4 Undervalued Insurance - Property & Casualty Stocks for Tuesday, September 05

By AAII Staff
September 05, 2023
Diamond graphic indicating best value stocks in their industry
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Based on key financial metrics such as the price-to-sales ratio, shareholder yield and the price-earnings ratio, the following 4 stocks made the list for top value stocks in the Insurance - Property & Casualty industry. Those looking for value stocks to add to their portfolio may want to use this list as a starting point for further investment research.

Latest Insurance - Property & Casualty Stock News

Before choosing which top Insurance - Property & Casualty stock to buy, be sure to conduct proper due diligence: analyze various financial metrics and look at historical data, public statements and news coverage.

The sub-industry of property and casualty insurance has a promising fundamental outlook. Despite some inflation in claim costs brought on by pandemics and some uncertainty regarding the size of claims resulting from the conflict in Ukraine, industry profitability is expected to increase in 2022 due to an anticipated decrease in the number of significant global catastrophe claims that have plagued most insurers in recent years. However, it's likely that these losses will force the insurance industry to release adequate extra underwriting capacity, leading to firmer rates across many lines of coverage. The state of the global and domestic economies overall, as well as how well they recover from the recession brought on by COVID19, will determine how much demand there is for specific types of insurance products, particularly those in the commercial lines sector. The sector has $989 billion in surplus (or capital) from policyholders as of September 30, 2021 (the most recent date known), which helped to fund its $701 billion written premium base. Less than a 1:1 ratio was being used by the sector to leverage its capital. The industry has "excess" capital of close to $600 billion by assuming a historical (and somewhat theoretical) benchmark 2:1 leverage of capital. Insurers will be able to take advantage of higher rates and a rise in coverage demand during an economic recovery thanks to this "extra" capital (or underwriting capacity). The S&P Property & Casualty Insurance Index increased by 8.6% year-to-date until March 18, 2022, while the S&P 1500 Index fell by 6.2%. The S&P Property & Casualty Insurance Index increased by 16% in 2021, while the S&P 1500 Index increased by 26.7%.

Why Focus on Undervalued Insurance - Property & Casualty Stocks?

Value investors seek to buy stocks at a discount to their intrinsic value. Long-term returns show that such strategies are advantageous. Value stocks, as a group, tend to outperform growth stocks over extended periods of time. Typically, value investors perform financial analysis of numerous metrics, don’t follow the herd and are long-term investors.

AAII’s A+ Investor Value Grade is derived from a stock’s Value Score. The Value Score is the percentile rank of the average of the percentile ranks of the price-to-sales ratio, price-earnings ratio, enterprise-value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) ratio, shareholder yield, price-to-book-value ratio and price-to-free-cash-flow ratio. The score is variable, meaning it can consider all six ratios or, should any of the six ratios not be valid, the remaining ratios that are valid. To be assigned a Value Score, stocks must have a valid (non-null) ratio and corresponding ranking for at least two of the six valuation ratios.

What Goes Into AAII’s Value Grade?

Stock evaluation requires access to huge amounts of data as well as the knowledge and time to sift through it all, make sense of financial ratios, read income statements and analyze recent stock movement. AAII created A+ Investor, a robust data suite that condenses data research in an actionable and customizable way suitable for investors of all knowledge levels, to help investors with that task.

AAII’s proprietary stock grades come with A+ Investor. These offer intuitive A–F grades for more than just value. It is possible for a stock to appear cheap based on one valuation metric but appear expensive on another. It is also possible for one valuation ratio to be associated with outperforming stocks during certain periods of time but not others. Some stocks may even have null values for certain metrics like the price-earnings ratio or the price-to-book ratio but not others. An example of this would be a company with losses instead of profits or a negative book value because of heavy borrowing. Negative earnings or book value result in non-meaningful ratios that are left blank or null.

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4 Undervalued Insurance - Property & Casualty Stocks

Of course, there are countless value stocks that are worth mentioning, but this is a concise list of the top 4 undervalued stocks in the Insurance - Property & Casualty industry for Tuesday, September 05, 2023. Let’s take a closer look at their individual scores to see how they measure up against each other and the Insurance - Property & Casualty industry median.

Company Ticker Price/Sales Price/Earnings EV/EBITDA Shareholder Yield Price/Book Value Price/Free Cash Flow Value Grade
Ambac Financial Group, Inc. AMBC 2.35 1.3 8.8 (0.5%) 0.48 0.4 A
Fidelity National Financial Inc FNF 1.00 22.2 8.4 7.2% 1.82 2.1 B
Heritage Insurance Holdings Inc HRTG 0.19 na na 7.9% 0.84 6.1 A
Kingstone Companies Inc KINS 0.14 na na 7.2% 0.65 na A

The Value Grade is assigned based on how each stock’s composite valuation compares to all other stocks.

The process for assigning grades starts with each variable for a given stock. The percentile rankings for all valid ratios that a stock has are calculated. So, for instance, a stock could have a price-to-book ranking in the 43rd percentile, a price-earnings ranking in the 67th percentile, a price-to-sales ranking in the 23rd percentile, etc. Then, those rankings are averaged for each stock. (A minimum of two valid variables are required, though all six will be used if available.)

Once the average of the individual variables is calculated, that average is ranked against all stocks. Put another way, each stock’s composite valuation is compared to all other stocks. These ranks are then sorted into quintiles from the cheapest 20% (a grade of A) to the most expensive 20% (a grade of F).

As always, we recommend that you conduct proper due diligence and research before investing in any security. We also suggest that investors utilize numerous grades, not just value, when it comes to deciding whether a company is a good fit for their allocation needs.

Ambac Financial Group, Inc.’s Value Grade

Value Grade:

Metric Score AMBC Industry Median
Price/Sales 62 2.35 1.00
Price/Earnings 2 1.3 11.8
EV/EBITDA 44 8.8 6.9
Shareholder Yield 55 (0.5%) 2.7%
Price/Book Value 9 0.48 1.14
Price/Free Cash Flow 0 0.4 8.7

Ambac Financial Group, Inc. is a financial services holding company. It operates three principal businesses: Legacy Financial Guarantee (LFG) Insurance, Specialty Property and Casualty Insurance, and Insurance Distribution. The LFG Insurance includes the activities of Ambac Assurance Corporation (AAC) and its wholly owned subsidiaries, including Ambac Assurance UK Limited (Ambac UK) and Ambac Financial Services LLC (AFS). The Specialty Property and Casualty Insurance includes five admitted carriers and an excess and surplus lines (E&S; or no admitted) insurer, Everspan Indemnity Insurance Company (all carriers collectively, Everspan). The Insurance Distribution includes the specialty property and casualty (P&C;) insurance distribution business, which includes managing general agents and underwriters (collectively MGA/Us), insurance wholesalers, brokers, and other distribution businesses, which includes Xchange Benefits, LLC, a P&C; MGA specializing in accident and health products.

Stocks with a Value Score from 81 to 100 are considered deep value, those with a score between 61 and 80 are value and so on.

Ambac Financial Group, Inc. has a Value Score of 85, which is considered to be undervalued.

When you look at Ambac Financial Group, Inc.’s price-to-sales ratio at 2.35 compared to the industry median at 1.00, this company has a higher price relative to revenue compared to its peers. This could make Ambac Financial Group, Inc.’s stock less attractive for value investors.

Ambac Financial Group, Inc.’s price-earnings ratio is 1.29 compared to the industry median at 11.77. This means it has a lower share price relative to earnings compared to its peers. This could make Ambac Financial Group, Inc. more attractive for value investors.

Now, let’s assess Ambac Financial Group, Inc.’s EV/EBITDA ratio, also known as enterprise multiple. At 8.8, when compared to the industry median of 6.9, the company may be considered overvalued in relation to its peers. Value investors could use the enterprise multiple to identify stocks that are considered overvalued or undervalued relative to their industry.

Shareholder yield is the sum of a stock’s dividend yield (paid over previous 12 months minus special dividends) and the percentage of net share buybacks over the previous 12 months. Ambac Financial Group, Inc.’s shareholder yield is lower than its industry median ratio of 2.71%. Value investors may look for an attractive shareholder yield because it can be a powerful tool for identifying if the company has a good management team.

As one of the most common value metrics, the price-to-book ratio evaluates a company’s current market price relative to its book value. Ambac Financial Group, Inc.’s price-to-book ratio is lower than its industry median ratio of 1.14. This could make Ambac Financial Group, Inc. more attractive to investors looking for a new addition to their portfolio.

Lastly, let’s take a look at Ambac Financial Group, Inc.’s price-to-free-cash-flow ratio (P/FCF), which can indicate a company’s market value relative to its operating cash flow. Ambac Financial Group, Inc.’s price-to-free-cash-flow ratio is lower than its industry median ratio of 8.68. This could make Ambac Financial Group, Inc. more attractive because the lower P/FCF ratio indicates that Ambac Financial Group, Inc. is undervalued. The P/FCF ratio metric can also be viewed over a long-term time frame to see if the company's cash flow to share price value is generally improving or worsening.

Fidelity National Financial Inc’s Value Grade

Value Grade:

Metric Score FNF Industry Median
Price/Sales 34 1.00 1.00
Price/Earnings 60 22.2 11.8
EV/EBITDA 42 8.4 6.9
Shareholder Yield 13 7.2% 2.7%
Price/Book Value 53 1.82 1.14
Price/Free Cash Flow 4 2.1 8.7

Fidelity National Financial, Inc. is a provider of title insurance, escrow and other title-related services, including trust activities, trustee sales guarantees, recordings and reconveyances and home warranty products. The Company provides transaction services to the real estate and mortgage industries. It operates through three segments: Title, F&G;, and Corporate and Other. The Title segment consists of the operations of its title insurance underwriters and related businesses, which provide title insurance and escrow and other title-related services, including trust activities, trustee sales guarantees, and home warranty products. The F&G; segment consists of operations of its annuities and life insurance related businesses. This segment issues a broad portfolio of annuity and life insurance products, including deferred annuities (fixed indexed and fixed rate annuities) and immediate annuities. The Corporate and Other segment consists of the operations of the parent holding company.

Stocks with a Value Score from 81 to 100 are considered deep value, those with a score between 61 and 80 are value and so on.

Fidelity National Financial Inc has a Value Score of 75, which is considered to be undervalued.

Fidelity National Financial Inc’s price-earnings ratio is 22.2 compared to the industry median at 11.8. This means that it has a higher price relative to its earnings compared to its peers. This makes Fidelity National Financial Inc less attractive for value investors.

Fidelity National Financial Inc’s price-to-book ratio is lower than its peers. This could make Fidelity National Financial Inc more attractive for value investors when compared to the industry median at 1.14.

You can read more about Fidelity National Financial Inc’s key financial metrics like shareholder yield, price-to-free-cash-flow and EV/EBITDA ratio, or learn more about its Momentum and Growth Grades, by subscribing to A+ Investor.

Heritage Insurance Holdings Inc’s Value Grade

Value Grade:

Metric Score HRTG Industry Median
Price/Sales 7 0.19 1.00
Price/Earnings na na 11.8
EV/EBITDA na na 6.9
Shareholder Yield 12 7.9% 2.7%
Price/Book Value 22 0.84 1.14
Price/Free Cash Flow 18 6.1 8.7

Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. is a property and casualty insurance holding company. The Company primarily provides personal and commercial residential insurance through its insurance company subsidiaries. It is vertically integrated and controls or manages substantially all aspects of insurance underwriting, customer service, actuarial analysis, distribution and claims processing and adjusting. Through its subsidiaries, Heritage Property & Casualty Insurance Company (Heritage P&C;), which provides personal and commercial residential property insurance and commercial general liability insurance; Narragansett Bay Insurance Company (NBIC), which provides personal and commercial residential property insurance, and Zephyr Insurance Company (Zephyr), which provides personal residential and wind-only property insurance in Hawaii. The Company provides personal residential insurance in approximately 14 eastern and gulf states and commercial residential insurance in three of those states.

Stocks with a Value Score from 81 to 100 are considered deep value, those with a score between 61 and 80 are value and so on.

Heritage Insurance Holdings Inc has a Value Score of 98, which is considered to be undervalued.

Heritage Insurance Holdings Inc’s price-to-book ratio is higher than its peers. This could make Heritage Insurance Holdings Inc less attractive for value investors when compared to the industry median at 1.14.

You can read more about Heritage Insurance Holdings Inc’s key financial metrics like shareholder yield, price-to-free-cash-flow and EV/EBITDA ratio, or learn more about its Momentum and Growth Grades, by subscribing to A+ Investor.

Kingstone Companies Inc’s Value Grade

Value Grade:

Metric Score KINS Industry Median
Price/Sales 5 0.14 1.00
Price/Earnings na na 11.8
EV/EBITDA na na 6.9
Shareholder Yield 13 7.2% 2.7%
Price/Book Value 14 0.65 1.14
Price/Free Cash Flow na na 8.7

Kingstone Companies, Inc., through its wholly owned subsidiary, Kingstone Insurance Company, operates as a property and casualty insurance company. The Company's property insurance covers the financial consequences of accidental losses to the insured's property, such as a home and the personal property in it, or a business owner's building, inventory and equipment. Casualty insurance (also referred to as liability insurance) covers the financial consequences related to the legal liability of an individual or an organization resulting from negligent acts and omissions that cause bodily injury and/or property damage to a third party. The Company's product lines include personal lines, livery physical damage, and other. Its personal lines consist of homeowners and dwelling fire multi-peril, cooperative/condominiums, renters, and personal umbrella policies. The Company writes for-hire vehicle physical damage only policies for livery and car service vehicles and taxicabs.

Stocks with a Value Score from 81 to 100 are considered deep value, those with a score between 61 and 80 are value and so on.

Kingstone Companies Inc has a Value Score of 99, which is considered to be undervalued.

Kingstone Companies Inc’s price-to-book ratio is higher than its peers. This could make Kingstone Companies Inc less attractive for value investors when compared to the industry median at 1.14.

You can read more about Kingstone Companies Inc’s key financial metrics like shareholder yield, price-to-free-cash-flow and EV/EBITDA ratio, or learn more about its Momentum and Growth Grades, by subscribing to A+ Investor.

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Other Insurance - Property & Casualty Stock Grades

Value is just one of the five Stock Grades included in our A+ Investor service. AAII members can see the top-graded stocks—those with grades of A or B for value, growth, momentum, earnings estimate revisions and quality—on the A+ Stock Grades Screener.

Also, if you want full access to all of AAII’s premium services, you can subscribe to one convenient bundled plan called AAII Platinum where you can try out A+ Investor, AAII Dividend Investing, the Stock Superstars Report, Growth Investing and VMQ Stocks. With the other premium services, you can dive deep into additional metrics, portfolios, commentary and information about Insurance - Property & Casualty stocks as well as other industrys.

Choosing Which of the 4 Best Insurance - Property & Casualty Stocks Is Right for You

Choosing which value stocks to invest in will ultimately depend on your individual goals and allocation; however, comparing similar value stocks in the same industry can help you analyze which might be better investments for you in the long run. So, let’s take a look at the Value Grade for all of our stocks.

  • Ambac Financial Group, Inc. stock has a Value Grade of A.
  • Fidelity National Financial Inc stock has a Value Grade of B.
  • Heritage Insurance Holdings Inc stock has a Value Grade of A.
  • Kingstone Companies Inc stock has a Value Grade of A.

Now that you have a bit more background about each of the 4 undervalued stocks in the Insurance - Property & Casualty industry as well as their overall grades, it’s time for you to conduct additional research to see if these could fit your portfolio needs based on your goals and risk tolerance. AAII can help you figure out both and identify which investments align with what works best for you.

We do so through a program of education that teaches you to invest for yourself and become an effective manager of your own wealth—no more relying on others for your financial independence. You can rely on AAII for timeless articles on financial planning and stock-picking, unbiased research and actionable analysis that makes you a better investor.

A+ Investor adds to that qualitative teaching by giving you a powerful data suite that helps you whittle down investment decisions to find stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs) or mutual funds that meet your needs.

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Additional Resources About Insurance - Property & Casualty Stocks

Want to learn more about Insurance - Property & Casualty stocks to see if they could be the right investment for you? Check out some additional resources and articles to help you on your financial journey.

AAII Disclaimer

We make no representations or warranties that any investor will, or is likely to, achieve profits similar to those shown, because past, hypothetical or simulated performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Before making an investment decision, you should consider your circumstances and whether the information on our content is applicable to your situation. This information was prepared in good faith and we accept no liability for any errors or omissions. The full disclaimer can be read here.



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