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Financial Planning
Dispelling misconceptions can help you make an informed decision.
Charles Rotblut leads a class in AAII's new Essential Investing Video Course. Go to https://www.aaii.com/ves for more information and to subscribe.
Howard Gleckman is a senior fellow at The Urban Institute in Washington, D.C., where he is affiliated with both the Tax Policy Center and the Program on Retirement Policy. Cynthia McLaughlin and I spoke with Gleckman about the realities of long-term care insurance, including what it covers, common misconceptions, the challenges of qualifying and how it fits into a broader financial plan.
—Charles Rotblut, CFA
Cynthia McLaughlin (CM): What exactly does a long-term care policy cover?
Howard Gleckman: The definition I use for long-term care is that it is the personal assistance people need to live the best life they possibly can.
A lot of people get confused by thinking that long-term care is medical treatment. It is not, even for a chronic condition. Long-term care is personal assistance. Long-term care insurance basically exists to help pay for that personal assistance.
You pay premiums for long-term care insurance over a period of years. You then trigger benefits when you need assistance with at least two of the six activities of daily living (ADLs) or when you have cognitive impairment. The six ADLs are bathing, eating, dressing, transferring, toileting and continence.
Activities of daily living (ADLs) are basic actions that those without impairments limiting their ability to function are able to perform on a daily basis. Long-term care policies, and many other programs, use a person’s inability to perform a certain number (e.g., two or more) of these ADLs as a qualification for receiving benefits.
The six ADLs are:
Source: National Institutes of Health.
The other way that people think about needing long-term care involves instrumental activities or incidental activities of daily living (IADLs). Those are things like balancing a checkbook, cooking and driving. But long-term care insurance policies don’t cover that. They really only focus on the ADLs or cognitive impairment, and you need to have severe cognitive impairment to qualify for assistance.
About half of the people who are qualified for long-term care insurance benefits have cognitive impairment, so it’s an increasingly big deal in the long-term care insurance industry.
Instrumental, or incidental, activities of daily living (IADLs) are tasks and activities required to live independently. A key difference between IADLs and activities of daily living (ADLs) is that ADLs are tasks required for basic living. IADLs require a higher level of cognition to complete. Howard Gleckman points out that long-term care insurance policies don’t cover IADL needs.
There is no fixed list of IADLs, but here are some most often cited:
Source: Howard Gleckman and ClevelandClinic.org.
CM: What are some of the common misconceptions that people have about long-term care insurance?
The biggest misconception people have is that Medicare pays for long-term care. It does not. There are a few limited exceptions such as the Program of All-Inclusive Care for the Elderly (PACE), which combines Medicare and Medicaid. There are special needs plans, which are certain kinds of Medicare Advantage plans that may pay for long-term care, but very few people participate in them. Some Medicare Advantage plans do offer very limited personal assistance benefits.
For the most part, it’s safe to say that traditional Medicare and Medicare Advantage plans do not pay for long-term care. That has confused people for decades, and it still does.
Medicaid, the other big federal health care program that’s for very poor people, will pay for long-term care. However, you need to be very poor and very sick in order to qualify for it. If you’re a middle-income person, it is very unlikely that you have a Medicare plan that will pay for long-term care.
Similarly, people think that the Medicare supplement insurance, sometimes called Medigap, pays for long-term care, but it does not. The only way you’re going to get insurance that covers long-term care is to buy a long-term care insurance policy.
These policies come in a couple different varieties. You could get a stand-alone long-term care insurance policy, or you can get what is called a combo, or hybrid, policy that combines long-term care with annuities or other kinds of insurance products.
Charles Rotblut (CR): What are the hurdles to getting a long-term care policy? Obviously, it’s going to be tough to get a policy if you have a fatal disease. But, say you’re middle-aged. Would a preexisting condition or a family history of Alzheimer’s disease be a hurdle?
To clarify, if you have a terminal disease, companies are actually okay with selling a policy to you because you’re unlikely to need long-term care for a very long time. Again, it’s very different from health insurance. If you have Stage 4 cancer, they’ll be happy to sell you a long-term care insurance policy because you’re probably not going to live long enough to claim the benefits.
The main things providers of long-term care insurance policies worry about are Alzheimer’s disease or any other kind of dementia, Parkinson’s, and even something like very severe arthritis. These companies will underwrite for your own personal medical conditions. They will also often ask about family medical history in the underwriting process.
There’s a lot of dispute in the scientific world about how much dementia is genetic. The disease is still not understood very well, but the general sense is that some of it is genetic. So, if both of your parents and your sibling have had dementia, the insurance company is probably not going to want to cover you.
If you buy the policy at a young-enough age, like age 40, the chances of being underwritten out of the policy are pretty remote. If you buy at 55, 60 or 65 years old—which is when most people do buy long-term care policies—you have a much higher probability of being underwritten out and being unable to purchase a policy.
If you have a preexisting condition, companies may sell you a policy, but at a higher premium than the standard premium.
CR: To follow up on that, is there an ideal age to consider buying long-term care insurance? Obviously, you can qualify more easily if you’re younger, but then you’re paying premiums for a longer period as well.
That’s exactly right. The problem when you’re younger is the additional years of premium incurred. For example, 40-year-olds these days are very likely still paying off some college loans. They probably have children and are saving for college. They may be paying a home mortgage, life insurance premiums and health insurance premiums. They’ve got all these more immediate things that are consuming their discretionary income. It’s challenging to get a 40-year-old to think about a long-term care need that probably will not arise until 40 years in the future. Typically, people claim long-term care benefits around 80 years old.
So, you’re right. They will be paying premiums for more years, and premiums do rise. But the premiums are quite low for those who buy at 40. The trouble is that people have all this other stuff that gets ahead of the line, so almost nobody buys at 40.
The insurance industry will tell you that the sweet spot is probably 50 or 55 years old. That’s even a little bit young from my experience. People really buy long-term care policies at 60 or 65 years old.
Realistically, the best time to think about buying a long-term care insurance policy is probably after you’ve gotten some of those other expenses out of the way. This is probably in your 50s.
CR: If someone has been paying premiums for many years and they’re faced with either paying substantially higher premiums or taking a reduction in benefits, what should they consider? How does the math work out in such situations?
It depends very much on your personal situation. If paying those higher premiums means that you have to reduce your spending on more immediate needs—for example, medications, heating and cooling, or transportation—then I would say it is probably necessary to make the trade-off and pay the lower premiums in return for the lower benefits. If you have discretionary income and you can afford it, then you may want to keep the policy even with the higher premiums.
The other important thing to think about is that the older policies tend to be more generous than the newer policies. For example, there used to be a time when long-term care insurance companies would sell what they call lifetime benefits. That meant that there was no limit on how many years you could get that $100 or $150 per day [allotted by the typical long-term care insurance policy]. If you have a policy like that, keep it, because you’re never going to get anything that generous again.
On the other hand, if you have a policy that only covers nursing homes, you probably want to get rid of it. Chances are that you will get much of your long-term care at home and not in a nursing home.
The decision really depends a lot on your financial situation and the nature of the policy. Economists always talk about the sunk-cost fallacy—that is, if you already put a lot of money into something, should you keep putting money in or just drop it? When it comes to something like long-term care insurance, it’s more complicated than that.
CR: Some AAII members have mentioned family who experienced difficulties with qualifying for and receiving benefits.
We hear a lot about people who claim and never receive benefits. Surveys have been done about this, and the reality is that most people actually do get their promised benefits. But you need to read the fine print of your policy.
For example, the requirement that you must need assistance with at least two ADLs confuses people because it is unclear what that really means. If someone can’t walk without assistance, what does that actually mean?
That’s not a binary thing where I’m either stuck in my chair or I can dance. Say I can get to the front door, but it takes me a long time. Does needing a walker or needing to grab onto furniture because I’m very unsteady on my feet mean that I need help with ambulation? That becomes a question.
The insurance policy will describe what it means by each of these ADLs in the fine print, but how many people actually read the fine print? It’s one of these stories where, for the most part, the insurance companies pay the benefits they promise to pay. The problem is that many of the consumers don’t understand what the promise is.
As painful as it is, my advice to people is to read the policy. And if you can’t read the policy, have somebody you know—maybe even a lawyer or financial adviser—read the policy for you and help you understand exactly what it will and won’t pay for.
The U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs’ (VA) Aid and Attendance program provides monthly payments to help with the cost of personal assistance with daily activities. The program is available to qualified veterans and survivors.
Qualifications include having served on active duty for at least one day during a recognized wartime period, not being dishonorably discharged, and meeting annual income and net worth requirements.
In addition, at least one of the following must be true:
For more information about the program, go to www.va.gov/pension/aid-attendance-housebound.
Source: U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs, VA.gov.
CM: I keep reading that this industry is fragmented. How would you describe the long-term care landscape?
This is sort of two questions. The problem with the long-term care insurance companies is not so much that they’re fragmented. The problem is that the universe of companies that sell this insurance has shrunk dramatically. Fifteen years ago, there were 100 companies selling long-term care insurance. Now there’s maybe 10, and most of them are mutuals [owned by the policyholders].
If you’re a publicly traded insurance company, your shareholders do not want you selling long-term care policies. It’s too big of a risk, and long-term care insurance is too small a piece of the business to really worry about. I’ve been on shareholder calls where the analysts have basically told the managers of this type of insurance product to get rid of it because it is not worth the risk. So, most companies have gotten rid of it.
Genworth Financial, Northwestern Mutual, MassMutual and a few others still sell long-term care policies, but it’s now down to about 10 companies that are selling worthwhile policies.
The fragmentation, as I understand it, is a different issue. This fragmentation is between long-term care and health care. Think of yourself as an 80-year-old with multiple chronic conditions. Maybe you have heart disease, arthritis, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and some cognitive impairments. For some of this, you need medical treatment. For some of it, you need personal care.
The problem is that those who provide the medical treatment—the doctors and hospitals—don’t know about personal care. If you need it, they usually can’t tell you where to get it. So that means you or your caregiver, often your adult child, have to figure all this out alone. In that way, the industry is exceedingly fragmented. There’s very little communication.
My dad had congestive heart failure, and it was a nightmare trying to organize his personal care. Frankly, the only time it ever really got well-organized was when he was in hospice for the last year of his life. Hospice did a really good job of organizing all of his care. But if you’re not dying, you’re not eligible for hospice, and there’s really no way to do this without hiring a care manager or other expert.
In theory, Medicare Advantage should be able to do all that because it’s managed care. But Medicare Advantage does not work the way we all wish it would. If you’re on traditional Medicare, there’s no hope because traditional Medicare only pays for medical care, so it doesn’t care about your long-term care needs. With limited exceptions, it’s not paying for those needs or organizing them. And doctors often don’t know anything about it.
CR: If someone is trying to figure out whether to self-insure or use a long-term care policy, is there a certain guideline they can use for determining how much money they will need to cover their care expenses?
It’s just a matter of math. To be conservative, figure you’re going to need $200,000 per year if you’re single. You are going to need this amount for a couple of years if you are actuarily average.
The general formula is that your assets throw off 4% per year. So how much money do you need to throw off $200,000 per year? That’s probably the most conservative calculation you can do. If you do that, you never have to dip into the principle. You can just spend the interest and you’re good to go.
If you want to be less conservative, then you have to determine how much you’re getting in Social Security benefits and from pension and/or retirement accounts per year. Then determine how much you have in other financial assets to throw off enough money to make up the difference. These are two ways to do the calculation, but I think either way gives you a good rule of thumb to figure out what you want.
Now, let’s say you’re a couple. It is more complicated. You need to figure out if you both have annuities, long-term care insurance policies, and 401(k)s or individual retirement accounts (IRAs). You need to determine how much Social Security each of you is getting. Other factors—such as what one spouse may get in Social Security survivor benefits—must be considered as well.
To keep it simple, plan on $200,000 per year to be conservative. How much of that can be covered by your retirement income and how much from additional withdrawals? Do you have the additional assets to cover the shortfall without going broke
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