5 Undervalued Oil & Gas - Exploration and Production Stocks for Tuesday, April 02

By AAII Staff
April 02, 2024
Diamond graphic indicating best value stocks in their industry
Featured Tickers:
AAV EC ERF GRNT MUR

Based on key financial metrics such as the price-to-sales ratio, shareholder yield and the price-earnings ratio, the following 5 stocks made the list for top value stocks in the Oil & Gas - Exploration and Production industry. Those looking for value stocks to add to their portfolio may want to use this list as a starting point for further investment research.

Why Focus on Undervalued Oil & Gas - Exploration and Production Stocks?

Value investors seek to buy stocks at a discount to their intrinsic value. Long-term returns show that such strategies are advantageous. Value stocks, as a group, tend to outperform growth stocks over extended periods of time. Typically, value investors perform financial analysis of numerous metrics, don’t follow the herd and are long-term investors.

AAII’s A+ Investor Value Grade is derived from a stock’s Value Score. The Value Score is the percentile rank of the average of the percentile ranks of the price-to-sales ratio, price-earnings ratio, enterprise-value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) ratio, shareholder yield, price-to-book-value ratio and price-to-free-cash-flow ratio. The score is variable, meaning it can consider all six ratios or, should any of the six ratios not be valid, the remaining ratios that are valid. To be assigned a Value Score, stocks must have a valid (non-null) ratio and corresponding ranking for at least two of the six valuation ratios.

What Goes Into AAII’s Value Grade?

Stock evaluation requires access to huge amounts of data as well as the knowledge and time to sift through it all, make sense of financial ratios, read income statements and analyze recent stock movement. AAII created A+ Investor, a robust data suite that condenses data research in an actionable and customizable way suitable for investors of all knowledge levels, to help investors with that task.

AAII’s proprietary stock grades come with A+ Investor. These offer intuitive A–F grades for more than just value. It is possible for a stock to appear cheap based on one valuation metric but appear expensive on another. It is also possible for one valuation ratio to be associated with outperforming stocks during certain periods of time but not others. Some stocks may even have null values for certain metrics like the price-earnings ratio or the price-to-book ratio but not others. An example of this would be a company with losses instead of profits or a negative book value because of heavy borrowing. Negative earnings or book value result in non-meaningful ratios that are left blank or null.

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5 Undervalued Oil & Gas - Exploration and Production Stocks

Of course, there are countless value stocks that are worth mentioning, but this is a concise list of the top 5 undervalued stocks in the Oil & Gas - Exploration and Production industry for Tuesday, April 02, 2024. Let’s take a closer look at their individual scores to see how they measure up against each other and the Oil & Gas - Exploration and Production industry median.

Company Ticker Price/Sales Price/Earnings EV/EBITDA Shareholder Yield Price/Book Value Price/Free Cash Flow Value Grade
Advantage Energy Ltd AAV 2.35 12.3 4.5 9.0% 0.77 na A
Ecopetrol SA (ADR) EC 0.67 4.8 3.8 29.1% 1.23 na A
Enerplus Corp ERF 2.41 9.4 4.6 9.3% 3.27 4.8 A
Granite Ridge Resources Inc GRNT 2.19 10.7 3.2 na 1.28 5.2 A
Murphy Oil Corp MUR 2.07 11.0 4.0 3.7% 1.33 14.1 B

The Value Grade is assigned based on how each stock’s composite valuation compares to all other stocks.

The process for assigning grades starts with each variable for a given stock. The percentile rankings for all valid ratios that a stock has are calculated. So, for instance, a stock could have a price-to-book ranking in the 43rd percentile, a price-earnings ranking in the 67th percentile, a price-to-sales ranking in the 23rd percentile, etc. Then, those rankings are averaged for each stock. (A minimum of two valid variables are required, though all six will be used if available.)

Once the average of the individual variables is calculated, that average is ranked against all stocks. Put another way, each stock’s composite valuation is compared to all other stocks. These ranks are then sorted into quintiles from the cheapest 20% (a grade of A) to the most expensive 20% (a grade of F).

As always, we recommend that you conduct proper due diligence and research before investing in any security. We also suggest that investors utilize numerous grades, not just value, when it comes to deciding whether a company is a good fit for their allocation needs.

Advantage Energy Ltd’s Value Grade

Value Grade:

Metric Score AAV Industry Median
Price/Sales 61 2.35 2.21
Price/Earnings 32 12.3 8.8
EV/EBITDA 13 4.5 4.4
Shareholder Yield 9 9.0% 2.3%
Price/Book Value 19 0.77 1.45
Price/Free Cash Flow na na 8.2

Advantage Energy Ltd. is a Canada-based energy producer. The Company is focused on development and delineation of its world class Montney natural gas and liquids resource at Glacier, Wembley/Pipestone, Valhalla and Progress, Alberta. The Company’s Montney assets are located from approximately 4-80 kilometers (km) northwest of the city of Grande Prairie, Alberta. Its land holdings consist of 228 net sections (145,920 net acres) of liquids-rich Montney lands at Glacier, Valhalla, Progress and Pipestone/Wembley.

Stocks with a Value Score from 81 to 100 are considered deep value, those with a score between 61 and 80 are value and so on.

Advantage Energy Ltd has a Value Score of 88, which is considered to be undervalued.

When you look at Advantage Energy Ltd’s price-to-sales ratio at 2.35 compared to the industry median at 2.21, this company has a higher price relative to revenue compared to its peers. This could make Advantage Energy Ltd’s stock less attractive for value investors.

Advantage Energy Ltd’s price-earnings ratio is 12.32 compared to the industry median at 8.83. This means it has a higher share price relative to earnings compared to its peers. This could make Advantage Energy Ltd less attractive for value investors.

Now, let’s assess Advantage Energy Ltd’s EV/EBITDA ratio, also known as enterprise multiple. At 4.5, when compared to the industry median of 4.4, the company may be considered overvalued in relation to its peers. Value investors could use the enterprise multiple to identify stocks that are considered overvalued or undervalued relative to their industry.

Shareholder yield is the sum of a stock’s dividend yield (paid over previous 12 months minus special dividends) and the percentage of net share buybacks over the previous 12 months. Advantage Energy Ltd’s shareholder yield is higher than its industry median ratio of 2.29%. Value investors may look for an attractive shareholder yield because it can be a powerful tool for identifying if the company has a good management team.

As one of the most common value metrics, the price-to-book ratio evaluates a company’s current market price relative to its book value. Advantage Energy Ltd’s price-to-book ratio is lower than its industry median ratio of 1.45. This could make Advantage Energy Ltd more attractive to investors looking for a new addition to their portfolio.

Ecopetrol SA (ADR)’s Value Grade

Value Grade:

Metric Score EC Industry Median
Price/Sales 23 0.67 2.21
Price/Earnings 6 4.8 8.8
EV/EBITDA 10 3.8 4.4
Shareholder Yield 4 29.1% 2.3%
Price/Book Value 36 1.23 1.45
Price/Free Cash Flow na na 8.2

Ecopetrol S.A. is an oil company. The Company operates in Colombia, Peru, Brazil and the United States Gulf Coast. The Company's segments include Exploration and Production, Transportation and Logistics, and Refining, Petrochemicals and Biofuels. The Company's Exploration and Production segment includes exploration, development and production activities in Colombia and abroad. The Company's Transportation and Logistics segment includes the transportation of crude oil, motor fuels, fuel oil and other refined products, including diesel and biofuels. The Company's main crude oil pipeline systems' operating capacity is approximately 1.34 million barrels per day (BPD). The Company's main refineries are the Barrancabermeja refinery, which it directly owns and operates, and a refinery in the Free Trade Zone in Cartagena that is operated by Reficar S.A., a subsidiary of the Company. The Company also owns and operates two other minor refineries: Orito and Apiay.

Stocks with a Value Score from 81 to 100 are considered deep value, those with a score between 61 and 80 are value and so on.

Ecopetrol SA (ADR) has a Value Score of 98, which is considered to be undervalued.

Ecopetrol SA (ADR)’s price-earnings ratio is 4.8 compared to the industry median at 8.8. This means that it has a lower price relative to its earnings compared to its peers. This makes Ecopetrol SA (ADR) more attractive for value investors.

Ecopetrol SA (ADR)’s price-to-book ratio is higher than its peers. This could make Ecopetrol SA (ADR) less attractive for value investors when compared to the industry median at 1.45.

You can read more about Ecopetrol SA (ADR)’s key financial metrics like shareholder yield, price-to-free-cash-flow and EV/EBITDA ratio, or learn more about its Momentum and Growth Grades, by subscribing to A+ Investor.

Enerplus Corp’s Value Grade

Value Grade:

Metric Score ERF Industry Median
Price/Sales 62 2.41 2.21
Price/Earnings 21 9.4 8.8
EV/EBITDA 14 4.6 4.4
Shareholder Yield 9 9.3% 2.3%
Price/Book Value 72 3.27 1.45
Price/Free Cash Flow 10 4.8 8.2

Enerplus Corporation is a Canada-based independent oil and gas exploration and production company. The Company is focused on the development of North American oil and natural gas assets. Its portfolio includes light oil assets in the Bakken, North Dakota, and a position in the Marcellus natural gas shale region in northeast Pennsylvania. The Company's operations are concentrated in the core of the Bakken/Three Forks light oil shale play where it holds approximately 235,600 net acres in North Dakota. The acreage is primarily located across the Fort Berthold Indian Reservation, as well as in Williams and Dunn Counties. It holds an interest in approximately 32,500 net acres in the dry gas window of the Marcellus shale in northeast Pennsylvania. This non-operated position is located in Susquehanna, Bradford, Wyoming, Sullivan and Lycoming counties.

Stocks with a Value Score from 81 to 100 are considered deep value, those with a score between 61 and 80 are value and so on.

Enerplus Corp has a Value Score of 81, which is considered to be undervalued.

Enerplus Corp’s price-earnings ratio is 9.4 compared to the industry median at 8.8. This means that it has a higher price relative to its earnings compared to its peers. This makes Enerplus Corp less attractive for value investors.

Enerplus Corp’s price-to-book ratio is lower than its peers. This could make Enerplus Corp more attractive for value investors when compared to the industry median at 1.45.

You can read more about Enerplus Corp’s key financial metrics like shareholder yield, price-to-free-cash-flow and EV/EBITDA ratio, or learn more about its Momentum and Growth Grades, by subscribing to A+ Investor.

Granite Ridge Resources Inc’s Value Grade

Value Grade:

Metric Score GRNT Industry Median
Price/Sales 59 2.19 2.21
Price/Earnings 26 10.7 8.8
EV/EBITDA 8 3.2 4.4
Shareholder Yield na na 2.3%
Price/Book Value 38 1.28 1.45
Price/Free Cash Flow 11 5.2 8.2

Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. is an oil and gas exploration and production company. It owns a portfolio of wells and top-tier acreage across the Permian and four other prolific unconventional basins across the United States. It holds interests in wells in core operating areas of the Permian, Eagle Ford, Bakken, Haynesville and Denver-Julesburg (DJ) plays. It owns an interest in approximately 2,826 gross (176.50 net) producing wells, 309,472. The Permian Basin extends from southeastern New Mexico into west Texas. The Permian Basin consists of mature legacy onshore oil and liquids-rich natural gas reservoirs. The Eagle Ford shale formation stretches across south Texas and includes Austin Chalk and Buda formations. The Williston Basin stretches through North Dakota, the northwest part of South Dakota, and eastern Montana. The Haynesville Basin is a premier natural gas basin located in Northwestern Louisiana and East Texas. The DJ basin is a geologic basin centered in eastern Colorado.

Stocks with a Value Score from 81 to 100 are considered deep value, those with a score between 61 and 80 are value and so on.

Granite Ridge Resources Inc has a Value Score of 85, which is considered to be undervalued.

Granite Ridge Resources Inc’s price-earnings ratio is 10.7 compared to the industry median at 8.8. This means that it has a higher price relative to its earnings compared to its peers. This makes Granite Ridge Resources Inc less attractive for value investors.

Granite Ridge Resources Inc’s price-to-book ratio is higher than its peers. This could make Granite Ridge Resources Inc less attractive for value investors when compared to the industry median at 1.45.

You can read more about Granite Ridge Resources Inc’s key financial metrics like shareholder yield, price-to-free-cash-flow and EV/EBITDA ratio, or learn more about its Momentum and Growth Grades, by subscribing to A+ Investor.

Murphy Oil Corp’s Value Grade

Value Grade:

Metric Score MUR Industry Median
Price/Sales 57 2.07 2.21
Price/Earnings 27 11.0 8.8
EV/EBITDA 11 4.0 4.4
Shareholder Yield 24 3.7% 2.3%
Price/Book Value 40 1.33 1.45
Price/Free Cash Flow 40 14.1 8.2

Murphy Oil Corporation is an independent oil and gas exploration and production company. The Company is engaged in both onshore and offshore operations and properties. The Company’s geographic segments include the United States, Canada, and all other countries. It produces crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids primarily in the United States and Canada and explores for crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids in targeted areas worldwide. In the United States, it produces crude oil, natural gas liquids and natural gas primarily from fields in the Gulf of Mexico and in the Eagle Ford Shale area of South Texas. It holds rights to approximately 133 thousand gross acres in South Texas in the Eagle Ford Shale unconventional oil and natural gas play. In Canada, it holds working interests in Tupper Montney (100% owned), Kaybob Duvernay (operated) and two non-operated offshore assets: the Hibernia and Terra Nova fields, located offshore Newfoundland in the Jeanne d’Arc Basin.

Stocks with a Value Score from 81 to 100 are considered deep value, those with a score between 61 and 80 are value and so on.

Murphy Oil Corp has a Value Score of 77, which is considered to be undervalued.

Murphy Oil Corp’s price-earnings ratio is 11.0 compared to the industry median at 8.8. This means that it has a higher price relative to its earnings compared to its peers. This makes Murphy Oil Corp less attractive for value investors.

Murphy Oil Corp’s price-to-book ratio is higher than its peers. This could make Murphy Oil Corp less attractive for value investors when compared to the industry median at 1.45.

You can read more about Murphy Oil Corp’s key financial metrics like shareholder yield, price-to-free-cash-flow and EV/EBITDA ratio, or learn more about its Momentum and Growth Grades, by subscribing to A+ Investor.

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Other Oil & Gas - Exploration and Production Stock Grades

Value is just one of the five Stock Grades included in our A+ Investor service. AAII members can see the top-graded stocks—those with grades of A or B for value, growth, momentum, earnings estimate revisions and quality—on the A+ Stock Grades Screener.

Also, if you want full access to all of AAII’s premium services, you can subscribe to one convenient bundled plan called AAII Platinum where you can try out A+ Investor, AAII Dividend Investing, the Stock Superstars Report, Growth Investing and VMQ Stocks. With the other premium services, you can dive deep into additional metrics, portfolios, commentary and information about Oil & Gas - Exploration and Production stocks as well as other industrys.

Choosing Which of the 5 Best Oil & Gas - Exploration and Production Stocks Is Right for You

Choosing which value stocks to invest in will ultimately depend on your individual goals and allocation; however, comparing similar value stocks in the same industry can help you analyze which might be better investments for you in the long run. So, let’s take a look at the Value Grade for all of our stocks.

  • Advantage Energy Ltd stock has a Value Grade of A.
  • Ecopetrol SA (ADR) stock has a Value Grade of A.
  • Enerplus Corp stock has a Value Grade of A.
  • Granite Ridge Resources Inc stock has a Value Grade of A.
  • Murphy Oil Corp stock has a Value Grade of B.

Now that you have a bit more background about each of the 5 undervalued stocks in the Oil & Gas - Exploration and Production industry as well as their overall grades, it’s time for you to conduct additional research to see if these could fit your portfolio needs based on your goals and risk tolerance. AAII can help you figure out both and identify which investments align with what works best for you.

We do so through a program of education that teaches you to invest for yourself and become an effective manager of your own wealth—no more relying on others for your financial independence. You can rely on AAII for timeless articles on financial planning and stock-picking, unbiased research and actionable analysis that makes you a better investor.

A+ Investor adds to that qualitative teaching by giving you a powerful data suite that helps you whittle down investment decisions to find stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs) or mutual funds that meet your needs.

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Additional Resources About Oil & Gas - Exploration and Production Stocks

Want to learn more about Oil & Gas - Exploration and Production stocks to see if they could be the right investment for you? Check out some additional resources and articles to help you on your financial journey.

AAII Disclaimer

We make no representations or warranties that any investor will, or is likely to, achieve profits similar to those shown, because past, hypothetical or simulated performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Before making an investment decision, you should consider your circumstances and whether the information on our content is applicable to your situation. This information was prepared in good faith and we accept no liability for any errors or omissions. The full disclaimer can be read here.



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