Is Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LPX) Overvalued?
We dive into why Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LPX) could be considered overvalued on 2026-07-28, based on AAII’s Value Score and Grade.Tudor Pop
A+ Stock Grade Summary:
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COMPANY SUMMARY
Louisiana-Pacific Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides building solutions for applications in new home construction, repair and remodeling, and outdoor structure markets in the United States, Canada, and South America. It operates through Siding and Oriented Strand Board (OSB) segments. The Siding segment consists of a portfolio of engineered wood siding, trim, soffit, and fascia products; and primed products, including LP SmartSide trim and siding, LP BuilderSeries Lap Siding, and LP Outdoor Building Solutions; and LP SmartSide ExpertFinish trim and siding pre-finished products. The OSB segment manufactures and distributes OSB structural panel products, including the value-added OSB product portfolio comprising LP Structural Solutions, which includes LP FlameBlock Fire-Rated Sheathing, LP WeatherLogic Air and Water Barrier, LP TechShield Radiant Barrier, LP Legacy Premium Sub-Flooring, and LP TopNotch 350 Durable Sub-Flooring. In addition, the company provides other operations, including timber and timberlands, as well as other minor products, services, and closed operations. The company sells its products primarily to retailers, wholesalers, home building, and industrial businesses in North America and South America. Louisiana-Pacific Corporation was incorporated in 1972 and is headquartered in Nashville, Tennessee.
Commentary & Analysis
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Financial Summary
| Share Statistics | LPX | Industry Median |
Percentile (All Stocks) |
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| Market Cap (Mil) | $5,060.3 | $5,567.3 | 67% |
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| Shares Out (Mil) | 70.0 | 54.5 | 55% |
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| Institutional Ownership | 98.6% | 96.1% | 80% |
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| Float (Mil) | 63.3 | 69.7 | 53% |
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| Beta | 1.59 | 1.18 | 84% |
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| Avg Daily Volume (000s) | 1,014 | 330 | 71% |
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| Price Change (52-week) |
(20.3%) | 77.4% | 31% |
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| Growth | LPX | Industry Median |
Percentile (All Stocks) |
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| Sales (5yr) | 2.5% | 6.0% | 25% |
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| Net Income (5yr) | (21.8%) | 4.8% | 18% |
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| EPS (5yr) | (14.1%) | 3.7% | 19 |
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| Dividends (5yr) | 14.1% | 3.2% | 81% |
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| Cash Flow (5yr) | (17.4%) | (16.5%) | 40% |
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| Estimates | Qtrly | Current Fiscal Year |
Next Fiscal Year |
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| # of Estimates | 12 | 13 | 13 | |
| Current EPS | $0.569 | $1.729 | $3.545 | |
| Month Ago EPS | $0.637 | $1.905 | $3.761 | |
| # Rev Up | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| # Rev Down | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| Three Months Ago EPS | $0.893 | $2.579 | $4.258 | |
| Year/Year Chg | 47.4% | (16.9%) | 108.9% | |
| Financials | LPX | Industry Median |
Percentile (All Stocks) |
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| Sales (TTM) (Mil) | $2,558 | $3,104 | 64% |
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| Net Income (TTM) (Mil) | $82 | $152 | 59% |
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| EPS (TTM) | $1.171 | $1.600 | 63% |
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| Operating Cash Flow (TTM) (Mil) | $280 | $359 | 64% |
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| Net Cash Flow (TTM) (Mil) | ($92) | ($10) | 15% |
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| Long-Term Debt (Q1) (Mil) | $369 | $835 | 56% |
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| Enterprise Value (Q1) (Mil) | $5,464 | $7,000 | 64% |
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| Valuation | LPX | Industry Median |
Percentile (All Stocks) |
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| P/B | 2.93 | 3.07 | 64% |
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| P/E | 61.9 | 21.9 | 87% |
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| Dividend Yield | 1.7% | 0.6% | 74% |
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| PEG (5yr hist) | na | 1.6 | na |
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| Ratios | LPX | Industry Median |
Percentile (All Stocks) |
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| Gross Margin | 19.8% | 34.5% | 21% |
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| Net Margin | 3.2% | 5.5% | 43% |
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| ROA | 3.2% | 5.0% | 63% |
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| ROE | 4.8% | 9.5% | 44% |
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| Liabilities to Assets | 33.0% | 54.7% | 24% |
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| F-Score | 6 | 5 | 69% |
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Passing Stock Screens
As of 7/31/2026, from a list of 60 stock screening strategies,
FACTOR STRATEGY
Est Rev: Lowest 30 Down
Factors: Earnings Estimates
Introduction to the use of earnings estimates.
| Performance Since Inception: | 2.9% |
| +/- S&P 500: | -4.6 |
FACTOR STRATEGY
Est Rev: Down 5% Screen
Factors: Earnings Estimates
Introduction to the use of earnings estimates.
| Performance Since Inception: | 2.4% |
| +/- S&P 500: | -5.1 |
