Letters

Members chime in on the importance of choosing Medicare options and offer additional suggestions on how to do so. Plus, mutual fund alternatives for the Level3 Passive Portfolio are given.

Mutual Funds for Level3?

Comments on “The Level3 Approach: Getting Exposure to Segments That Have Performed Well,” by John Bajkowski, in the March 2019 AAII Journal:

I’m a new member and I am interested in the Level3 Passive Portfolio. The majority of my investments are still in my 401(k) plan. I have a self-directed brokerage option with abilities to choose most mutual funds, but the plan does not allow me to select ETFs. I am looking for mutual funds correlating to the four ETFs in the Level3 portfolio. Can you suggest a resource?
—Tony from New Hampshire

Tony, here is list of mutual funds that correspond to the indexes tracked by the ETFs in the Level3 Passive Portfolio:

  • S&P 500 Equal Weight: Index Funds S&P 500 Equal Weight NoLoad Fund (INDEX);
  • CRSP U.S. Mid Cap Value Index: Vanguard Mid-Cap Value Index Fund Admiral Shares (VMVAX);
  • Real estate: Vanguard Real Estate Index Fund Admiral Shares (VGSLX);
  • Russell 1000 Sector Equal Weight: This is kind of a unique index; I can’t find a comparable mutual fund.

—Zach from New Hampshire

Bond Talk

Comment on “Will Stocks Always Outperform Bonds Over a Multi-Year Period?,” by Brian Haughey, CFA, FRM, CAIA, in the April 2019 AAII Journal:

Thanks for the overall well-done article. My concern with this and many other AAII articles, is that “this time it may well be different.” Historical look-backs do not incorporate our current low and possibly-going-lower interest rates. Or if rates rise from a current low, that means significant losses in bond principal. I would love to see a 5% return on one-year bonds, but we are nowhere near that now and getting there would be painful.

Also, these historical analyses do not consider the current market multiple. The Shiller CAPE ratio is currently over 31, a historically overvalued level. The next level of granular analysis would involve comparison in similar historical valuation scenarios.
—JLC from South Dakota

Seasoned Medicare Advice

Comments on “Health Insurance in Retirement: Medicare and Beyond,” by Steve Vernon, in the April 2019 AAII Journal:

I sold health insurance for over 30 years. The best favor you can do for yourself and your spouse is to buy the “original Medicare” and make sure you get the Medicare supplement within the six-month period of turning age 65—beyond this period, this coverage is medically written, and you could be turned down for medical reasons. At the same time get the Part D drug plan. You will have the Cadillac of health plans for 65 and over. Never change it.

If you get the itch to switch to a Medicare Advantage Plan and later you don’t like it, you may never get your Medicare supplement plan back because of health reasons. If you do get it back, you will pay a lot more for it because you are older. Some Medicare Advantage plans have co-insurance clauses, which means payments may be required before your plan pays anything. This is a real “getcha.” It’s not the same as a co-payment, which is a set amount.
—Richard Abbott from Florida

An excellent article, and good advice from Dick Abbott. With all the political discussion of “Medicare for all,” the supplemental insurance aspects are not mentioned. As the length of Steve Vernon’s article attests, these are important decisions and should not be glossed over.
—John Hallquist from Tennessee

A well-written article, which clearly demonstrates the high complexity of our Medicare system, and why it is so expensive and confusing for the average citizen. To learn about the lower cost and higher-performance medical systems in the world, read “The Healing of America: A Global Quest for Better, Cheaper, and Fairer Health Care,” by T. R. Reid.
—Marilyn Kinsey from Michigan

Asset Allocation & Alzheimer’s

Comment on “Correlation Found Between Risk of Alzheimer’s and Asset Allocation,” Dispatch in the April 2019 AAII Journal:

I would disagree with the conclusions. I am a growth at a reasonable price (GARP) investor and at age 75 I am not concerned with Alzheimer’s disease or related dementia (ADRD). I will, at some point, change my allocations since neither the next generation nor my husband are stock pickers. I believe anyone who beats “the market” in their investments has surely done a DNA test for Alzheimer’s and Parkinson’s and has prepared someone to take over in their absence.
—Carol Dallal from Texas

Discussion

Tom Forgatsch from Hawaii posted over 7 years ago:

I looked at a number of your stock screens. I have been buying stocks on my own since 1955. I buy stocks 1. low to mid value, 2. dividend producing, 3. long term value, 4. if / when the stock surpasses twice my purchase price plus cheap brokerage fee I sell half of the stock, so I end up with "free" stock. Your screens are overpriced and very few dividend producing stocks. I go thru your screens and may find one or two that fit my method. I buy plus or minus $30. stocks because you get dividends based on number of shares not price of the share. It has worked for me. I have 102 stocks in my portfolio; therefore, diversified. I currently have 3 dogs (bad stocks). Thank you


Tom Forgatsch from HI posted over 7 years ago:

TOM’S STOCK BUYING RULES Buy only dividend producing stocks - more than 1% dividend. Buy only stock that have a history of dividends and increasing raise their dividends. Only mid value stocks lower than $40.00 per share - with past 3 year history of higher share price. No - LLC partnerships - tax cost and late paperwork to IRS. ADR - taxed therefore lower percent to you. Consumer high use stock, older company or companies up for buy out. Example: consumer staples, Energy electric companies - No oil or gas. Percent speculation - lesser than 2% of companies Go over other “brokers” guesses for possible buys. Hold for long term tax advantage. Sell losers if need money for other buys. It helps your tax write off. Diversify with all across companies and high number of stocks in portfolio. If stocks more than double their share price - could sell off half plus broker’s fee and have half as “free stocks”. Buy in lots of 100s, 200s, 400s, etc. to allow 1/2 sell off or re-buy more of the same. In your computer account, go to “position list” and “unrealized gain” list of more data plus more views of purchase vs. current price and percent dividend. Dividends are paid per share - not dependent on high price shares, but number of shares. Buy only from discount brokers - save on high fees/your guess is as good as theirs/ stop account milling.


Richard Friary from MT posted over 6 years ago:

Dear Mr. Rotblut: I was delighted to learn from the August issue of the Journal that you are preparing for publication in the September issue an article dealing with defined-maturity bond funds. Some time ago I became a devotee of those funds issued by iShares, and formed a ladder with them. Two points concerning them leave me feeling somewhat uncertain, and perhaps you could address them in your article. 1) I have no idea when newly issued shares of a fund become available, so I cannot buy them at the issue price. This leaves me to think I might be overpaying. 2) Only in boilerplate does iShares say anything about when in the due year the shares are to be redeemed. It promises to redeem them within the due year, of course. However, anyone relying on the redemption to provide for living expenses can only take cold comfort in a payout that might occur 12 months in the future. Thank you for your consideration. 406-8802448


Gaylon Gonzales from TX posted over 6 years ago:

Anyone notice that Road Runner stock (RRTS) was sold out of Shadow Stock portfolio in January for around $0.49 and is now over $9.00??? AND, that's after a split!!!


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