4 Undervalued Oil & Gas - Exploration and Production Stocks for Wednesday, September 25

By Jenna Brashear
September 25, 2024
Diamond graphic indicating best value stocks in their industry
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Based on key financial metrics such as the price-to-sales ratio, shareholder yield and the price-earnings ratio, the following 4 stocks made the list for top value stocks in the Oil & Gas - Exploration and Production industry. Those looking for value stocks to add to their portfolio may want to use this list as a starting point for further investment research.

Why Focus on Undervalued Oil & Gas - Exploration and Production Stocks?

Value investors seek to buy stocks at a discount to their intrinsic value. Long-term returns show that such strategies are advantageous. Value stocks, as a group, tend to outperform growth stocks over extended periods of time. Typically, value investors perform financial analysis of numerous metrics, don’t follow the herd and are long-term investors.

AAII’s A+ Investor Value Grade is derived from a stock’s Value Score. The Value Score is the percentile rank of the average of the percentile ranks of the price-to-sales ratio, price-earnings ratio, enterprise-value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) ratio, shareholder yield, price-to-book-value ratio and price-to-free-cash-flow ratio. The score is variable, meaning it can consider all six ratios or, should any of the six ratios not be valid, the remaining ratios that are valid. To be assigned a Value Score, stocks must have a valid (non-null) ratio and corresponding ranking for at least two of the six valuation ratios.

What Goes Into AAII’s Value Grade?

Stock evaluation requires access to huge amounts of data as well as the knowledge and time to sift through it all, make sense of financial ratios, read income statements and analyze recent stock movement. AAII created A+ Investor, a robust data suite that condenses data research in an actionable and customizable way suitable for investors of all knowledge levels, to help investors with that task.

AAII’s proprietary stock grades come with A+ Investor. These offer intuitive A–F grades for more than just value. It is possible for a stock to appear cheap based on one valuation metric but appear expensive on another. It is also possible for one valuation ratio to be associated with outperforming stocks during certain periods of time but not others. Some stocks may even have null values for certain metrics like the price-earnings ratio or the price-to-book ratio but not others. An example of this would be a company with losses instead of profits or a negative book value because of heavy borrowing. Negative earnings or book value result in non-meaningful ratios that are left blank or null.

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4 Undervalued Oil & Gas - Exploration and Production Stocks

Of course, there are countless value stocks that are worth mentioning, but this is a concise list of the top 4 undervalued stocks in the Oil & Gas - Exploration and Production industry for Wednesday, September 25, 2024. Let’s take a closer look at their individual scores to see how they measure up against each other and the Oil & Gas - Exploration and Production industry median.

Company Ticker Price/Sales Price/Earnings EV/EBITDA Shareholder Yield Price/Book Value Price/Free Cash Flow Value Grade
APA Corp (US) APA 1.05 2.8 3.6 (16.5%) 1.73 3.1 A
Diamondback Energy Inc FANG 3.56 9.6 6.2 6.9% 1.90 8.0 B
Ovintiv Inc OVV 1.04 5.8 3.8 (3.8%) 1.05 12.2 A
SM Energy Co SM 1.99 6.1 3.6 5.7% 1.27 5.8 A

The Value Grade is assigned based on how each stock’s composite valuation compares to all other stocks.

The process for assigning grades starts with each variable for a given stock. The percentile rankings for all valid ratios that a stock has are calculated. So, for instance, a stock could have a price-to-book ranking in the 43rd percentile, a price-earnings ranking in the 67th percentile, a price-to-sales ranking in the 23rd percentile, etc. Then, those rankings are averaged for each stock. (A minimum of two valid variables are required, though all six will be used if available.)

Once the average of the individual variables is calculated, that average is ranked against all stocks. Put another way, each stock’s composite valuation is compared to all other stocks. These ranks are then sorted into quintiles from the cheapest 20% (a grade of A) to the most expensive 20% (a grade of F).

As always, we recommend that you conduct proper due diligence and research before investing in any security. We also suggest that investors utilize numerous grades, not just value, when it comes to deciding whether a company is a good fit for their allocation needs.

APA Corp (US)’s Value Grade

Value Grade:

Metric Score APA Industry Median
Price/Sales 35 1.05 2.13
Price/Earnings 2 2.8 11.2
EV/EBITDA 9 3.6 5.2
Shareholder Yield 82 (16.5%) 0.6%
Price/Book Value 50 1.73 1.37
Price/Free Cash Flow 6 3.1 7.0

APA Corporation is an independent energy company. The Company owns subsidiaries that explore for and produce oil and natural gas in the United States, Egypt, and the United Kingdom, and that explore for oil and natural gas offshore Suriname. The Company’s upstream business has oil and gas operations in three geographic areas: the United States, Egypt and offshore the United Kingdom in the North Sea (North Sea). It also has active exploration and appraisal operations ongoing in Suriname, as well as interests in Uruguay and other international locations. It maintains a diversified asset portfolio, including conventional and unconventional, onshore and offshore, oil and natural gas exploration and production interests. In the United States, operations are primarily focused on the Permian Basin of West Texas and Eastern New Mexico, with additional operations located in the Eagle Ford shale and Austin Chalk areas of Southeast Texas, offshore in the Gulf of Mexico, and along the Gulf Coast.

Stocks with a Value Score from 81 to 100 are considered deep value, those with a score between 61 and 80 are value and so on.

APA Corp (US) has a Value Score of 82, which is considered to be undervalued.

When you look at APA Corp (US)’s price-to-sales ratio at 1.05 compared to the industry median at 2.13, this company has a lower price relative to revenue compared to its peers. This could make APA Corp (US)’s stock more attractive for value investors.

APA Corp (US)’s price-earnings ratio is 2.78 compared to the industry median at 11.20. This means it has a lower share price relative to earnings compared to its peers. This could make APA Corp (US) more attractive for value investors.

Now, let’s assess APA Corp (US)’s EV/EBITDA ratio, also known as enterprise multiple. At 3.6, when compared to the industry median of 5.2, the company may be considered undervalued in relation to its peers. Value investors could use the enterprise multiple to identify stocks that are considered overvalued or undervalued relative to their industry.

Shareholder yield is the sum of a stock’s dividend yield (paid over previous 12 months minus special dividends) and the percentage of net share buybacks over the previous 12 months. APA Corp (US)’s shareholder yield is lower than its industry median ratio of 0.63%. Value investors may look for an attractive shareholder yield because it can be a powerful tool for identifying if the company has a good management team.

As one of the most common value metrics, the price-to-book ratio evaluates a company’s current market price relative to its book value. APA Corp (US)’s price-to-book ratio is higher than its industry median ratio of 1.37. This could make APA Corp (US) less attractive to investors looking for a new addition to their portfolio.

Lastly, let’s take a look at APA Corp (US)’s price-to-free-cash-flow ratio (P/FCF), which can indicate a company’s market value relative to its operating cash flow. APA Corp (US)’s price-to-free-cash-flow ratio is lower than its industry median ratio of 6.97. This could make APA Corp (US) more attractive because the lower P/FCF ratio indicates that APA Corp (US) is undervalued. The P/FCF ratio metric can also be viewed over a long-term time frame to see if the company's cash flow to share price value is generally improving or worsening.

Diamondback Energy Inc’s Value Grade

Value Grade:

Metric Score FANG Industry Median
Price/Sales 73 3.56 2.13
Price/Earnings 18 9.6 11.2
EV/EBITDA 23 6.2 5.2
Shareholder Yield 10 6.9% 0.6%
Price/Book Value 53 1.90 1.37
Price/Free Cash Flow 18 8.0 7.0

Diamondback Energy, Inc. is an independent oil and natural gas company focused on the acquisition, development, exploration and exploitation of unconventional, onshore oil and natural gas reserves primarily in the Permian Basin in West Texas. The Company's activities are primarily focused on horizontal development of the Spraberry and Wolfcamp formations of the Midland Basin and the Wolfcamp and Bone Spring formations of the Delaware Basin, both of which are part of the larger Permian Basin in West Texas and New Mexico. Its total acreage position in the Permian Basin includes approximately 607,877 gross (493,769 net) acres, which consists primarily of 428,324 gross (349,707 net) acres in the Midland Basin and 174,828 gross (143,742 net) acres in the Delaware Basin. The Company is also engaged in midstream gathering, compression, water handling, disposal and treatment operations. Its subsidiary Viper Energy, Inc., also owns mineral interests in the Permian Basin.

Stocks with a Value Score from 81 to 100 are considered deep value, those with a score between 61 and 80 are value and so on.

Diamondback Energy Inc has a Value Score of 79, which is considered to be undervalued.

Diamondback Energy Inc’s price-earnings ratio is 9.6 compared to the industry median at 11.2. This means that it has a lower price relative to its earnings compared to its peers. This makes Diamondback Energy Inc more attractive for value investors.

Diamondback Energy Inc’s price-to-book ratio is lower than its peers. This could make Diamondback Energy Inc more attractive for value investors when compared to the industry median at 1.37.

You can read more about Diamondback Energy Inc’s key financial metrics like shareholder yield, price-to-free-cash-flow and EV/EBITDA ratio, or learn more about its Momentum and Growth Grades, by subscribing to A+ Investor.

Ovintiv Inc’s Value Grade

Value Grade:

Metric Score OVV Industry Median
Price/Sales 35 1.04 2.13
Price/Earnings 7 5.8 11.2
EV/EBITDA 9 3.8 5.2
Shareholder Yield 70 (3.8%) 0.6%
Price/Book Value 31 1.05 1.37
Price/Free Cash Flow 32 12.2 7.0

Ovintiv Inc. is an oil and natural gas exploration and production company. The Company is focused on the development of its multi-basin portfolio of top tier oil and natural gas assets located in the United States and Canada. Its operations also include the marketing of oil, natural gas liquids (NGLs) and natural gas. Its segments include USA Operations, Canadian Operations, and Market Optimization. USA Operations segment includes the exploration for, development of, and production of oil, NGLs, natural gas and other related activities within the United States. Canadian Operations segment includes the exploration for, development of, and production of oil, NGLs, natural gas and other activities within Canada. Market Optimization segment is primarily responsible for the sale of the Company’s production to third-party customers and enhancing the associated netback price. The segment’s activities also include third-party purchases and sales of product to provide operational flexibility.

Stocks with a Value Score from 81 to 100 are considered deep value, those with a score between 61 and 80 are value and so on.

Ovintiv Inc has a Value Score of 82, which is considered to be undervalued.

Ovintiv Inc’s price-earnings ratio is 5.8 compared to the industry median at 11.2. This means that it has a lower price relative to its earnings compared to its peers. This makes Ovintiv Inc more attractive for value investors.

Ovintiv Inc’s price-to-book ratio is higher than its peers. This could make Ovintiv Inc less attractive for value investors when compared to the industry median at 1.37.

You can read more about Ovintiv Inc’s key financial metrics like shareholder yield, price-to-free-cash-flow and EV/EBITDA ratio, or learn more about its Momentum and Growth Grades, by subscribing to A+ Investor.

SM Energy Co’s Value Grade

Value Grade:

Metric Score SM Industry Median
Price/Sales 55 1.99 2.13
Price/Earnings 7 6.1 11.2
EV/EBITDA 9 3.6 5.2
Shareholder Yield 14 5.7% 0.6%
Price/Book Value 38 1.27 1.37
Price/Free Cash Flow 12 5.8 7.0

SM Energy Company is an independent energy company. The Company is engaged in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil, gas, and natural gas liquid (NGL) in the state of Texas. The Company’s asset portfolio is comprised of assets in the Midland Basin of West Texas and in the Maverick Basin of South Texas. The Company’s Midland Basin assets are located in the Permian Basin in West Texas is comprised of approximately 110,000 net acres and include its RockStar assets in Howard and Martin Counties, Texas, its Sweetie Peck assets in Upton and Midland Counties, and Klondike assets in Dawson and northern Martin counties (Midland Basin). Its South Texas assets are comprised of approximately 155,000 net acres located in Dimmit and Webb Counties, Texas (South Texas). The Company’s operations in South Texas are focused on production from the Eagle Ford shale formation and Austin Chalk formation, and further development of the Austin Chalk formation.

Stocks with a Value Score from 81 to 100 are considered deep value, those with a score between 61 and 80 are value and so on.

SM Energy Co has a Value Score of 93, which is considered to be undervalued.

SM Energy Co’s price-earnings ratio is 6.1 compared to the industry median at 11.2. This means that it has a lower price relative to its earnings compared to its peers. This makes SM Energy Co more attractive for value investors.

SM Energy Co’s price-to-book ratio is higher than its peers. This could make SM Energy Co less attractive for value investors when compared to the industry median at 1.37.

You can read more about SM Energy Co’s key financial metrics like shareholder yield, price-to-free-cash-flow and EV/EBITDA ratio, or learn more about its Momentum and Growth Grades, by subscribing to A+ Investor.

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Other Oil & Gas - Exploration and Production Stock Grades

Value is just one of the five Stock Grades included in our A+ Investor service. AAII members can see the top-graded stocks—those with grades of A or B for value, growth, momentum, earnings estimate revisions and quality—on the A+ Stock Grades Screener.

Also, if you want full access to all of AAII’s premium services, you can subscribe to one convenient bundled plan called AAII Platinum where you can try out A+ Investor, AAII Dividend Investing, the Stock Superstars Report, Growth Investing and VMQ Stocks. With the other premium services, you can dive deep into additional metrics, portfolios, commentary and information about Oil & Gas - Exploration and Production stocks as well as other industrys.

Choosing Which of the 4 Best Oil & Gas - Exploration and Production Stocks Is Right for You

Choosing which value stocks to invest in will ultimately depend on your individual goals and allocation; however, comparing similar value stocks in the same industry can help you analyze which might be better investments for you in the long run. So, let’s take a look at the Value Grade for all of our stocks.

  • APA Corp (US) stock has a Value Grade of A.
  • Diamondback Energy Inc stock has a Value Grade of B.
  • Ovintiv Inc stock has a Value Grade of A.
  • SM Energy Co stock has a Value Grade of A.

Now that you have a bit more background about each of the 4 undervalued stocks in the Oil & Gas - Exploration and Production industry as well as their overall grades, it’s time for you to conduct additional research to see if these could fit your portfolio needs based on your goals and risk tolerance. AAII can help you figure out both and identify which investments align with what works best for you.

We do so through a program of education that teaches you to invest for yourself and become an effective manager of your own wealth—no more relying on others for your financial independence. You can rely on AAII for timeless articles on financial planning and stock-picking, unbiased research and actionable analysis that makes you a better investor.

A+ Investor adds to that qualitative teaching by giving you a powerful data suite that helps you whittle down investment decisions to find stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs) or mutual funds that meet your needs.

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Additional Resources About Oil & Gas - Exploration and Production Stocks

Want to learn more about Oil & Gas - Exploration and Production stocks to see if they could be the right investment for you? Check out some additional resources and articles to help you on your financial journey.

AAII Disclaimer

We make no representations or warranties that any investor will, or is likely to, achieve profits similar to those shown, because past, hypothetical or simulated performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Before making an investment decision, you should consider your circumstances and whether the information on our content is applicable to your situation. This information was prepared in good faith and we accept no liability for any errors or omissions. The full disclaimer can be read here.



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