4 Undervalued Oil & Gas - Exploration and Production Stocks for Friday, February 16

By Jenna Brashear
February 16, 2024
Diamond graphic indicating best value stocks in their industry
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Based on key financial metrics such as the price-to-sales ratio, shareholder yield and the price-earnings ratio, the following 4 stocks made the list for top value stocks in the Oil & Gas - Exploration and Production industry. Those looking for value stocks to add to their portfolio may want to use this list as a starting point for further investment research.

Why Focus on Undervalued Oil & Gas - Exploration and Production Stocks?

Value investors seek to buy stocks at a discount to their intrinsic value. Long-term returns show that such strategies are advantageous. Value stocks, as a group, tend to outperform growth stocks over extended periods of time. Typically, value investors perform financial analysis of numerous metrics, don’t follow the herd and are long-term investors.

AAII’s A+ Investor Value Grade is derived from a stock’s Value Score. The Value Score is the percentile rank of the average of the percentile ranks of the price-to-sales ratio, price-earnings ratio, enterprise-value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) ratio, shareholder yield, price-to-book-value ratio and price-to-free-cash-flow ratio. The score is variable, meaning it can consider all six ratios or, should any of the six ratios not be valid, the remaining ratios that are valid. To be assigned a Value Score, stocks must have a valid (non-null) ratio and corresponding ranking for at least two of the six valuation ratios.

What Goes Into AAII’s Value Grade?

Stock evaluation requires access to huge amounts of data as well as the knowledge and time to sift through it all, make sense of financial ratios, read income statements and analyze recent stock movement. AAII created A+ Investor, a robust data suite that condenses data research in an actionable and customizable way suitable for investors of all knowledge levels, to help investors with that task.

AAII’s proprietary stock grades come with A+ Investor. These offer intuitive A–F grades for more than just value. It is possible for a stock to appear cheap based on one valuation metric but appear expensive on another. It is also possible for one valuation ratio to be associated with outperforming stocks during certain periods of time but not others. Some stocks may even have null values for certain metrics like the price-earnings ratio or the price-to-book ratio but not others. An example of this would be a company with losses instead of profits or a negative book value because of heavy borrowing. Negative earnings or book value result in non-meaningful ratios that are left blank or null.

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4 Undervalued Oil & Gas - Exploration and Production Stocks

Of course, there are countless value stocks that are worth mentioning, but this is a concise list of the top 4 undervalued stocks in the Oil & Gas - Exploration and Production industry for Friday, February 16, 2024. Let’s take a closer look at their individual scores to see how they measure up against each other and the Oil & Gas - Exploration and Production industry median.

Company Ticker Price/Sales Price/Earnings EV/EBITDA Shareholder Yield Price/Book Value Price/Free Cash Flow Value Grade
Berry Corporation (Bry) BRY 0.65 12.3 6.7 10.1% 0.73 27.7 A
Baytex Energy Corp BTE 1.18 2.7 4.4 (51.8%) 0.60 1.9 A
Chord Energy Corp CHRD 1.71 6.5 3.6 6.7% 1.37 11.5 A
Pioneer Natural Resources Co PXD 2.77 11.1 6.0 8.5% 2.37 12.0 B

The Value Grade is assigned based on how each stock’s composite valuation compares to all other stocks.

The process for assigning grades starts with each variable for a given stock. The percentile rankings for all valid ratios that a stock has are calculated. So, for instance, a stock could have a price-to-book ranking in the 43rd percentile, a price-earnings ranking in the 67th percentile, a price-to-sales ranking in the 23rd percentile, etc. Then, those rankings are averaged for each stock. (A minimum of two valid variables are required, though all six will be used if available.)

Once the average of the individual variables is calculated, that average is ranked against all stocks. Put another way, each stock’s composite valuation is compared to all other stocks. These ranks are then sorted into quintiles from the cheapest 20% (a grade of A) to the most expensive 20% (a grade of F).

As always, we recommend that you conduct proper due diligence and research before investing in any security. We also suggest that investors utilize numerous grades, not just value, when it comes to deciding whether a company is a good fit for their allocation needs.

Berry Corporation (Bry)’s Value Grade

Value Grade:

Metric Score BRY Industry Median
Price/Sales 24 0.65 1.91
Price/Earnings 33 12.3 7.5
EV/EBITDA 31 6.7 4.5
Shareholder Yield 8 10.1% 1.4%
Price/Book Value 18 0.73 1.23
Price/Free Cash Flow 65 27.7 7.9

Berry Corporation (bry) is an independent upstream energy company. The Company operates through two segments: exploration and production (E&P;) and well servicing and abandonment (CJWS). The E&P; segment consists of the development and production of onshore, low geologic risk, long-lived conventional oil and gas reserves, primarily located in California, as well as Utah. Its California operating area consists of properties located in Midway-Sunset, South Belridge, McKittrick and Poso Creek fields in the San Joaquin basin in Kern County. The Company operates Uinta basin operations in the Brundage Canyon, Ashley Forest, and Lake Canyon areas in Utah. The well servicing and abandonment segment provides wellsite services in California for oil and natural gas production companies, with a focus on well servicing, well abandonment services and water logistics. The Company?s subsidiaries include Berry Petroleum Company, LLC; CJ Berry Well Services Management, LLC; and C&J; Well Services, LLC.

Stocks with a Value Score from 81 to 100 are considered deep value, those with a score between 61 and 80 are value and so on.

Berry Corporation (Bry) has a Value Score of 84, which is considered to be undervalued.

When you look at Berry Corporation (Bry)’s price-to-sales ratio at 0.65 compared to the industry median at 1.91, this company has a lower price relative to revenue compared to its peers. This could make Berry Corporation (Bry)’s stock more attractive for value investors.

Berry Corporation (Bry)’s price-earnings ratio is 12.34 compared to the industry median at 7.55. This means it has a higher share price relative to earnings compared to its peers. This could make Berry Corporation (Bry) less attractive for value investors.

Now, let’s assess Berry Corporation (Bry)’s EV/EBITDA ratio, also known as enterprise multiple. At 6.7, when compared to the industry median of 4.5, the company may be considered overvalued in relation to its peers. Value investors could use the enterprise multiple to identify stocks that are considered overvalued or undervalued relative to their industry.

Shareholder yield is the sum of a stock’s dividend yield (paid over previous 12 months minus special dividends) and the percentage of net share buybacks over the previous 12 months. Berry Corporation (Bry)’s shareholder yield is higher than its industry median ratio of 1.38%. Value investors may look for an attractive shareholder yield because it can be a powerful tool for identifying if the company has a good management team.

As one of the most common value metrics, the price-to-book ratio evaluates a company’s current market price relative to its book value. Berry Corporation (Bry)’s price-to-book ratio is lower than its industry median ratio of 1.23. This could make Berry Corporation (Bry) more attractive to investors looking for a new addition to their portfolio.

Lastly, let’s take a look at Berry Corporation (Bry)’s price-to-free-cash-flow ratio (P/FCF), which can indicate a company’s market value relative to its operating cash flow. Berry Corporation (Bry)’s price-to-free-cash-flow ratio is higher than its industry median ratio of 7.93. This could make Berry Corporation (Bry) less attractive because the higher P/FCF ratio indicates that Berry Corporation (Bry) is undervalued. The P/FCF ratio metric can also be viewed over a long-term time frame to see if the company's cash flow to share price value is generally improving or worsening.

Baytex Energy Corp’s Value Grade

Value Grade:

Metric Score BTE Industry Median
Price/Sales 38 1.18 1.91
Price/Earnings 3 2.7 7.5
EV/EBITDA 15 4.4 4.5
Shareholder Yield 93 (51.8%) 1.4%
Price/Book Value 13 0.60 1.23
Price/Free Cash Flow 4 1.9 7.9

Baytex Energy Corp. is a Canada-based energy company. The Company is engaged in the acquisition, development and production of crude oil and natural gas in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin and in the Eagle Ford in the United States. Its crude oil and natural gas operations are organized into three main operating areas: Light Oil USA (Eagle Ford), Light Oil Canada (Pembina Duvernay / Viking) and Heavy Oil Canada (Peace River / Peavine / Lloydminster). Its Eagle Ford assets are located in the core of the liquids-rich Eagle Ford shale in South Texas. The Eagle Ford shale covers approximately 162,000 net acres of crude oil operations. Its Viking assets are located in the Dodsland area in southwest Saskatchewan and in the Esther area of southeastern Alberta. It also holds 100% working interest land position in the East Duvernay resource play in central Alberta.

Stocks with a Value Score from 81 to 100 are considered deep value, those with a score between 61 and 80 are value and so on.

Baytex Energy Corp has a Value Score of 87, which is considered to be undervalued.

Baytex Energy Corp’s price-earnings ratio is 2.7 compared to the industry median at 7.5. This means that it has a lower price relative to its earnings compared to its peers. This makes Baytex Energy Corp more attractive for value investors.

Baytex Energy Corp’s price-to-book ratio is higher than its peers. This could make Baytex Energy Corp less attractive for value investors when compared to the industry median at 1.23.

You can read more about Baytex Energy Corp’s key financial metrics like shareholder yield, price-to-free-cash-flow and EV/EBITDA ratio, or learn more about its Momentum and Growth Grades, by subscribing to A+ Investor.

Chord Energy Corp’s Value Grade

Value Grade:

Metric Score CHRD Industry Median
Price/Sales 50 1.71 1.91
Price/Earnings 10 6.5 7.5
EV/EBITDA 11 3.6 4.5
Shareholder Yield 13 6.7% 1.4%
Price/Book Value 41 1.37 1.23
Price/Free Cash Flow 34 11.5 7.9

Chord Energy Corporation is an independent exploration and production company with assets in the North Dakota and Montana regions of the Williston Basin. The Company produces and markets crude oil, natural gas liquids (NGLs) and natural gas. It has approximately 963,009 net leasehold acres in the Williston Basin, of which approximately 99% is held by production. It focuses on the Middle Bakken and Three Forks formations, which are present across a substantial portion of its acreage. It has approximately 3,583 gross (2,742.8 net) operating producing wells, including 2,558.6 net operated producing wells in the Williston Basin. Its working interest for producing wells averaged 46% in total and 77% in the wells it operates. The Company has an average daily production of 119,785 net barrels of oil equivalent per day (Boepd), including average daily production of 171,880 net Boepd with crude oil production of approximately 95,992 barrels of oil per day (Bopd).

Stocks with a Value Score from 81 to 100 are considered deep value, those with a score between 61 and 80 are value and so on.

Chord Energy Corp has a Value Score of 89, which is considered to be undervalued.

Chord Energy Corp’s price-earnings ratio is 6.5 compared to the industry median at 7.5. This means that it has a lower price relative to its earnings compared to its peers. This makes Chord Energy Corp more attractive for value investors.

Chord Energy Corp’s price-to-book ratio is lower than its peers. This could make Chord Energy Corp more attractive for value investors when compared to the industry median at 1.23.

You can read more about Chord Energy Corp’s key financial metrics like shareholder yield, price-to-free-cash-flow and EV/EBITDA ratio, or learn more about its Momentum and Growth Grades, by subscribing to A+ Investor.

Pioneer Natural Resources Co’s Value Grade

Value Grade:

Metric Score PXD Industry Median
Price/Sales 67 2.77 1.91
Price/Earnings 29 11.1 7.5
EV/EBITDA 26 6.0 4.5
Shareholder Yield 10 8.5% 1.4%
Price/Book Value 62 2.37 1.23
Price/Free Cash Flow 36 12.0 7.9

Pioneer Natural Resources Company is an independent oil and gas exploration and production company. The Company explores for, develops and produces oil, natural gas liquids (NGLs) and gas in the Midland Basin in West Texas. The Company conducts exploitation and exploration activities in the Spraberry/Wolfcamp oil field located in the Midland Basin in West Texas. The Company holds approximately 964 thousand gross acres, of which 948 thousand gross acres are located in the Spraberry/Wolfcamp field in the Midland Basin of West Texas. The Company has a joint venture with Sinochem Petroleum USA LLC, which encompasses approximately 212 thousand gross acres. The oil produced from the Spraberry/Wolfcamp field in the Midland Basin is West Texas Intermediate Sweet, and the gas produced is casinghead gas with an average energy content of 1,400 British thermal unit (Btu). The oil and gas are produced primarily from six formations, including Spraberry, Jo Mill, Dean, Wolfcamp, Strawn and Atoka.

Stocks with a Value Score from 81 to 100 are considered deep value, those with a score between 61 and 80 are value and so on.

Pioneer Natural Resources Co has a Value Score of 68, which is considered to be undervalued.

Pioneer Natural Resources Co’s price-earnings ratio is 11.1 compared to the industry median at 7.5. This means that it has a higher price relative to its earnings compared to its peers. This makes Pioneer Natural Resources Co less attractive for value investors.

Pioneer Natural Resources Co’s price-to-book ratio is lower than its peers. This could make Pioneer Natural Resources Co more attractive for value investors when compared to the industry median at 1.23.

You can read more about Pioneer Natural Resources Co’s key financial metrics like shareholder yield, price-to-free-cash-flow and EV/EBITDA ratio, or learn more about its Momentum and Growth Grades, by subscribing to A+ Investor.

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Other Oil & Gas - Exploration and Production Stock Grades

Value is just one of the five Stock Grades included in our A+ Investor service. AAII members can see the top-graded stocks—those with grades of A or B for value, growth, momentum, earnings estimate revisions and quality—on the A+ Stock Grades Screener.

Also, if you want full access to all of AAII’s premium services, you can subscribe to one convenient bundled plan called AAII Platinum where you can try out A+ Investor, AAII Dividend Investing, the Stock Superstars Report, Growth Investing and VMQ Stocks. With the other premium services, you can dive deep into additional metrics, portfolios, commentary and information about Oil & Gas - Exploration and Production stocks as well as other industrys.

Choosing Which of the 4 Best Oil & Gas - Exploration and Production Stocks Is Right for You

Choosing which value stocks to invest in will ultimately depend on your individual goals and allocation; however, comparing similar value stocks in the same industry can help you analyze which might be better investments for you in the long run. So, let’s take a look at the Value Grade for all of our stocks.

  • Berry Corporation (Bry) stock has a Value Grade of A.
  • Baytex Energy Corp stock has a Value Grade of A.
  • Chord Energy Corp stock has a Value Grade of A.
  • Pioneer Natural Resources Co stock has a Value Grade of B.

Now that you have a bit more background about each of the 4 undervalued stocks in the Oil & Gas - Exploration and Production industry as well as their overall grades, it’s time for you to conduct additional research to see if these could fit your portfolio needs based on your goals and risk tolerance. AAII can help you figure out both and identify which investments align with what works best for you.

We do so through a program of education that teaches you to invest for yourself and become an effective manager of your own wealth—no more relying on others for your financial independence. You can rely on AAII for timeless articles on financial planning and stock-picking, unbiased research and actionable analysis that makes you a better investor.

A+ Investor adds to that qualitative teaching by giving you a powerful data suite that helps you whittle down investment decisions to find stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs) or mutual funds that meet your needs.

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Additional Resources About Oil & Gas - Exploration and Production Stocks

Want to learn more about Oil & Gas - Exploration and Production stocks to see if they could be the right investment for you? Check out some additional resources and articles to help you on your financial journey.

AAII Disclaimer

We make no representations or warranties that any investor will, or is likely to, achieve profits similar to those shown, because past, hypothetical or simulated performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Before making an investment decision, you should consider your circumstances and whether the information on our content is applicable to your situation. This information was prepared in good faith and we accept no liability for any errors or omissions. The full disclaimer can be read here.



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