Philip Tetlock

Website: http://www.sas.upenn.edu/tetlock/

Twitter Feed: @PTetlock

Books: “Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction,” with Dan Gardner

Biography:

Philip Tetlock was born in Canada and did his undergraduate work at the University of British Columbia, followed by doctoral work at Yale University (Ph.D., 1979). He's served on the faculty at the University of Pennsylvania, currently as Annenberg University Professor (appointments in Wharton, psychology, and political science), University of California, Berkeley (Mitchell Endowed Chair in the Haas School), and The Ohio State University (Burt Endowed Chair in psychology and political science). Tetlock has also been a fellow at the Center for Advanced Study in the Behavioral Sciences (Stanford) and the Russell Sage Foundation.

Tetlock has received awards from professional and scientific organizations that include the American Psychological Association, American Political Science Association, American Association for the Advancement of Science, International Society of Political Psychology, American Academy of Arts and Sciences, and the National Academy of Sciences. He has published roughly 200 articles in peer-refereed journals and edited or written 10 books, including "Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction” (Crown Publishers, 2015)

Tetlock's research programs have explored a variety of topics, including the challenges of assessing "good judgment" in both laboratory and real-world settings and the criteria that social scientists use in judging judgment and drawing normative conclusions about bias and error.