Successful investment approaches can be simple or complex. In “The Little Book That Beats the Market” (John Wiley & Sons, Inc., 2006, www.magicformulainvesting.com), Joel Greenblatt presents the “Magic Formula” investment approach that relies on two simple rules: seek out good companies with a high return on invested capital that can be purchased at a low price that provides a high pretax earnings yield.
Greenblatt measures the strength of a business by examining its return on capital, which he defines as operating profit (EBIT, earnings before interest and taxes) divided by tangible investment capital (net working capital plus net fixed assets). Stocks passing the First Cut have a return on invested capital of 25% or higher. If you do not have access to this variable, Greenblatt suggests that investors use return on assets (net income divided by assets).
To help value a business, Greenblatt takes the price-earnings ratio, inverts it and tweaks the variables slightly. Greenblatt calculates earnings yield by dividing operating earnings EBIT by the enterprise value. The enterprise value tries to reflect the minimum value to purchase a company outright. It is calculated by adding market capitalization, preferred stock, and total debt and subtracting excess cash. Stocks passing the First Cut have a minimum EBIT to enterprise value earnings yield of 25%. As a substitute, Greenblatt notes that you can look for low price-earnings ratios, but warns of avoiding firms with extremely low ratios because earnings may be unusual in some way.
Stocks that made this issue’s First Cut are also domestic, exchange-listed stocks with a minimum share price of $5.00 and a market capitalization of at least $50 million. Greenblatt also excludes financials and utilities because of their unique financial structures. Greenblatt suggests building a 20- to 30-stock portfolio by selecting five to seven stocks every two to three months.
| Company (Exchange: Ticker) |
EBIT/ Enterprise Value (%) |
Return on Capital (%) |
Price- Earnings Ratio (X) |
Return on Assets (%) |
Market Cap ($ Mil) |
Liab to Assets (%) |
Price Change 13-Wk (%) |
52-Wk (%) |
Share Price (4/17) ($) |
Description |
| i2 Technologies, Inc. (M: ITWO) | 90.3 | 45.7 | 2.0 | 37.6 | 177 | 58.5 | 31 | -19 | 8.07 | supply mgmt servs |
| United States Steel (N: X) | 50.9 | 74.8 | 1.7 | 12.6 | 3481 | 69.6 | -8 | -81 | 29.96 | steel producer |
| Genesco Inc. (N: GCO) | 49.2 | 92.5 | 3.4 | 18.1 | 410 | 45.4 | 42 | 7 | 21.35 | branded footwear |
| Innophos Holdings, Inc. (M: IPHS) | 48.3 | 79.7 | 1.4 | 31.5 | 286 | 66.7 | -26 | -24 | 13.54 | specialty phosphates |
| Dawson Geophysical (M: DWSN) | 45.8 | 70.3 | 4.0 | 15.1 | 139 | 17.6 | 13 | -76 | 17.87 | seismic data servs |
| HLTH Corporation (M: HLTH) | 42.1 | 71.5 | 5.6 | 28.2 | 1209 | 69.4 | 13 | 12 | 11.74 | health info servs |
| Olympic Steel, Inc. (M: ZEUS) | 40.4 | 40.2 | 3.4 | 13.7 | 228 | 31.9 | 19 | -56 | 21.03 | steel serv center |
| Insteel Industries, Inc. (M: IIIN) | 39.0 | 56.8 | 4.0 | 16.3 | 136 | 14.7 | -20 | -32 | 7.75 | steel wire reinforcing |
| Ceradyne, Inc. (M: CRDN) | 39.0 | 45.3 | 5.0 | 12.7 | 516 | 26.5 | -17 | -41 | 19.98 | tech ceramic prods |
| KBR, Inc. (N: KBR) | 38.7 | 30.7 | 8.8 | 5.9 | 2612 | 65.1 | 2 | -47 | 16.24 | engineer & construct |
| CF Industries Holdings (N: CF) | 38.1 | 90.6 | 5.7 | 25.6 | 3386 | 44.0 | 44 | -54 | 69.95 | fertilizers |
| Terra Industries Inc. (N: TRA) | 36.7 | 70.7 | 4.6 | 29.8 | 2811 | 49.8 | 38 | -38 | 28.19 | nitrogen prods |
| Lufkin Industries, Inc. (M: LUFK) | 34.1 | 37.2 | 5.9 | 15.3 | 477 | 22.0 | -11 | -58 | 32.08 | oilfield prods |
| ePlus Inc. (M: PLUS) | 33.8 | 27.5 | 6.9 | 3.9 | 96 | 53.3 | 15 | -10 | 11.99 | software & consulting |
| Gulf Island Fabrication (M: GIFI) | 32.9 | 43.3 | 5.0 | 8.6 | 144 | 27.6 | -23 | -72 | 10.09 | drilling platforms |
| Rowan Companies, Inc. (N: RDC) | 32.6 | 63.9 | 4.2 | 10.1 | 1809 | 41.5 | 16 | -61 | 15.99 | drilling servs |
| Wright Express Corp. (N: WXS) | 30.7 | 68.9 | 6.1 | 6.3 | 754 | 81.1 | 64 | -41 | 19.67 | pay process servs |
| Bolt Technology Corp. (M: BOLT) | 30.3 | 38.5 | 6.6 | 26.1 | 81 | 7.6 | 39 | -62 | 9.38 | oilfield servs equip |
| Spartan Motors, Inc. (M: SPAR) | 29.5 | 43.6 | 5.0 | 13.8 | 215 | 34.7 | 39 | -15 | 6.59 | custom vehicles |
| Allegheny Technologies (N: ATI) | 29.3 | 53.4 | 5.2 | 13.2 | 2891 | 53.0 | 12 | -61 | 29.50 | specialty metals |
| EarthLink, Inc. (M: ELNK) | 29.3 | 32.9 | 4.1 | 23.6 | 794 | 47.0 | -3 | -8 | 7.29 | Internet service provider |
| Foster Wheeler AG (M: FWLT) | 29.2 | 47.4 | 5.9 | 15.3 | 2753 | 86.7 | -10 | -65 | 21.78 | engineer & construct |
| Gentiva Health Services (M: GTIV) | 28.8 | 76.7 | 3.0 | 16.1 | 454 | 49.2 | -42 | -27 | 15.58 | home health servs |
| Michael Baker Corp. (A: BKR) | 27.8 | 41.9 | 7.9 | 10.1 | 231 | 51.1 | -35 | 17 | 26.03 | engineer & energy servs |
| WABCO Holdings Inc. (N: WBC) | 27.6 | 32.2 | 5.1 | 11.0 | 1054 | 66.1 | 0 | -63 | 16.48 | electromech prods |
| Oil States International (N: OIS) | 27.5 | 41.6 | 4.4 | 10.3 | 928 | 47.0 | -4 | -61 | 18.72 | oil & gas prods & servs |
| Hawk Corporation (A: HWK) | 26.8 | 30.9 | 5.0 | 8.9 | 105 | 67.8 | -32 | -32 | 12.05 | friction prods |
| OM Group, Inc. (N: OMG) | 26.8 | 26.6 | 6.4 | 15.9 | 861 | 21.2 | 44 | -52 | 28.01 | specialty chemicals |
| Versant Corporation (M: VSNT) | 25.9 | 32.6 | 7.6 | 21.4 | 62 | 16.7 | 7 | -41 | 17.00 | data mgmt software |
| Chart Industries, Inc. (M: GTLS) | 25.8 | 41.5 | 3.9 | 8.8 | 303 | 55.6 | 18 | -74 | 10.67 | equip for indus gases |
| Exchange Key: A=American Stock Exchange; M=NASDAQ; N=New York Stock Exchange. | ||||||||||
| Source: AAII’s Stock Investor Pro, Thomson Reuters, and I/B/E/S. Data as of 4/17/2009. | ||||||||||
| Data Category | Field | Operator | Factor | Compare To |
| Price and Share Statistics | Price | > | 5 | |
| Company Information | Exchange | Not Equal | Over the Counter | |
| Company Information | ADR/ADS Stock | Is False | ||
| Company Information | Sector | Not Equal | Utilities | |
| Company Information | Sector | Not Equal | Financial | |
| Company Information | Country | Equals | United States | |
| Price and Share Statistics | Market Cap | >= | 50 | |
| Enterprise Value* | > | 0 | ||
| Magic EBIT* | > | 0 | ||
| Magic Tagible Capital* | > | 0 | ||
| Magic Return on Capital* | > | 25 | ||
| Magic EBIT to Enterprise Value* | > | 25 | ||
| *Custom Field. See below for information on creating custom fields. | ||||
| Custom Field Name | Formula |
| Enterprise Value | [Market Cap Q1] + [Long-term debt Q1] + [Preferred stock Q1] + [Short-term debt Q1] - [Cash Q1] |
| Magic EBIT | [Pre-tax income 12m] + IIF(IsFieldNull ( [Interest expense 12m] ) =0,0, [Interest expense 12m] ) |
| Magic EBIT to Enterprise Value | (IIF( [Magic EBIT]>0, [Magic EBIT], null) / IIF( [Enterprise Value]>0, [Enterprise Value], null))*100 |
| Magic Tangible Capital | [Accounts receivable Q1] + [Inventory Q1] + [Cash Q1] - [Accounts payable Q1] + [Net fixed assets Q1] |
| Magic Return on Capital | (IIF( [Magic EBIT]>0, [Magic EBIT], null) / IIF( [Magic Tangible Capital]>0, [Magic Tangible Capital], null))*100 |
| Stock Investor Pro subscribers: Click here to download a .txt file with the custom fields for copying and pasting into the Custom Field Editor. | |
Discussion
FREE REPORT
Haritha N from USA posted over 4 years ago:
You need to log in as a registered AAII user before commenting.
Log InCreate an account