5 Undervalued Oil & Gas - Exploration and Production Stocks for Monday, February 05

By AAII Staff
February 05, 2024
Diamond graphic indicating best value stocks in their industry
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Based on key financial metrics such as the price-to-sales ratio, shareholder yield and the price-earnings ratio, the following 5 stocks made the list for top value stocks in the Oil & Gas - Exploration and Production industry. Those looking for value stocks to add to their portfolio may want to use this list as a starting point for further investment research.

Latest Oil & Gas - Exploration and Production Stock News

Before choosing which top Oil & Gas - Exploration and Production stock to buy, be sure to conduct proper due diligence: analyze various financial metrics and look at historical data, public statements and news coverage.

The outlook for the oil and gas exploration and production sub-industry is mostly favorable for the foreseeable future. As a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, a major oil shock occurred in 2020. Since then, crude oil prices have begun to recover, currently priced at around $60 per barrel as a result of persistent supply cuts by the OPEC-Plus Consortium. While the demand perspective remains uncertain, from a supply perspective, both OPEC and non-OPEC participants have a conservative production outlook in 2021. The most significant unknown factor is the potential lifting of Iran sanctions by the Biden administration and its impact. According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), oil demand is expected to increase by about 5.4 mmb/d, to 96.4 mmb/d in 2021. While this appears to be a strong year-over-year increase, it is well in line with the 2019 demand of around 100 mmb/d, signifying only a 60% recovery from the pandemic. In May 2021, the EIA forecasted WTI crude oil prices as $59 dollars per barrel in 2021 and $57 per barrel in 2022. At these price points, exploration and production operations are expected to generate significant free cashflow.

Why Focus on Undervalued Oil & Gas - Exploration and Production Stocks?

Value investors seek to buy stocks at a discount to their intrinsic value. Long-term returns show that such strategies are advantageous. Value stocks, as a group, tend to outperform growth stocks over extended periods of time. Typically, value investors perform financial analysis of numerous metrics, don’t follow the herd and are long-term investors.

AAII’s A+ Investor Value Grade is derived from a stock’s Value Score. The Value Score is the percentile rank of the average of the percentile ranks of the price-to-sales ratio, price-earnings ratio, enterprise-value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) ratio, shareholder yield, price-to-book-value ratio and price-to-free-cash-flow ratio. The score is variable, meaning it can consider all six ratios or, should any of the six ratios not be valid, the remaining ratios that are valid. To be assigned a Value Score, stocks must have a valid (non-null) ratio and corresponding ranking for at least two of the six valuation ratios.

What Goes Into AAII’s Value Grade?

Stock evaluation requires access to huge amounts of data as well as the knowledge and time to sift through it all, make sense of financial ratios, read income statements and analyze recent stock movement. AAII created A+ Investor, a robust data suite that condenses data research in an actionable and customizable way suitable for investors of all knowledge levels, to help investors with that task.

AAII’s proprietary stock grades come with A+ Investor. These offer intuitive A–F grades for more than just value. It is possible for a stock to appear cheap based on one valuation metric but appear expensive on another. It is also possible for one valuation ratio to be associated with outperforming stocks during certain periods of time but not others. Some stocks may even have null values for certain metrics like the price-earnings ratio or the price-to-book ratio but not others. An example of this would be a company with losses instead of profits or a negative book value because of heavy borrowing. Negative earnings or book value result in non-meaningful ratios that are left blank or null.

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5 Undervalued Oil & Gas - Exploration and Production Stocks

Of course, there are countless value stocks that are worth mentioning, but this is a concise list of the top 5 undervalued stocks in the Oil & Gas - Exploration and Production industry for Monday, February 05, 2024. Let’s take a closer look at their individual scores to see how they measure up against each other and the Oil & Gas - Exploration and Production industry median.

Company Ticker Price/Sales Price/Earnings EV/EBITDA Shareholder Yield Price/Book Value Price/Free Cash Flow Value Grade
Epsilon Energy Ltd EPSN 2.86 8.1 4.9 9.0% 1.08 6.4 A
Obsidian Energy Ltd OBE 1.04 1.1 3.5 1.6% 0.43 5.0 A
Occidental Petroleum Corp OXY 1.72 12.4 5.9 5.4% 2.40 10.2 B
SandRidge Energy Inc SD 2.56 2.7 2.7 2.9% 0.93 3.8 A
US Energy Corp USEG 0.75 na 10.8 4.4% 0.40 8.6 A

The Value Grade is assigned based on how each stock’s composite valuation compares to all other stocks.

The process for assigning grades starts with each variable for a given stock. The percentile rankings for all valid ratios that a stock has are calculated. So, for instance, a stock could have a price-to-book ranking in the 43rd percentile, a price-earnings ranking in the 67th percentile, a price-to-sales ranking in the 23rd percentile, etc. Then, those rankings are averaged for each stock. (A minimum of two valid variables are required, though all six will be used if available.)

Once the average of the individual variables is calculated, that average is ranked against all stocks. Put another way, each stock’s composite valuation is compared to all other stocks. These ranks are then sorted into quintiles from the cheapest 20% (a grade of A) to the most expensive 20% (a grade of F).

As always, we recommend that you conduct proper due diligence and research before investing in any security. We also suggest that investors utilize numerous grades, not just value, when it comes to deciding whether a company is a good fit for their allocation needs.

Epsilon Energy Ltd’s Value Grade

Value Grade:

Metric Score EPSN Industry Median
Price/Sales 69 2.86 1.72
Price/Earnings 17 8.1 6.9
EV/EBITDA 19 4.9 4.5
Shareholder Yield 9 9.0% 1.4%
Price/Book Value 33 1.08 1.19
Price/Free Cash Flow 18 6.4 7.4

Epsilon Energy Ltd. is an onshore natural gas production and midstream company with a focus on the Marcellus Shale of Pennsylvania. The Company is engaged in the acquisition, development, gathering and production of natural gas and oil reserves. The Company operates through three segments: Upstream, Gathering System, and Corporate. The Upstream segment's activities include acquisition, exploration, development and production of oil and natural gas reserves on properties within the United States. The Gathering System segment partners with two other companies to operate a natural gas gathering system. The Company has natural gas production in the Marcellus Shale in Pennsylvania, and oil, natural gas liquids and natural gas production in the Anadarko Basin in Oklahoma. The Company's subsidiaries include Epsilon Energy USA Inc., Epsilon Midstream, LLC, Epsilon Operating, LLC, Dewey Energy GP LLC, Dewey Energy Holdings, LLC, and Altolisa Holdings, LLC.

Stocks with a Value Score from 81 to 100 are considered deep value, those with a score between 61 and 80 are value and so on.

Epsilon Energy Ltd has a Value Score of 88, which is considered to be undervalued.

When you look at Epsilon Energy Ltd’s price-to-sales ratio at 2.86 compared to the industry median at 1.72, this company has a higher price relative to revenue compared to its peers. This could make Epsilon Energy Ltd’s stock less attractive for value investors.

Epsilon Energy Ltd’s price-earnings ratio is 8.12 compared to the industry median at 6.92. This means it has a higher share price relative to earnings compared to its peers. This could make Epsilon Energy Ltd less attractive for value investors.

Now, let’s assess Epsilon Energy Ltd’s EV/EBITDA ratio, also known as enterprise multiple. At 4.9, when compared to the industry median of 4.5, the company may be considered overvalued in relation to its peers. Value investors could use the enterprise multiple to identify stocks that are considered overvalued or undervalued relative to their industry.

Shareholder yield is the sum of a stock’s dividend yield (paid over previous 12 months minus special dividends) and the percentage of net share buybacks over the previous 12 months. Epsilon Energy Ltd’s shareholder yield is higher than its industry median ratio of 1.41%. Value investors may look for an attractive shareholder yield because it can be a powerful tool for identifying if the company has a good management team.

As one of the most common value metrics, the price-to-book ratio evaluates a company’s current market price relative to its book value. Epsilon Energy Ltd’s price-to-book ratio is lower than its industry median ratio of 1.19. This could make Epsilon Energy Ltd more attractive to investors looking for a new addition to their portfolio.

Lastly, let’s take a look at Epsilon Energy Ltd’s price-to-free-cash-flow ratio (P/FCF), which can indicate a company’s market value relative to its operating cash flow. Epsilon Energy Ltd’s price-to-free-cash-flow ratio is lower than its industry median ratio of 7.39. This could make Epsilon Energy Ltd more attractive because the lower P/FCF ratio indicates that Epsilon Energy Ltd is undervalued. The P/FCF ratio metric can also be viewed over a long-term time frame to see if the company's cash flow to share price value is generally improving or worsening.

Obsidian Energy Ltd’s Value Grade

Value Grade:

Metric Score OBE Industry Median
Price/Sales 36 1.04 1.72
Price/Earnings 1 1.1 6.9
EV/EBITDA 11 3.5 4.5
Shareholder Yield 34 1.6% 1.4%
Price/Book Value 9 0.43 1.19
Price/Free Cash Flow 13 5.0 7.4

Obsidian Energy Ltd. is a Canada-based exploration and production company. The Company operates in one segment, to explore for, develop and hold interests in oil and natural gas properties and related production infrastructure in the Western Canada Sedimentary Basin directly and through investments in securities of subsidiaries holding such interests. It has a portfolio of assets producing around 32,000 barrels of oil equivalent (boe) per day. Its operating areas include Cardium, Peace River and Viking areas of Alberta. Its Cardium asset is a fully delineated and de-risked asset. It is focused on manufacturing repeatable low-decline and high-netback light-oil wells across its Cardium land base. The Viking is a light oil, horizontal development play located in central Alberta. Its operations are focused in the Esther area. Peace River is a stable, cold-flow, base production asset. It operates on a contiguous and an acreage within the heart of the Peace River Oilsands region.

Stocks with a Value Score from 81 to 100 are considered deep value, those with a score between 61 and 80 are value and so on.

Obsidian Energy Ltd has a Value Score of 97, which is considered to be undervalued.

Obsidian Energy Ltd’s price-earnings ratio is 1.1 compared to the industry median at 6.9. This means that it has a lower price relative to its earnings compared to its peers. This makes Obsidian Energy Ltd more attractive for value investors.

Obsidian Energy Ltd’s price-to-book ratio is higher than its peers. This could make Obsidian Energy Ltd less attractive for value investors when compared to the industry median at 1.19.

You can read more about Obsidian Energy Ltd’s key financial metrics like shareholder yield, price-to-free-cash-flow and EV/EBITDA ratio, or learn more about its Momentum and Growth Grades, by subscribing to A+ Investor.

Occidental Petroleum Corp’s Value Grade

Value Grade:

Metric Score OXY Industry Median
Price/Sales 51 1.72 1.72
Price/Earnings 34 12.4 6.9
EV/EBITDA 25 5.9 4.5
Shareholder Yield 17 5.4% 1.4%
Price/Book Value 64 2.40 1.19
Price/Free Cash Flow 31 10.2 7.4

Occidental Petroleum Corporation is an international energy company with assets primarily in the United States, the Middle East and North Africa. The Company operates through three segments: oil and gas, chemical and midstream and marketing. The oil and gas segment explores for, develops and produces oil, which includes condensate, natural gas liquids (NGL) and natural gas. The chemical segment primarily manufactures and markets basic chemicals and vinyl?s. The midstream and marketing segment purchases, markets, gathers, processes, transports, and stores oil, NGL, natural gas, carbon dioxide (CO2) and power. Midstream and marketing segment also includes Occidental?s low-carbon venture businesses (OLCV). OLCV develops carbon capture, utilization and storage (CCUS) projects, including the commercialization of DAC technology, and invests in other low-carbon technologies intended to reduce GHG emissions from its operations and partners with other industries to help reduce their emissions.

Stocks with a Value Score from 81 to 100 are considered deep value, those with a score between 61 and 80 are value and so on.

Occidental Petroleum Corp has a Value Score of 70, which is considered to be undervalued.

Occidental Petroleum Corp’s price-earnings ratio is 12.4 compared to the industry median at 6.9. This means that it has a higher price relative to its earnings compared to its peers. This makes Occidental Petroleum Corp less attractive for value investors.

Occidental Petroleum Corp’s price-to-book ratio is lower than its peers. This could make Occidental Petroleum Corp more attractive for value investors when compared to the industry median at 1.19.

You can read more about Occidental Petroleum Corp’s key financial metrics like shareholder yield, price-to-free-cash-flow and EV/EBITDA ratio, or learn more about its Momentum and Growth Grades, by subscribing to A+ Investor.

SandRidge Energy Inc’s Value Grade

Value Grade:

Metric Score SD Industry Median
Price/Sales 65 2.56 1.72
Price/Earnings 3 2.7 6.9
EV/EBITDA 8 2.7 4.5
Shareholder Yield 27 2.9% 1.4%
Price/Book Value 27 0.93 1.19
Price/Free Cash Flow 8 3.8 7.4

SandRidge Energy, Inc. is an independent oil and natural gas company that is focused on the acquisition and development of oil and gas properties. The Company?s primary areas of operation are the Mid-Continent region in Oklahoma and Kansas. The Company holds interests in over 1,471 gross producing wells, approximately 992 of which it operates, and approximately 551,000 gross total acres under lease located primarily in Oklahoma and Kansas. Its productive wells consist of wells that are producing hydrocarbons. The Company sells its oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids (NGLs) to a range of customers, including oil and natural gas companies and trading and energy marketing companies. The Company?s subsidiaries include Lariat Services, Inc., SandRidge Exploration and Production, LLC, SandRidge Holdings, Inc., SandRidge Midstream, Inc., SandRidge Operating Company and SandRidge Realty, LLC.

Stocks with a Value Score from 81 to 100 are considered deep value, those with a score between 61 and 80 are value and so on.

SandRidge Energy Inc has a Value Score of 93, which is considered to be undervalued.

SandRidge Energy Inc’s price-earnings ratio is 2.7 compared to the industry median at 6.9. This means that it has a lower price relative to its earnings compared to its peers. This makes SandRidge Energy Inc more attractive for value investors.

SandRidge Energy Inc’s price-to-book ratio is higher than its peers. This could make SandRidge Energy Inc less attractive for value investors when compared to the industry median at 1.19.

You can read more about SandRidge Energy Inc’s key financial metrics like shareholder yield, price-to-free-cash-flow and EV/EBITDA ratio, or learn more about its Momentum and Growth Grades, by subscribing to A+ Investor.

US Energy Corp’s Value Grade

Value Grade:

Metric Score USEG Industry Median
Price/Sales 28 0.75 1.72
Price/Earnings na na 6.9
EV/EBITDA 55 10.8 4.5
Shareholder Yield 20 4.4% 1.4%
Price/Book Value 8 0.40 1.19
Price/Free Cash Flow 26 8.6 7.4

U.S. Energy Corp. is an independent energy company. The Company is focused on the acquisition and development of oil and gas producing properties primarily in the United States. The Company’s principal properties and operations are in the Rockies region (Montana, Wyoming and North Dakota), the Mid-Continent region (Oklahoma, Kansas, and North and East Texas), and the West Texas, South Texas, and Gulf Coast regions.

Stocks with a Value Score from 81 to 100 are considered deep value, those with a score between 61 and 80 are value and so on.

US Energy Corp has a Value Score of 88, which is considered to be undervalued.

US Energy Corp’s price-to-book ratio is higher than its peers. This could make US Energy Corp less attractive for value investors when compared to the industry median at 1.19.

You can read more about US Energy Corp’s key financial metrics like shareholder yield, price-to-free-cash-flow and EV/EBITDA ratio, or learn more about its Momentum and Growth Grades, by subscribing to A+ Investor.

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Other Oil & Gas - Exploration and Production Stock Grades

Value is just one of the five Stock Grades included in our A+ Investor service. AAII members can see the top-graded stocks—those with grades of A or B for value, growth, momentum, earnings estimate revisions and quality—on the A+ Stock Grades Screener.

Also, if you want full access to all of AAII’s premium services, you can subscribe to one convenient bundled plan called AAII Platinum where you can try out A+ Investor, AAII Dividend Investing, the Stock Superstars Report, Growth Investing and VMQ Stocks. With the other premium services, you can dive deep into additional metrics, portfolios, commentary and information about Oil & Gas - Exploration and Production stocks as well as other industrys.

Choosing Which of the 5 Best Oil & Gas - Exploration and Production Stocks Is Right for You

Choosing which value stocks to invest in will ultimately depend on your individual goals and allocation; however, comparing similar value stocks in the same industry can help you analyze which might be better investments for you in the long run. So, let’s take a look at the Value Grade for all of our stocks.

  • Epsilon Energy Ltd stock has a Value Grade of A.
  • Obsidian Energy Ltd stock has a Value Grade of A.
  • Occidental Petroleum Corp stock has a Value Grade of B.
  • SandRidge Energy Inc stock has a Value Grade of A.
  • US Energy Corp stock has a Value Grade of A.

Now that you have a bit more background about each of the 5 undervalued stocks in the Oil & Gas - Exploration and Production industry as well as their overall grades, it’s time for you to conduct additional research to see if these could fit your portfolio needs based on your goals and risk tolerance. AAII can help you figure out both and identify which investments align with what works best for you.

We do so through a program of education that teaches you to invest for yourself and become an effective manager of your own wealth—no more relying on others for your financial independence. You can rely on AAII for timeless articles on financial planning and stock-picking, unbiased research and actionable analysis that makes you a better investor.

A+ Investor adds to that qualitative teaching by giving you a powerful data suite that helps you whittle down investment decisions to find stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs) or mutual funds that meet your needs.

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Additional Resources About Oil & Gas - Exploration and Production Stocks

Want to learn more about Oil & Gas - Exploration and Production stocks to see if they could be the right investment for you? Check out some additional resources and articles to help you on your financial journey.

AAII Disclaimer

We make no representations or warranties that any investor will, or is likely to, achieve profits similar to those shown, because past, hypothetical or simulated performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Before making an investment decision, you should consider your circumstances and whether the information on our content is applicable to your situation. This information was prepared in good faith and we accept no liability for any errors or omissions. The full disclaimer can be read here.



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