The Stanford Center on Longevity in collaboration with the Society of Actuaries analyzed 292 retirement income strategies to find one that most middle-income retirees could implement with any traditional IRA or 401(k). The strategies used various combinations of Social Security, annuities, systematic withdrawals (aka the 4% Rule) and reverse mortgages.
The analysis led to the creation of the Spend Safely in Retirement Strategy. The strategy is based on a combination of delaying when Social Security benefits are claimed and using required minimum withdrawals (RMDs).
The cornerstone of the strategy is Social Security, which was described as being “close to the perfect retirement income generator.” This is because it helps to maximize the amount of expected income, it protects against both longevity and inflation, and part or all of income can be excluded from taxation.
In addition, Social Security accounts for between 75% and 85% of total retirement income for middle-income retirees who wait to until age 70 to claim benefits. For these retirees, Social Security “may be the only annuity income” they need.
To implement the strategy, workers in their mid-to-late 60s should earn just enough income to cover living expenses until age 70. Doing so will allow them to postpone claiming Social Security benefits. If working is not a viable option, the alternative is to use a portion of savings to postpone claiming until age 70.
Additional income would come from required minimum withdrawals. Though RMDs were not intended to be a withdrawal strategy, they can work well as one. They equate to a withdrawal rate of 3.65% from age 70 upward, increase over time and ensure the retiree never runs out of money. The absolute dollar amount withdrawn decreases after bad years in the market and increases after good years.
Retirement savings should be fully invested in stocks. Though volatility is high with this type of allocation, it is balanced by the income stream provided by Social Security. An allocation of 60% stocks/40% bonds, or even a 50%/50% split, can also work for those who desire a less volatile allocation.
Retirees should also maintain emergency savings. These savings are to be used for large unforeseen or planned purchases and should be allocated in a conservative manner. Those seeking to travel or engage in other activities can also consider setting up a separate bucket of savings.
“How to ‘Pensionize’ Any IRA or 401(k) Plan,” Steve Vernon, FSA; Stanford Center on Longevity, November 2017.
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