| T. Rowe Price |
38.0 |
39.2 |
-15.1 |
8.4 |
35.2 |
-4.5 |
1.8 |
132.6 |
6.7 |
17.0 |
-18.0 |
14 |
34.1 |
| Oberweis Octagon |
34.5 |
67.8 |
-17.5 |
20.2 |
18.4 |
33.4 |
15.6 |
308.9 |
9.2 |
23.3 |
-23.2 |
17 |
42.1 |
| O'Shaughnessy—Growth |
29.8 |
90.3 |
10.1 |
19.2 |
11.5 |
19.5 |
19.4 |
415.9 |
6.9 |
18.6 |
-17.9 |
50 |
38.7 |
| Muhlenkamp |
28.0 |
41.2 |
5.9 |
43.5 |
22.2 |
12.8 |
-6.6 |
253.4 |
5.6 |
15.1 |
-17.6 |
22 |
25.8 |
| Value on the Move—PEG With Hist Growth |
27.7 |
50.1 |
12.1 |
22.4 |
19.4 |
18.0 |
1.5 |
276.1 |
4.7 |
12.7 |
-19.1 |
103 |
37.0 |
| Buffett—Hagstrom |
24.9 |
35.2 |
-8.7 |
13.9 |
11.4 |
31.4 |
27.5 |
227.7 |
5.4 |
13.2 |
-15.5 |
30 |
23.1 |
| Templeton |
19.3 |
46.8 |
-32.6 |
22.0 |
20.3 |
8.1 |
16.2 |
117.7 |
6.3 |
14.3 |
-18.2 |
26 |
26.4 |
| Buffettology—Sustainable Growth |
12.9 |
37.6 |
-11.9 |
29.7 |
3.3 |
14.6 |
7.4 |
125.6 |
6.5 |
16.5 |
-18.0 |
29 |
15.0 |
| Wanger (Revised) |
12.4 |
53.2 |
-13.1 |
21.1 |
-2.8 |
3.2 |
-2.4 |
77.6 |
7.2 |
22.8 |
-19.8 |
29 |
27.0 |
| Stock Market Winners |
10.8 |
131.5 |
32.1 |
41.6 |
27.6 |
21.7 |
-12.0 |
555.7 |
7.2 |
22.0 |
-23.4 |
18 |
61.1 |
| Buffettology—EPS
Growth |
9.1 |
32.8 |
-10.9 |
25.7 |
5.9 |
17.7 |
4.0 |
110.6 |
6.0 |
15.0 |
-20.4 |
40 |
11.8 |
| Price-to-Sales |
5.4 |
69.8 |
1.3 |
43.3 |
23.3 |
21.1 |
13.2 |
338.8 |
6.3 |
14.8 |
-17.8 |
46 |
42.0 |
| Fisher (Philip) |
-6.9 |
78.1 |
-10.7 |
70.7 |
-16.7 |
5.4 |
2.6 |
127.7 |
10.9 |
27.1 |
-27.9 |
28 |
35.1 |
| Growth Strategies |
2004* |
2003 |
2002 |
2001 |
2000 |
1999 |
1998 |
Total* |
Std Dev |
Gain |
Loss |
Avg # |
Turnover % |
| IBD Stable 70 |
23.8 |
51.1 |
-11.0 |
9.5 |
23.9 |
3.6 |
21.9 |
185.0 |
5.3 |
12.0 |
-18.9 |
59 |
10.8 |
| Return on Equity |
18.3 |
46.9 |
-3.8 |
18.1 |
31.4 |
1.0 |
18.8 |
211.5 |
6.0 |
13.0 |
-22.2 |
33 |
20.1 |
| Inve$tWare Quality Growth |
14.4 |
33.3 |
-25.0 |
8.0 |
18.5 |
-3.0 |
14.5 |
62.6 |
5.8 |
18.2 |
-22.0 |
29 |
11.7 |
| Foolish Small Cap 8 |
5.2 |
107.7 |
-19.4 |
-8.6 |
24.2 |
80.9 |
17.7 |
325.4 |
9.9 |
38.8 |
-22.5 |
26 |
34.7 |
| O'Neil's CAN SLIM Revised 3rd Edition |
-5.6 |
74.7 |
-10.3 |
33.4 |
96.3 |
59.0 |
7.8 |
563.7 |
9.8 |
52.7 |
-26.7 |
8 |
64.0 |
| O'Neil's CAN SLIM |
-8.0 |
79.0 |
20.5 |
54.4 |
38.0 |
36.6 |
28.2 |
640.5 |
7.0 |
23.6 |
-23.1 |
10 |
54.5 |
| Foolish Small Cap 8 Revised |
-12.5 |
67.8 |
22.2 |
29.5 |
51.5 |
36.5 |
12.4 |
439.9 |
9.4 |
26.6 |
-24.2 |
8 |
31.3 |
| Driehaus |
-14.0 |
87.8 |
-42.6 |
-27.4 |
-8.3 |
107.4 |
nmf |
28.0 |
12.5 |
51.3 |
-25.7 |
13 |
64.8 |
| Sector/Specialty Strategies |
2004* |
2003 |
2002 |
2001 |
2000 |
1999 |
1998 |
Total* |
Std Dev |
Gain |
Loss |
Avg # |
Turnover % |
| Murphy Technology |
87.7 |
-33.7 |
-79.6 |
26.7 |
-52.1 |
139.7 |
29.7 |
-52.2 |
16.8 |
58.5 |
-44.9 |
12 |
22.5 |
| Insider Net Purchases |
27.8 |
86.8 |
-20.9 |
21.8 |
-38.3 |
7.5 |
nmf |
52.6 |
9.1 |
26.7 |
-19.0 |
27 |
30.1 |
| Est Rev Up 5% |
25.2 |
75.0 |
12.9 |
-8.1 |
3.6 |
107.1 |
43.3 |
598.8 |
9.8 |
30.8 |
-21.7 |
41 |
93.0 |
| Est Rev Up |
20.6 |
57.3 |
0.8 |
-3.5 |
2.2 |
38.2 |
29.9 |
238.2 |
6.4 |
12.2 |
-18.6 |
164 |
81.5 |
| Dual Cash Flow |
17.5 |
66.9 |
-13.9 |
24.6 |
5.7 |
114.3 |
0.9 |
380.7 |
7.6 |
34.7 |
-16.2 |
58 |
31.5 |
| Graham—Defensive Investor (Utility) |
13.8 |
16.6 |
-15.9 |
5.2 |
51.4 |
-8.4 |
14.6 |
86.4 |
4.8 |
12.0 |
-11.0 |
18 |
15.3 |
| ADRs |
9.1 |
82.3 |
-4.4 |
-5.3 |
9.9 |
4.0 |
2.3 |
110.4 |
6.8 |
31.1 |
-17.7 |
19 |
42.8 |
| Est Rev Down |
8.7 |
51.8 |
-43.8 |
26.7 |
-7.1 |
21.9 |
-15.0 |
13.1 |
7.9 |
17.6 |
-23.3 |
196 |
78.9 |
| Est Rev Down 5% |
1.9 |
70.9 |
-61.5 |
28.3 |
-4.2 |
27.8 |
-3.9 |
1.2 |
9.8 |
23.6 |
-23.2 |
70 |
89.4 |
| Short Interest Change |
-1.7 |
120.5 |
-34.9 |
11.6 |
-51.8 |
111.1 |
nmf |
60.2 |
11.7 |
34.1 |
-27.4 |
25 |
82.8 |
| Short % Outstanding |
-7.0 |
88.5 |
-35.6 |
8.3 |
-31.7 |
-26.9 |
nmf |
-38.9 |
12.0 |
33.3 |
-26.2 |
25 |
17.6 |
| Short Ratio |
-7.2 |
52.1 |
-30.7 |
18.3 |
-40.9 |
2.2 |
nmf |
-30.2 |
10.0 |
37.8 |
-24.5 |
25 |
50.3 |
| Indexes |
2004* |
2003 |
2002 |
2001 |
2000 |
1999 |
1998 |
Total* |
Std Dev |
Gain |
Loss |
|
| All Exchange-Listed Stocks |
17.0 |
81.1 |
-13.3 |
21.2 |
-14.2 |
35.1 |
5.9 |
173.6 |
6.9 |
23.9 |
-20.2 |
| Dow Jones 30 |
0.9 |
25.3 |
-16.8 |
-7.1 |
-6.2 |
25.2 |
16.1 |
33.3 |
4.9 |
11.8 |
-15.1 |
| Nasdaq 100 |
9.3 |
49.1 |
-37.6 |
-32.7 |
-36.8 |
102.0 |
85.5 |
62.1 |
11.0 |
25.0 |
-27.5 |
| S&P 500 |
6.1 |
26.4 |
-23.4 |
-13.0 |
-10.1 |
19.5 |
26.7 |
21.6 |
4.9 |
9.7 |
-14.6 |
| S&P/Barra 500 Growth (incl dividends) |
4.5 |
25.7 |
-23.6 |
-12.7 |
-22.1 |
28.2 |
42.2 |
24.4 |
5.4 |
9.2 |
-13.0 |
| S&P/Barra 500 Value (incl dividends) |
12.6 |
31.8 |
-20.9 |
-11.7 |
6.1 |
12.7 |
14.7 |
42.2 |
5.0 |
10.4 |
-16.1 |
| S&P MidCap 400 |
11.3 |
34.0 |
-15.4 |
-1.6 |
16.2 |
13.3 |
17.7 |
92.4 |
5.7 |
12.0 |
-18.7 |
| S&P MidCap Growth (incl dividends) |
10.5 |
31.3 |
-19.2 |
-8.0 |
9.2 |
28.7 |
34.9 |
104.6 |
6.8 |
19.6 |
-20.8 |
| S&P MidCap Value (incl dividends) |
14.8 |
40.2 |
-10.1 |
7.1 |
27.8 |
2.3 |
4.7 |
112.2 |
5.2 |
15.3 |
-16.4 |
| S&P SmallCap 600 |
17.6 |
37.8 |
-15.3 |
5.7 |
11.0 |
11.5 |
-2.1 |
75.9 |
6.1 |
13.3 |
-19.4 |
| S&P SmallCap Growth (incl dividends) |
17.4 |
37.4 |
-15.4 |
-1.2 |
0.6 |
19.6 |
2.3 |
66.0 |
6.6 |
20.9 |
-20.5 |
| S&P SmallCap Value (incl dividends) |
20.1 |
40.0 |
-14.5 |
13.1 |
20.9 |
3.0 |
-5.1 |
92.3 |
5.7 |
14.1 |
-18.0 |
|
Unless otherwise stated, figures do not include dividends or transactions costs.
* Through 12/10/2004
|