AAII Sentiment Survey: Neutral Sentiment Rises Above Average
by AAII Staff | April 25, 2024
Neutral sentiment among individual investors about the short-term outlook for stocks surged in the latest AAII Sentiment Survey. Meanwhile, optimism decreased and pessimism was unchanged.
Bullish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months, decreased 6.1 percentage points to 32.1%. Bullish sentiment is below its historical average of 37.5% for the first time in 25 weeks.
Neutral sentiment, expectations that stock prices will stay essentially unchanged over the next six months, increased 6.2 percentage points to 33.9%. Neutral sentiment is above its historical average of 31.5% for the second time in six weeks.
Bearish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will fall over the next six months, was unchanged at 33.9%. Pessimism is above its historical average of 31.0% for the second time in 25 weeks.
The bull-bear spread (bullish minus bearish sentiment) decreased 6.1 percentage points to –1.8%. The bull-bear spread is below its historical average of 6.5% for the second time in 25 weeks.
This week’s special question asked AAII members about their perception of the current state of the housing market.
Here is how they responded:
- Strong: 19.0%
- Mixed: 51.6%
- Weak: 21.9%
- Not sure/no opinion: 7.5%
Bullish: 32.1%, down 6.1 points
Neutral: 33.9%, up 6.2 points
Bearish: 33.9%, down 0.0 points
Bullish: 37.5%
Neutral: 31.5%
Bearish: 31.0%
See more Sentiment Survey results.
Discussion
BARRY G from CA posted over 2 years ago:
Real Estate Investors are helping to create a shortage of housing in the US by buying up residential properties and therefore contributing to the already existing shortage of single family housing being made available on the residential market place. The investment laws need to be revised so that real estate investors purchasing a dwelling for rental or flipping must invest 80% of the dwellings' value in order to initially purchase each individual property with the remaining balance due to be paid for within one year. Each loan granted for a real estate investor should require a 2% premiun above the existing, going mortgage rate provided to individual, retail home buyers. Theses changes would help to eliminate speculation in real estate, provide a more secure and stable finacial basis for morgage loans and allow individual home buyers a better opportunity to purchase a home with less competition from commercial real estsate investors.
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