Investors continue to seek out dividend income from common stocks even as the uncertainty about future dividend tax rates weighs on people’s minds. The 15% maximum rate for qualified dividends is set to expire at the end of this year unless Congress and the president act. However, the environment of low interest rates coupled with the relative stability of high-yield stocks during market downturns keep dividend-paying stocks on investor’s shopping lists.
The First Cut seeks out domestic, exchange-listed stocks that have consistently raised their annual dividend payment over the last seven years while maintaining positive free cash flow over each of the last seven years. Financial stocks were excluded because their financial statements are not comparable with firms in other industries.
Cash flow is fundamentally different from earnings. Earnings are determined using principles of accrual accounting, while cash flow measures the direct consumption and generation of cash. The First Cut screens for positive free cash flow, which is calculated by examining cash flow from operations (a measure of a firm’s ability to generate cash from day-to-day operations) and then subtracting capital expenditures and dividend payments. Free cash flow is considered to be excess cash flow that a company can use as it deems most beneficial. Strong free cash flow provides financial flexibility to increase dividends, develop new products or services, enter new markets, pay off debt, or buy shares back.
The 30 stocks with the highest dividend yield (annual dividend payment divided by price) and with a current dividend yield above their average yield of the last three years made the First Cut. The historical growth rates and the consensus earnings growth rate estimate measure past and expected company performance. The 52-week price change highlights recent stock market performance.
Stocks with Consistent Dividend Increases and Positive Free Cash Flow
|
Company (Ticker) |
Div Yield |
Ind Div ($/Sh) |
Free Cash Flow ($/Sh) |
Annual Growth Rate (%) |
Share Price (10/15) ($) |
52-Wk Price Change (%) |
|||||
|
Current (%) |
3 Yr Avg (%) |
Historical |
Est EPS 3-5 Yr |
||||||||
|
Div |
Free Cash Flow |
EPS |
|||||||||
| Description | |||||||||||
| Courier Corp. (CRRC) | 5.3 | 3.9 | 0.84 | 0.77 | 20.5 | 59.2 | -28.5 | na | 15.82 | 8 | book manufac’g & publishing |
| Lockheed Martin Corp. (LMT) | 4.3 | 2.2 | 3.00 | 5.28 | 23.2 | -12.1 | 10.3 | 8.5 | 70.02 | -6 | advanced tech sys & prods |
| Kimberly-Clark Corp. (KMB) | 4.0 | 3.8 | 2.64 | 2.40 | 7.0 | 36.0 | 11.6 | 8.3 | 66.38 | 12 | personal & healthcare prods |
| Watsco, Incorporated (WSO) | 3.7 | 3.6 | 2.08 | 1.52 | 25.8 | -8.5 | -22.0 | 15.3 | 56.80 | 7 | air-cond, heat & refrig equip |
| Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) | 3.4 | 3.0 | 2.16 | 3.61 | 9.7 | 8.8 | 5.7 | 6.3 | 63.57 | 4 | healthcare prods |
| Abbott Laboratories (ABT) | 3.3 | 2.8 | 1.76 | 3.28 | 10.7 | 19.1 | 48.8 | 9.7 | 53.17 | 2 | healthcare prods |
| Automatic Data Processing (ADP) | 3.2 | 3.1 | 1.36 | 1.55 | 15.3 | 19.0 | 9.5 | 10.6 | 42.94 | 5 | business outsource solutions |
| National Semiconductor Corp. (NSM) | 3.1 | 1.7 | 0.40 | 1.15 | 31.7 | -5.5 | -8.1 | 7.3 | 13.04 | -11 | integrated circuits |
| Procter & Gamble Company (PG) | 3.1 | 2.7 | 1.93 | 4.19 | 12.0 | 10.9 | 7.5 | 8.8 | 62.76 | 10 | consumer pkgd goods |
| Campbell Soup Company (CPB) | 3.0 | 2.9 | 1.10 | 1.10 | 10.5 | 139.6 | 6.6 | 6.5 | 36.61 | 13 | convenience food prods |
| PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP) | 2.9 | 2.6 | 1.92 | 3.42 | 15.3 | 7.5 | 4.1 | 8.9 | 66.68 | 6 | food, snacks & beverages |
| Analog Devices, Inc. (ADI) | 2.8 | 2.7 | 0.88 | 1.80 | 12.6 | -14.4 | -15.3 | 16.0 | 31.67 | 12 | integrated circuits |
| Colgate-Palmolive Company (CL) | 2.8 | 2.2 | 2.12 | 3.35 | 11.2 | 39.4 | 21.1 | 9.1 | 75.89 | -4 | consumer pkgd goods |
| Medtronic, Inc. (MDT) | 2.7 | 1.7 | 0.90 | 2.52 | 23.1 | 15.1 | 5.0 | 9.2 | 33.29 | -10 | medical therapy devices |
| General Dynamics Corp. (GD) | 2.6 | 2.1 | 1.68 | 4.70 | 18.2 | 11.1 | 13.9 | 7.8 | 63.93 | -5 | aviation & weapon sys |
| McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. (MHP) | 2.6 | 2.5 | 0.94 | 2.68 | 7.2 | 3.2 | -1.0 | 5.6 | 35.54 | 20 | information servs provider |
| Pool Corp. (POOL) | 2.5 | 2.3 | 0.52 | 1.49 | 8.2 | 39.3 | -39.3 | 15.0 | 20.76 | -12 | swimming pools; leisure prods |
| Brady Corp. (BRC) | 2.4 | 2.3 | 0.72 | 2.63 | 7.7 | 19.4 | -8.2 | 8.0 | 30.40 | 7 | facility & cable ID; bar-codes |
| Weyco Group, Inc. (WEYS) | 2.4 | 1.8 | 0.64 | 1.45 | 20.2 | 128.1 | -15.0 | na | 26.23 | 17 | men’s footwear |
| Cardinal Health, Inc. (CAH) | 2.3 | 1.8 | 0.78 | 4.51 | 21.5 | 35.5 | -7.2 | 9.2 | 33.22 | 19 | healthcare prods & servs |
| L-3 Communications Holdings (LLL) | 2.3 | 1.4 | 1.60 | 9.68 | 23.1 | 10.7 | 21.7 | 8.8 | 71.05 | -6 | aircraft maintain contractor |
| Strayer Education, Inc. (STRA) | 2.3 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 5.78 | 28.5 | 35.9 | 28.2 | 17.7 | 131.48 | -42 | academic programs |
| United Technologies Corp. (UTX) | 2.3 | 2.2 | 1.70 | 3.95 | 14.7 | 5.8 | 3.6 | 10.4 | 74.10 | 15 | high-tech aerospace servs |
| Harris Corp. (HRS) | 2.2 | 1.8 | 1.00 | 3.76 | 26.0 | 27.7 | 19.7 | 5.0 | 44.47 | 19 | communications & info tech |
| ITT Corp. (ITT) | 2.1 | 1.4 | 1.00 | 3.19 | 24.5 | 12.6 | 9.9 | 11.7 | 47.81 | -12 | defense electronics; fluid tech |
| Martin Marietta Materials, Inc (MLM) | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.60 | 1.84 | 16.6 | 63.3 | -28.7 | 10.8 | 79.54 | -15 | construction aggregates |
| Becton, Dickinson and Co. (BDX) | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.48 | 3.47 | 15.4 | 23.6 | 15.7 | 9.4 | 76.13 | 11 | medical supplies & devices |
| Cintas Corp. (CTAS) | 1.8 | 1.7 | 0.48 | 1.59 | 7.2 | 24.3 | -12.3 | 10.7 | 27.36 | -7 | uniforms & document mgmt |
| QUALCOMM, Inc. (QCOM) | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.76 | 1.60 | 16.3 | 42.9 | -12.9 | 17.0 | 44.79 | 6 | wireless telecommun prods |
| Moody’s Corp. (MCO) | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.42 | 1.82 | 12.2 | -4.3 | -13.2 | 11.1 | 26.50 | 11 | credit ratings & research |
| Source: AAII’s Stock Investor Pro, Thomson Reuters, and I/B/E/S. Data as of 10/15/2010. | |||||||||||
Stock Investor Pro Screening Criteria Used In November 2010 First Cut
| Field: | Operator: | Factor: | Compare to: | |
| Exchange | Not Equal | Over the counter | ||
| And | ADR/ADS Stock | Is False | ||
| And | Country | Contains | United States | |
| And | Sector | Not Equal | Financial | |
| And | Industry | Not Equal | Real Estate Operations | |
| And | Free cash flow/share 12m | > | 0 | |
| And | Free cash flow/share Y1 | > | 0 | |
| And | Free cash flow/share Y2 | > | 0 | |
| And | Free cash flow/share Y3 | > | 0 | |
| And | Free cash flow/share Y4 | > | 0 | |
| And | Free cash flow/share Y5 | > | 0 | |
| And | Free cash flow/share Y6 | > | 0 | |
| And | Free cash flow/share Y7 | > | 0 | |
| And | Dividend, indicated | >= | Dividend Y1 | |
| And | Dividend 12m | >= | Dividend Y1 | |
| And | Dividend Y1 | > | Dividend Y2 | |
| And | Dividend Y2 | > | Dividend Y3 | |
| And | Dividend Y3 | > | Dividend Y4 | |
| And | Dividend Y4 | > | Dividend Y5 | |
| And | Dividend Y5 | > | Dividend Y6 | |
| And | Dividend Y6 | > | Dividend Y7 | |
| And | Yield | > | Yield-Average 3 years |
Discussion
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