Dividend Yields Are Higher Now Than in Recent Years

Stocks with yields significantly higher than current medians are alluring, but it’s essential to thoroughly analyze the stock before investing.

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Dividend yields for exchange-traded stocks are not only above their year-ago levels but also above their average yields for the past several years.

Two factors determine a stock’s dividend yield.

The first is the stock’s price. Dividend yields are calculated by dividing the 12-month indicated yield by the share price. This leads to an inverse relationship between yield and valuations. The yield decreases as a stock’s price increases. The yield rises when a stock’s price falls. The latter has happened so far this year as of press time.

The second factor is rate of dividend growth. Yields rise when dividend growth is stronger than the stock price’s rate of increase. When the stock’s price rises faster than the dividend’s growth rate, the yield decreases.

Median Dividend Yields for Exchange-Listed Stocks

The median yield for dividend-paying exchange-traded stocks was 2.8% as of mid-March 2025. This compares to the three-, five- and seven-year median yields of 2.4%. (We required stocks to have a minimum market capitalization of $30 million and a minimum share price of $5.00.)

There is a size effect in these numbers. When we exclude S&P 500 index stocks from the universe of dividend payers, the median current yield rises to 3.0%. Average three-, five- and seven-year yields are also slightly higher at 2.5%. This difference reflects the higher valuations that large-cap stocks trade at.

Median yields are useful for understanding what is a high or low yield in the current market environment. Average yields are higher because of the skewing effect of the highest-yielding stocks. The average yield for all stocks (including S&P 500 members) is 3.7%. This is up from the three-, five- and seven-year average yields of 2.9%.

While we understand the allure of seeking stocks with yields significantly higher than current medians, it’s essential to thoroughly analyze the stock first. High yields can signal significant risks. Review the company’s financial statements to ensure it is profitable and the dividend can be maintained or, ideally, grown over time. It is also prudent to examine the company’s dividend policy and business model before making investment decisions based on yield alone.

Discussion

James F from USA posted over 1 year ago:

Foreign stocks typically pay much higher dividends because it is harder for them to attract capital. I would like to see articles about evaluation of these stocks for inclusion in a portfolio. For example, Petrobras (PBR) $14.47 share, has a market cap of 48 billion and a 4.8 PE, Pays a 18% dividend. Thungela resources has a share price of $5.51, a PE of 3.8, a market cap of 35 B, and pays a 10% dividend.


THOMAS Z from IL posted about 1 year ago:

"Two factors determine a stock’s dividend yield. The first is the stock’s price. ... The second factor is rate of dividend growth." Disagree; the 2nd factor in div yield is simply the current dividend level ($/sh). Its rate of growth has nothing to do with the dividend yield. If we were looking at how the dividend yield is changing, *then* the rate of dividend growth would matter. But the other factor would be how the stock price is changing.


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