3 Undervalued Airlines Stocks for Friday, January 13

By AAII Staff
January 13, 2023
Diamond graphic indicating best value stocks in their industry
Featured Tickers:
AAL MESA

Based on key financial metrics such as the price-to-sales ratio, shareholder yield and the price-earnings ratio, the following 3 stocks made the list for top value stocks in the Airlines industry. Those looking for value stocks to add to their portfolio may want to use this list as a starting point for further investment research.

Latest Airlines Stock News

Before choosing which top Airlines stock to buy, be sure to conduct proper due diligence: analyze various financial metrics and look at historical data, public statements and news coverage.

 The outlook for the airline industry is relatively negative for the next year. Although May 2021 saw airline travel reach 75% of what it was before the pandemic, most airlines are not going to achieve substantial profits due to a lack of passengers and low-ticket prices. While domestic travel has made a partial recovery, there is still a lack of demand compared to the pre-pandemic era. This is mainly due to high unemployment and foreign countries being behind the United States in terms of vaccination progress. Furthermore, the lack of business travel is unlikely to change, as most companies will wait until the pandemic is fully over to begin letting employees take work-related trips. However, this setback is only temporary as we have already seen American and Chinese firms be eager to go back to this method, suggesting that most companies will resume business travel at some point. As a result of the pandemic, new aircraft deliveries have been postponed or cancelled altogether, meaning that airlines will receive lower prices for the newest airplanes well into the future. These lower costs may allow airlines to have greater profit margins in future quarters due to the new innovations coming at lower prices.

Why Focus on Undervalued Airlines Stocks?

Value investors seek to buy stocks at a discount to their intrinsic value. Long-term returns show that such strategies are advantageous. Value stocks, as a group, tend to outperform growth stocks over extended periods of time. Typically, value investors perform financial analysis of numerous metrics, don’t follow the herd and are long-term investors.

AAII’s A+ Investor Value Grade is derived from a stock’s Value Score. The Value Score is the percentile rank of the average of the percentile ranks of the price-to-sales ratio, price-earnings ratio, enterprise-value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) ratio, shareholder yield, price-to-book-value ratio and price-to-free-cash-flow ratio. The score is variable, meaning it can consider all six ratios or, should any of the six ratios not be valid, the remaining ratios that are valid. To be assigned a Value Score, stocks must have a valid (non-null) ratio and corresponding ranking for at least two of the six valuation ratios.

What Goes Into AAII’s Value Grade?

Stock evaluation requires access to huge amounts of data as well as the knowledge and time to sift through it all, make sense of financial ratios, read income statements and analyze recent stock movement. AAII created A+ Investor, a robust data suite that condenses data research in an actionable and customizable way suitable for investors of all knowledge levels, to help investors with that task.

AAII’s proprietary stock grades come with A+ Investor. These offer intuitive A–F grades for more than just value. It is possible for a stock to appear cheap based on one valuation metric but appear expensive on another. It is also possible for one valuation ratio to be associated with outperforming stocks during certain periods of time but not others. Some stocks may even have null values for certain metrics like the price-earnings ratio or the price-to-book ratio but not others. An example of this would be a company with losses instead of profits or a negative book value because of heavy borrowing. Negative earnings or book value result in non-meaningful ratios that are left blank or null.

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3 Undervalued Airlines Stocks

Of course, there are countless value stocks that are worth mentioning, but this is a concise list of the top 3 undervalued stocks in the Airlines industry for Friday, January 13, 2023. Let’s take a closer look at their individual scores to see how they measure up against each other and the Airlines industry median.

Company Ticker Price/Sales Price/Earnings EV/EBITDA Shareholder Yield Price/Book Value Price/Free Cash Flow Value Grade
American Airlines Group Inc AAL 0.24 na 21.0 (0.3%) na 3.4 B
Gol Linhas Aereas Inteligentes SA (ADR) GOL 0.25 na na 0.0% na 2.4 A
Mesa Air Group Inc MESA 0.18 na 9.4 (1.2%) 0.31 na A

The Value Grade is assigned based on how each stock’s composite valuation compares to all other stocks.

The process for assigning grades starts with each variable for a given stock. The percentile rankings for all valid ratios that a stock has are calculated. So, for instance, a stock could have a price-to-book ranking in the 43rd percentile, a price-earnings ranking in the 67th percentile, a price-to-sales ranking in the 23rd percentile, etc. Then, those rankings are averaged for each stock. (A minimum of two valid variables are required, though all six will be used if available.)

Once the average of the individual variables is calculated, that average is ranked against all stocks. Put another way, each stock’s composite valuation is compared to all other stocks. These ranks are then sorted into quintiles from the cheapest 20% (a grade of A) to the most expensive 20% (a grade of F).

As always, we recommend that you conduct proper due diligence and research before investing in any security. We also suggest that investors utilize numerous grades, not just value, when it comes to deciding whether a company is a good fit for their allocation needs.

American Airlines Group Inc’s Value Grade

Value Grade:

Metric Score AAL Industry Median
Price/Sales 8 0.24 0.46
Price/Earnings na na 59.2
EV/EBITDA 83 21.0 9.4
Shareholder Yield 50 (0.3%) (1.1%)
Price/Book Value na na 1.60
Price/Free Cash Flow 8 3.4 4.1

American Airlines Group Inc. is a holding company. The Company's primary business activity is the operation of a network air carrier, providing scheduled air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through American segment, which provides air transportation for passengers and cargo. The Company together with its regional airline subsidiaries and third-party regional carriers operates under American Eagle brand, providing scheduled air transportation for passengers and cargo through its hubs in Charlotte, Chicago, Dallas/Fort Worth, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, Philadelphia, Phoenix and Washington, District of Columbia (D.C.) and partner gateways, including in London, Madrid, Seattle/Tacoma, Sydney and Tokyo. Its subsidiaries include American Airlines, Inc., Envoy Aviation Group Inc., PSA Airlines, Inc. and Piedmont Airlines, Inc. Its cargo division provides a range of freight and mail services with facilities and interline connections available across the globe.

Stocks with a Value Score from 81 to 100 are considered deep value, those with a score between 61 and 80 are value and so on.

American Airlines Group Inc has a Value Score of 72, which is considered to be undervalued.

When you look at American Airlines Group Inc’s price-to-sales ratio at 0.24 compared to the industry median at 0.46, this company has a lower price relative to revenue compared to its peers. This could make American Airlines Group Inc’s stock more attractive for value investors.

Now, let’s assess American Airlines Group Inc’s EV/EBITDA ratio, also known as enterprise multiple. At 21.0, when compared to the industry median of 9.4, the company may be considered overvalued in relation to its peers. Value investors could use the enterprise multiple to identify stocks that are considered overvalued or undervalued relative to their industry.

Shareholder yield is the sum of a stock’s dividend yield (paid over previous 12 months minus special dividends) and the percentage of net share buybacks over the previous 12 months. American Airlines Group Inc’s shareholder yield is higher than its industry median ratio of (1.05%). Value investors may look for an attractive shareholder yield because it can be a powerful tool for identifying if the company has a good management team.

Lastly, let’s take a look at American Airlines Group Inc’s price-to-free-cash-flow ratio (P/FCF), which can indicate a company’s market value relative to its operating cash flow. American Airlines Group Inc’s price-to-free-cash-flow ratio is lower than its industry median ratio of 4.11. This could make American Airlines Group Inc more attractive because the lower P/FCF ratio indicates that American Airlines Group Inc is undervalued. The P/FCF ratio metric can also be viewed over a long-term time frame to see if the company's cash flow to share price value is generally improving or worsening.

Gol Linhas Aereas Inteligentes SA (ADR)’s Value Grade

Value Grade:

Metric Score GOL Industry Median
Price/Sales 8 0.25 0.46
Price/Earnings na na 59.2
EV/EBITDA na na 9.4
Shareholder Yield 46 0.0% (1.1%)
Price/Book Value na na 1.60
Price/Free Cash Flow 6 2.4 4.1

Gol Linhas Aereas Inteligentes SA is a Brazil-based airline that provides scheduled air transportation for passengers and cargo to over 100 destinations in Brazil, South America, the Caribbean and the United States. The Company operates through two segments: Flight Transportation and Loyalty Program. The Flight Transportation segment operations originate from its subsidiary Gol Linhas Aereas SA (GLA) for the provision of air transportation services. This segment includes GOLLOG, the Company's cargo transportation and logistics business. The Firm operates a fleet of approximately 140 Boeing 737 aircrafts. The Loyalty program segment operations are represented by the SMILES coalition loyalty program, which enables clients to accumulate miles and redeem tickets for more than 700 locations worldwide.

Stocks with a Value Score from 81 to 100 are considered deep value, those with a score between 61 and 80 are value and so on.

Gol Linhas Aereas Inteligentes SA (ADR) has a Value Score of 95, which is considered to be undervalued.

You can read more about Gol Linhas Aereas Inteligentes SA (ADR)’s key financial metrics like shareholder yield, price-to-free-cash-flow and EV/EBITDA ratio, or learn more about its Momentum and Growth Grades, by subscribing to A+ Investor.

Mesa Air Group Inc’s Value Grade

Value Grade:

Metric Score MESA Industry Median
Price/Sales 5 0.18 0.46
Price/Earnings na na 59.2
EV/EBITDA 51 9.4 9.4
Shareholder Yield 58 (1.2%) (1.1%)
Price/Book Value 4 0.31 1.60
Price/Free Cash Flow na na 4.1

Mesa Air Group, Inc. is a holding company of Mesa Airlines, Inc. (Mesa Airlines). Mesa Airlines operates as a regional air carrier provider, which schedules flight service to approximately 120 cities in 42 states, the District of Columbia, and Mexico, as well as cargo services out of Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky International Airport. Mesa Airlines operates a fleet of approximately 167 aircraft with approximately 457 daily departures and also leases approximately 12 aircraft to a third party. Its partners include American Airlines, Inc. (American), United Airlines, Inc. (United) and DHL Network Operations (United States), Inc. (DHL). Mesa Airlines operates all of its flights on behalf of partners as either American Eagle, United Express, or DHL Express flights.

Stocks with a Value Score from 81 to 100 are considered deep value, those with a score between 61 and 80 are value and so on.

Mesa Air Group Inc has a Value Score of 85, which is considered to be undervalued.

Mesa Air Group Inc’s price-to-book ratio is higher than its peers. This could make Mesa Air Group Inc less attractive for value investors when compared to the industry median at 1.60.

You can read more about Mesa Air Group Inc’s key financial metrics like shareholder yield, price-to-free-cash-flow and EV/EBITDA ratio, or learn more about its Momentum and Growth Grades, by subscribing to A+ Investor.

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Other Airlines Stock Grades

Value is just one of the five Stock Grades included in our A+ Investor service. AAII members can see the top-graded stocks—those with grades of A or B for value, growth, momentum, earnings estimate revisions and quality—on the A+ Stock Grades Screener.

Also, if you want full access to all of AAII’s premium services, you can subscribe to one convenient bundled plan called AAII Platinum where you can try out A+ Investor, AAII Dividend Investing, the Stock Superstars Report, Growth Investing and VMQ Stocks. With the other premium services, you can dive deep into additional metrics, portfolios, commentary and information about Airlines stocks as well as other industrys.

Choosing Which of the 3 Best Airlines Stocks Is Right for You

Choosing which value stocks to invest in will ultimately depend on your individual goals and allocation; however, comparing similar value stocks in the same industry can help you analyze which might be better investments for you in the long run. So, let’s take a look at the Value Grade for all of our stocks.

  • American Airlines Group Inc stock has a Value Grade of B.
  • Gol Linhas Aereas Inteligentes SA (ADR) stock has a Value Grade of A.
  • Mesa Air Group Inc stock has a Value Grade of A.

Now that you have a bit more background about each of the 3 undervalued stocks in the Airlines industry as well as their overall grades, it’s time for you to conduct additional research to see if these could fit your portfolio needs based on your goals and risk tolerance. AAII can help you figure out both and identify which investments align with what works best for you.

We do so through a program of education that teaches you to invest for yourself and become an effective manager of your own wealth—no more relying on others for your financial independence. You can rely on AAII for timeless articles on financial planning and stock-picking, unbiased research and actionable analysis that makes you a better investor.

A+ Investor adds to that qualitative teaching by giving you a powerful data suite that helps you whittle down investment decisions to find stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs) or mutual funds that meet your needs.

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Additional Resources About Airlines Stocks

Want to learn more about Airlines stocks to see if they could be the right investment for you? Check out some additional resources and articles to help you on your financial journey.

AAII Disclaimer

We make no representations or warranties that any investor will, or is likely to, achieve profits similar to those shown, because past, hypothetical or simulated performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Before making an investment decision, you should consider your circumstances and whether the information on our content is applicable to your situation. This information was prepared in good faith and we accept no liability for any errors or omissions. The full disclaimer can be read here.



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