3 Undervalued Insurance - Property & Casualty Stocks for Thursday, May 02

By Jenna Brashear
May 02, 2024
Diamond graphic indicating best value stocks in their industry
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Based on key financial metrics such as the price-to-sales ratio, shareholder yield and the price-earnings ratio, the following 3 stocks made the list for top value stocks in the Insurance - Property & Casualty industry. Those looking for value stocks to add to their portfolio may want to use this list as a starting point for further investment research.

Why Focus on Undervalued Insurance - Property & Casualty Stocks?

Value investors seek to buy stocks at a discount to their intrinsic value. Long-term returns show that such strategies are advantageous. Value stocks, as a group, tend to outperform growth stocks over extended periods of time. Typically, value investors perform financial analysis of numerous metrics, don’t follow the herd and are long-term investors.

AAII’s A+ Investor Value Grade is derived from a stock’s Value Score. The Value Score is the percentile rank of the average of the percentile ranks of the price-to-sales ratio, price-earnings ratio, enterprise-value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) ratio, shareholder yield, price-to-book-value ratio and price-to-free-cash-flow ratio. The score is variable, meaning it can consider all six ratios or, should any of the six ratios not be valid, the remaining ratios that are valid. To be assigned a Value Score, stocks must have a valid (non-null) ratio and corresponding ranking for at least two of the six valuation ratios.

What Goes Into AAII’s Value Grade?

Stock evaluation requires access to huge amounts of data as well as the knowledge and time to sift through it all, make sense of financial ratios, read income statements and analyze recent stock movement. AAII created A+ Investor, a robust data suite that condenses data research in an actionable and customizable way suitable for investors of all knowledge levels, to help investors with that task.

AAII’s proprietary stock grades come with A+ Investor. These offer intuitive A–F grades for more than just value. It is possible for a stock to appear cheap based on one valuation metric but appear expensive on another. It is also possible for one valuation ratio to be associated with outperforming stocks during certain periods of time but not others. Some stocks may even have null values for certain metrics like the price-earnings ratio or the price-to-book ratio but not others. An example of this would be a company with losses instead of profits or a negative book value because of heavy borrowing. Negative earnings or book value result in non-meaningful ratios that are left blank or null.

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3 Undervalued Insurance - Property & Casualty Stocks

Of course, there are countless value stocks that are worth mentioning, but this is a concise list of the top 3 undervalued stocks in the Insurance - Property & Casualty industry for Thursday, May 02, 2024. Let’s take a closer look at their individual scores to see how they measure up against each other and the Insurance - Property & Casualty industry median.

Company Ticker Price/Sales Price/Earnings EV/EBITDA Shareholder Yield Price/Book Value Price/Free Cash Flow Value Grade
Assured Guaranty Ltd. AGO 4.56 6.2 15.4 6.6% 0.77 11.7 B
NI Holdings Inc NODK 0.83 na 2.2 1.8% 1.25 12.4 A
White Mountains Insurance Group Ltd WTM 2.12 9.2 4.9 0.5% 1.09 11.5 B

The Value Grade is assigned based on how each stock’s composite valuation compares to all other stocks.

The process for assigning grades starts with each variable for a given stock. The percentile rankings for all valid ratios that a stock has are calculated. So, for instance, a stock could have a price-to-book ranking in the 43rd percentile, a price-earnings ranking in the 67th percentile, a price-to-sales ranking in the 23rd percentile, etc. Then, those rankings are averaged for each stock. (A minimum of two valid variables are required, though all six will be used if available.)

Once the average of the individual variables is calculated, that average is ranked against all stocks. Put another way, each stock’s composite valuation is compared to all other stocks. These ranks are then sorted into quintiles from the cheapest 20% (a grade of A) to the most expensive 20% (a grade of F).

As always, we recommend that you conduct proper due diligence and research before investing in any security. We also suggest that investors utilize numerous grades, not just value, when it comes to deciding whether a company is a good fit for their allocation needs.

Assured Guaranty Ltd.’s Value Grade

Value Grade:

Metric Score AGO Industry Median
Price/Sales 79 4.56 1.32
Price/Earnings 9 6.2 13.8
EV/EBITDA 69 15.4 6.6
Shareholder Yield 13 6.6% 2.3%
Price/Book Value 20 0.77 1.29
Price/Free Cash Flow 35 11.7 9.1

Assured Guaranty Ltd. is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the Company provides credit enhancement products to the United States and non-United States public finance, infrastructure and structured finance markets. Its segments include Insurance and Asset Management. In the Insurance segment, the Company applies its credit underwriting judgment, risk management skills and capital markets experience primarily to offer financial guaranty insurance that protects holders of debt instruments and other monetary obligations from defaults in scheduled payments. It markets its financial guaranty insurance directly to issuers and underwriters of public finance and structured finance securities, as well as to investors in such obligations. It guarantees obligations issued principally in the United States and the United Kingdom and also guarantees obligations issued in other countries and regions, including Western Europe. The Asset Management segment provides asset management services.

Stocks with a Value Score from 81 to 100 are considered deep value, those with a score between 61 and 80 are value and so on.

Assured Guaranty Ltd. has a Value Score of 69, which is considered to be undervalued.

When you look at Assured Guaranty Ltd.’s price-to-sales ratio at 4.56 compared to the industry median at 1.32, this company has a higher price relative to revenue compared to its peers. This could make Assured Guaranty Ltd.’s stock less attractive for value investors.

Assured Guaranty Ltd.’s price-earnings ratio is 6.17 compared to the industry median at 13.80. This means it has a lower share price relative to earnings compared to its peers. This could make Assured Guaranty Ltd. more attractive for value investors.

Now, let’s assess Assured Guaranty Ltd.’s EV/EBITDA ratio, also known as enterprise multiple. At 15.4, when compared to the industry median of 6.6, the company may be considered overvalued in relation to its peers. Value investors could use the enterprise multiple to identify stocks that are considered overvalued or undervalued relative to their industry.

Shareholder yield is the sum of a stock’s dividend yield (paid over previous 12 months minus special dividends) and the percentage of net share buybacks over the previous 12 months. Assured Guaranty Ltd.’s shareholder yield is higher than its industry median ratio of 2.32%. Value investors may look for an attractive shareholder yield because it can be a powerful tool for identifying if the company has a good management team.

As one of the most common value metrics, the price-to-book ratio evaluates a company’s current market price relative to its book value. Assured Guaranty Ltd.’s price-to-book ratio is lower than its industry median ratio of 1.29. This could make Assured Guaranty Ltd. more attractive to investors looking for a new addition to their portfolio.

Lastly, let’s take a look at Assured Guaranty Ltd.’s price-to-free-cash-flow ratio (P/FCF), which can indicate a company’s market value relative to its operating cash flow. Assured Guaranty Ltd.’s price-to-free-cash-flow ratio is higher than its industry median ratio of 9.07. This could make Assured Guaranty Ltd. less attractive because the higher P/FCF ratio indicates that Assured Guaranty Ltd. is undervalued. The P/FCF ratio metric can also be viewed over a long-term time frame to see if the company's cash flow to share price value is generally improving or worsening.

NI Holdings Inc’s Value Grade

Value Grade:

Metric Score NODK Industry Median
Price/Sales 29 0.83 1.32
Price/Earnings na na 13.8
EV/EBITDA 5 2.2 6.6
Shareholder Yield 34 1.8% 2.3%
Price/Book Value 39 1.25 1.29
Price/Free Cash Flow 37 12.4 9.1

NI Holdings, Inc. is an insurance holding company. The Company is the stock holding company of Nodak Insurance Company (Nodak Insurance). Nodak Insurance is a domestic property and casualty insurance company. The Company’s segments include private passenger auto insurance, non-standard auto insurance, home and farm insurance, crop insurance, commercial insurance, and all other. The private passenger auto insurance segment writes private passenger auto insurance to provide protection against liability for bodily injury and property damage arising from automobile accidents as well as protection against loss from damage to automobiles owned by the insured. The non-standard auto insurance segment writes non-standard auto insurance. The home and farm insurance segment writes homeowners and farmowners policies. The crop insurance segment offers crop hail and multi-peril crop insurance policies. The commercial insurance segment writes commercial multi-peril policies.

Stocks with a Value Score from 81 to 100 are considered deep value, those with a score between 61 and 80 are value and so on.

NI Holdings Inc has a Value Score of 85, which is considered to be undervalued.

NI Holdings Inc’s price-to-book ratio is lower than its peers. This could make NI Holdings Inc fairly attractive for value investors when compared to the industry median at 1.29.

You can read more about NI Holdings Inc’s key financial metrics like shareholder yield, price-to-free-cash-flow and EV/EBITDA ratio, or learn more about its Momentum and Growth Grades, by subscribing to A+ Investor.

White Mountains Insurance Group Ltd’s Value Grade

Value Grade:

Metric Score WTM Industry Median
Price/Sales 59 2.12 1.32
Price/Earnings 21 9.2 13.8
EV/EBITDA 15 4.9 6.6
Shareholder Yield 41 0.5% 2.3%
Price/Book Value 33 1.09 1.29
Price/Free Cash Flow 34 11.5 9.1

White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd. is a financial service holding company. The Company is engaged in the acquisition of businesses and assets in the insurance, financial services, and related sectors, operating these businesses and assets through its subsidiaries and disposing of these businesses and assets. The Company’s segments include HG Global/BAM, Ark/WM Outrigger and Kudu. The Company conducts its business primarily in four areas: municipal bond insurance, property and casualty insurance and reinsurance, capital solutions for asset and wealth management firms and other operations. Its municipal bond insurance business is conducted through its subsidiary HG Global Ltd. Its property and casualty insurance and reinsurance business are conducted through its subsidiary Ark Insurance Holdings Limited and its subsidiaries. The Company, through its subsidiary, Kudu Investment Management, LLC, and its subsidiaries, provides capital solutions for asset and wealth management firms.

Stocks with a Value Score from 81 to 100 are considered deep value, those with a score between 61 and 80 are value and so on.

White Mountains Insurance Group Ltd has a Value Score of 76, which is considered to be undervalued.

White Mountains Insurance Group Ltd’s price-earnings ratio is 9.2 compared to the industry median at 13.8. This means that it has a lower price relative to its earnings compared to its peers. This makes White Mountains Insurance Group Ltd more attractive for value investors.

White Mountains Insurance Group Ltd’s price-to-book ratio is higher than its peers. This could make White Mountains Insurance Group Ltd less attractive for value investors when compared to the industry median at 1.29.

You can read more about White Mountains Insurance Group Ltd’s key financial metrics like shareholder yield, price-to-free-cash-flow and EV/EBITDA ratio, or learn more about its Momentum and Growth Grades, by subscribing to A+ Investor.

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Other Insurance - Property & Casualty Stock Grades

Value is just one of the five Stock Grades included in our A+ Investor service. AAII members can see the top-graded stocks—those with grades of A or B for value, growth, momentum, earnings estimate revisions and quality—on the A+ Stock Grades Screener.

Also, if you want full access to all of AAII’s premium services, you can subscribe to one convenient bundled plan called AAII Platinum where you can try out A+ Investor, AAII Dividend Investing, the Stock Superstars Report, Growth Investing and VMQ Stocks. With the other premium services, you can dive deep into additional metrics, portfolios, commentary and information about Insurance - Property & Casualty stocks as well as other industrys.

Choosing Which of the 3 Best Insurance - Property & Casualty Stocks Is Right for You

Choosing which value stocks to invest in will ultimately depend on your individual goals and allocation; however, comparing similar value stocks in the same industry can help you analyze which might be better investments for you in the long run. So, let’s take a look at the Value Grade for all of our stocks.

  • Assured Guaranty Ltd. stock has a Value Grade of B.
  • NI Holdings Inc stock has a Value Grade of A.
  • White Mountains Insurance Group Ltd stock has a Value Grade of B.

Now that you have a bit more background about each of the 3 undervalued stocks in the Insurance - Property & Casualty industry as well as their overall grades, it’s time for you to conduct additional research to see if these could fit your portfolio needs based on your goals and risk tolerance. AAII can help you figure out both and identify which investments align with what works best for you.

We do so through a program of education that teaches you to invest for yourself and become an effective manager of your own wealth—no more relying on others for your financial independence. You can rely on AAII for timeless articles on financial planning and stock-picking, unbiased research and actionable analysis that makes you a better investor.

A+ Investor adds to that qualitative teaching by giving you a powerful data suite that helps you whittle down investment decisions to find stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs) or mutual funds that meet your needs.

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Additional Resources About Insurance - Property & Casualty Stocks

Want to learn more about Insurance - Property & Casualty stocks to see if they could be the right investment for you? Check out some additional resources and articles to help you on your financial journey.

AAII Disclaimer

We make no representations or warranties that any investor will, or is likely to, achieve profits similar to those shown, because past, hypothetical or simulated performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Before making an investment decision, you should consider your circumstances and whether the information on our content is applicable to your situation. This information was prepared in good faith and we accept no liability for any errors or omissions. The full disclaimer can be read here.



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