Since 1987, AAII members have been answering the same simple question each week:
Do you feel the direction of the market over the next six months will be up (bullish), no change (neutral) or down (bearish)?
The results are compiled into the AAII Investor Sentiment Survey,
which offers insight into the mood of individual investors.
Data represents what direction members feel the
stock market will be in next 6 months.
The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey has become a widely followed measure of the mood of individual investors. The weekly survey results are published in financial publications including Barron's and Bloomberg and are widely followed by market strategists, investment newsletter writers and other financial professionals.
A modest decrease in the percentage of individual investors who expect stock prices to decline sent pessimism to a four-month low. Bearish sentiment, however, remains close to its historical average in the latest AAII Sentiment Survey. Additionally, this week’s survey shows small increases in optimism and neutral sentiment.
Bullish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months, rose 0.4 percentage points to 32.7%. Optimism is below its historical average of 38.5% for the 17th consecutive week and the 22nd time out of the last 23 weeks.
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Over the years, AAII analysts have examined the weekly results and have tried to give some perspective to the data. These articles are the results of some of this analysis.Analyzing the AAII Sentiment Survey Without Hindsight »