4 Undervalued Oil & Gas - Refining and Marketing Stocks for Thursday, February 29

By Eunice Kim
February 29, 2024
Diamond graphic indicating best value stocks in their industry
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Based on key financial metrics such as the price-to-sales ratio, shareholder yield and the price-earnings ratio, the following 4 stocks made the list for top value stocks in the Oil & Gas - Refining and Marketing industry. Those looking for value stocks to add to their portfolio may want to use this list as a starting point for further investment research.

Why Focus on Undervalued Oil & Gas - Refining and Marketing Stocks?

Value investors seek to buy stocks at a discount to their intrinsic value. Long-term returns show that such strategies are advantageous. Value stocks, as a group, tend to outperform growth stocks over extended periods of time. Typically, value investors perform financial analysis of numerous metrics, don’t follow the herd and are long-term investors.

AAII’s A+ Investor Value Grade is derived from a stock’s Value Score. The Value Score is the percentile rank of the average of the percentile ranks of the price-to-sales ratio, price-earnings ratio, enterprise-value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) ratio, shareholder yield, price-to-book-value ratio and price-to-free-cash-flow ratio. The score is variable, meaning it can consider all six ratios or, should any of the six ratios not be valid, the remaining ratios that are valid. To be assigned a Value Score, stocks must have a valid (non-null) ratio and corresponding ranking for at least two of the six valuation ratios.

What Goes Into AAII’s Value Grade?

Stock evaluation requires access to huge amounts of data as well as the knowledge and time to sift through it all, make sense of financial ratios, read income statements and analyze recent stock movement. AAII created A+ Investor, a robust data suite that condenses data research in an actionable and customizable way suitable for investors of all knowledge levels, to help investors with that task.

AAII’s proprietary stock grades come with A+ Investor. These offer intuitive A–F grades for more than just value. It is possible for a stock to appear cheap based on one valuation metric but appear expensive on another. It is also possible for one valuation ratio to be associated with outperforming stocks during certain periods of time but not others. Some stocks may even have null values for certain metrics like the price-earnings ratio or the price-to-book ratio but not others. An example of this would be a company with losses instead of profits or a negative book value because of heavy borrowing. Negative earnings or book value result in non-meaningful ratios that are left blank or null.

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4 Undervalued Oil & Gas - Refining and Marketing Stocks

Of course, there are countless value stocks that are worth mentioning, but this is a concise list of the top 4 undervalued stocks in the Oil & Gas - Refining and Marketing industry for Thursday, February 29, 2024. Let’s take a closer look at their individual scores to see how they measure up against each other and the Oil & Gas - Refining and Marketing industry median.

Company Ticker Price/Sales Price/Earnings EV/EBITDA Shareholder Yield Price/Book Value Price/Free Cash Flow Value Grade
Arko Corp. ARKO 0.08 20.1 6.6 3.2% 2.77 25.2 B
Cosan SA - ADR CSAN 0.80 na 9.3 2.5% 1.75 13.6 B
Imperial Oil Ltd (USA) IMO na na na 7.6% 2.04 21.0 B
Exxon Mobil Corp XOM 1.25 11.7 7.2 7.5% 2.10 18.6 B

The Value Grade is assigned based on how each stock’s composite valuation compares to all other stocks.

The process for assigning grades starts with each variable for a given stock. The percentile rankings for all valid ratios that a stock has are calculated. So, for instance, a stock could have a price-to-book ranking in the 43rd percentile, a price-earnings ranking in the 67th percentile, a price-to-sales ranking in the 23rd percentile, etc. Then, those rankings are averaged for each stock. (A minimum of two valid variables are required, though all six will be used if available.)

Once the average of the individual variables is calculated, that average is ranked against all stocks. Put another way, each stock’s composite valuation is compared to all other stocks. These ranks are then sorted into quintiles from the cheapest 20% (a grade of A) to the most expensive 20% (a grade of F).

As always, we recommend that you conduct proper due diligence and research before investing in any security. We also suggest that investors utilize numerous grades, not just value, when it comes to deciding whether a company is a good fit for their allocation needs.

Arko Corp.’s Value Grade

Value Grade:

Metric Score ARKO Industry Median
Price/Sales 3 0.08 0.31
Price/Earnings 54 20.1 12.3
EV/EBITDA 29 6.6 5.8
Shareholder Yield 26 3.2% 5.7%
Price/Book Value 68 2.77 2.02
Price/Free Cash Flow 63 25.2 14.2

Arko Corp. is an independent convenience store operator. The Company?s segments include Retail Segment, Wholesale Segment, Fleet Fueling Segment and GPMP Segment. The Retail segment includes the operation of a chain of retail stores, which includes convenience stores selling fuel products and other merchandise to retail customers. The Wholesale segment supplies fuel to independent dealers, on either a cost plus or consignment basis. The GPMP segment includes the operations of GPM Petroleum LP (GPMP), which primarily sells and supplies fuel to GPM. Its retail convenience stores offer a range of cold and hot food services, beverages, cigarettes and other tobacco products, candy, salty snacks, grocery, beer and general merchandise. It operates its stores under more than 20 regional store brands, including 1-Stop, Admiral, Apple Market, BreadBox, ExpressStop, E-Z Mart, fas mart, fastmarket, Handy Mart, Jetz, Jiffi Stop, Jiffy Stop, Li?l Cricket, Next Door Store, Pride and others.

Stocks with a Value Score from 81 to 100 are considered deep value, those with a score between 61 and 80 are value and so on.

Arko Corp. has a Value Score of 64, which is considered to be undervalued.

When you look at Arko Corp.’s price-to-sales ratio at 0.08 compared to the industry median at 0.31, this company has a lower price relative to revenue compared to its peers. This could make Arko Corp.’s stock more attractive for value investors.

Arko Corp.’s price-earnings ratio is 20.14 compared to the industry median at 12.31. This means it has a higher share price relative to earnings compared to its peers. This could make Arko Corp. less attractive for value investors.

Now, let’s assess Arko Corp.’s EV/EBITDA ratio, also known as enterprise multiple. At 6.6, when compared to the industry median of 5.8, the company may be considered overvalued in relation to its peers. Value investors could use the enterprise multiple to identify stocks that are considered overvalued or undervalued relative to their industry.

Shareholder yield is the sum of a stock’s dividend yield (paid over previous 12 months minus special dividends) and the percentage of net share buybacks over the previous 12 months. Arko Corp.’s shareholder yield is lower than its industry median ratio of 5.70%. Value investors may look for an attractive shareholder yield because it can be a powerful tool for identifying if the company has a good management team.

As one of the most common value metrics, the price-to-book ratio evaluates a company’s current market price relative to its book value. Arko Corp.’s price-to-book ratio is higher than its industry median ratio of 2.02. This could make Arko Corp. less attractive to investors looking for a new addition to their portfolio.

Lastly, let’s take a look at Arko Corp.’s price-to-free-cash-flow ratio (P/FCF), which can indicate a company’s market value relative to its operating cash flow. Arko Corp.’s price-to-free-cash-flow ratio is higher than its industry median ratio of 14.17. This could make Arko Corp. less attractive because the higher P/FCF ratio indicates that Arko Corp. is undervalued. The P/FCF ratio metric can also be viewed over a long-term time frame to see if the company's cash flow to share price value is generally improving or worsening.

Cosan SA - ADR’s Value Grade

Value Grade:

Metric Score CSAN Industry Median
Price/Sales 29 0.80 0.31
Price/Earnings na na 12.3
EV/EBITDA 46 9.3 5.8
Shareholder Yield 30 2.5% 5.7%
Price/Book Value 52 1.75 2.02
Price/Free Cash Flow 40 13.6 14.2

Cosan SA, formerly know as Cosan SA Industria e Comercio, is a Brazil-based company primarily engaged in the oil marketing sector. The Company's activities are divided into six business segments: Raizen Energia, which produces and distributes sugarcane derivatives, such as raw sugar and hydrated ethanol, and cogenerates energy from sugarcane bagasse; Raizen Combustiveis, which distributes fuel, mainly through a network of gasoline stations under the Shell brand name; Comgas, which focuses on the natural gas distribution in the state of Sao Paulo, Brazil; Radar, which is responsible for purchase, sale, management and leasing of agricultural land; Lubricants, which manufactures and sells lubricants under the Mobil brand name in Latin American market, as well as the Comma brand name in the European and Asian market, and Other, which includes investments in other businesses. The Company is a subsidiary of Cosan Ltd.

Stocks with a Value Score from 81 to 100 are considered deep value, those with a score between 61 and 80 are value and so on.

Cosan SA - ADR has a Value Score of 66, which is considered to be undervalued.

Cosan SA - ADR’s price-to-book ratio is higher than its peers. This could make Cosan SA - ADR less attractive for value investors when compared to the industry median at 2.02.

You can read more about Cosan SA - ADR’s key financial metrics like shareholder yield, price-to-free-cash-flow and EV/EBITDA ratio, or learn more about its Momentum and Growth Grades, by subscribing to A+ Investor.

Imperial Oil Ltd (USA)’s Value Grade

Value Grade:

Metric Score IMO Industry Median
Price/Sales na na 0.31
Price/Earnings na na 12.3
EV/EBITDA na na 5.8
Shareholder Yield 11 7.6% 5.7%
Price/Book Value 57 2.04 2.02
Price/Free Cash Flow 57 21.0 14.2

Imperial Oil Limited is a Canada-based integrated oil company. The Company is engaged in all phases of the petroleum industry in Canada, including the exploration for, and production and sale of, crude oil and natural gas. It is also a producer of crude oil, a petroleum refiner and a marketer of petroleum products. It is also a producer of petrochemicals. The Company’s operations are conducted in three main segments: Upstream, Downstream and Chemical. The Company’s operations include Cold Lake, Kearl, Nanticoke, Sarnia and Strathcona refinery. The Company’s products and services include Asphalt, Chemical products, Esso and Mobil stations, Esso Commercial Cardlocks, Lubricants, Marine, Safety Data Sheets and Wholesale fuels. The Sarnia operation is an integrated fuel, chemical manufacturing and petroleum research facility in Canada. The refinery can process about 120,000 barrels of crude oil daily. This crude oil is processed into a range of products for heat and transportation.

Stocks with a Value Score from 81 to 100 are considered deep value, those with a score between 61 and 80 are value and so on.

Imperial Oil Ltd (USA) has a Value Score of 62, which is considered to be undervalued.

Imperial Oil Ltd (USA)’s price-to-book ratio is lower than its peers. This could make Imperial Oil Ltd (USA) fairly attractive for value investors when compared to the industry median at 2.02.

You can read more about Imperial Oil Ltd (USA)’s key financial metrics like shareholder yield, price-to-free-cash-flow and EV/EBITDA ratio, or learn more about its Momentum and Growth Grades, by subscribing to A+ Investor.

Exxon Mobil Corp’s Value Grade

Value Grade:

Metric Score XOM Industry Median
Price/Sales 41 1.25 0.31
Price/Earnings 32 11.7 12.3
EV/EBITDA 34 7.2 5.8
Shareholder Yield 11 7.5% 5.7%
Price/Book Value 58 2.10 2.02
Price/Free Cash Flow 52 18.6 14.2

Exxon Mobil Corporation is an international energy and petrochemical company. The Company’s primary businesses include Upstream, Product Solutions and Low Carbon Solutions. Its Upstream division is engaged in exploring and developing oil and natural gas using technology. Its Product Solutions division is engaged in reducing greenhouse gas emissions and plastic waste by developing more sustainable products such as lower-emission fuels, chemical performance products and lubricants and plastics. Its Low Carbon Solutions segment is focused on commercializing lower-emission business opportunities in carbon capture and storage, hydrogen and lower-emission fuels. It owns and operates a carbon dioxide (CO2) pipeline network in the United States, adding more than 1,300 miles, including nearly 925 miles of CO2 pipelines in Louisiana, Texas and Mississippi. It also includes Gulf Coast and Rocky Mountain oil and natural gas operations. It also has over 15 onshore CO2 storage sites.

Stocks with a Value Score from 81 to 100 are considered deep value, those with a score between 61 and 80 are value and so on.

Exxon Mobil Corp has a Value Score of 68, which is considered to be undervalued.

Exxon Mobil Corp’s price-earnings ratio is 11.7 compared to the industry median at 12.3. This means that it has a lower price relative to its earnings compared to its peers. This makes Exxon Mobil Corp more attractive for value investors.

Exxon Mobil Corp’s price-to-book ratio is lower than its peers. This could make Exxon Mobil Corp more attractive for value investors when compared to the industry median at 2.02.

You can read more about Exxon Mobil Corp’s key financial metrics like shareholder yield, price-to-free-cash-flow and EV/EBITDA ratio, or learn more about its Momentum and Growth Grades, by subscribing to A+ Investor.

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Other Oil & Gas - Refining and Marketing Stock Grades

Value is just one of the five Stock Grades included in our A+ Investor service. AAII members can see the top-graded stocks—those with grades of A or B for value, growth, momentum, earnings estimate revisions and quality—on the A+ Stock Grades Screener.

Also, if you want full access to all of AAII’s premium services, you can subscribe to one convenient bundled plan called AAII Platinum where you can try out A+ Investor, AAII Dividend Investing, the Stock Superstars Report, Growth Investing and VMQ Stocks. With the other premium services, you can dive deep into additional metrics, portfolios, commentary and information about Oil & Gas - Refining and Marketing stocks as well as other industrys.

Choosing Which of the 4 Best Oil & Gas - Refining and Marketing Stocks Is Right for You

Choosing which value stocks to invest in will ultimately depend on your individual goals and allocation; however, comparing similar value stocks in the same industry can help you analyze which might be better investments for you in the long run. So, let’s take a look at the Value Grade for all of our stocks.

  • Arko Corp. stock has a Value Grade of B.
  • Cosan SA - ADR stock has a Value Grade of B.
  • Imperial Oil Ltd (USA) stock has a Value Grade of B.
  • Exxon Mobil Corp stock has a Value Grade of B.

Now that you have a bit more background about each of the 4 undervalued stocks in the Oil & Gas - Refining and Marketing industry as well as their overall grades, it’s time for you to conduct additional research to see if these could fit your portfolio needs based on your goals and risk tolerance. AAII can help you figure out both and identify which investments align with what works best for you.

We do so through a program of education that teaches you to invest for yourself and become an effective manager of your own wealth—no more relying on others for your financial independence. You can rely on AAII for timeless articles on financial planning and stock-picking, unbiased research and actionable analysis that makes you a better investor.

A+ Investor adds to that qualitative teaching by giving you a powerful data suite that helps you whittle down investment decisions to find stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs) or mutual funds that meet your needs.

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Additional Resources About Oil & Gas - Refining and Marketing Stocks

Want to learn more about Oil & Gas - Refining and Marketing stocks to see if they could be the right investment for you? Check out some additional resources and articles to help you on your financial journey.

AAII Disclaimer

We make no representations or warranties that any investor will, or is likely to, achieve profits similar to those shown, because past, hypothetical or simulated performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Before making an investment decision, you should consider your circumstances and whether the information on our content is applicable to your situation. This information was prepared in good faith and we accept no liability for any errors or omissions. The full disclaimer can be read here.



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