AAII Stock Ideas: All-Star Stocks

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In these volatile markets, we wanted to make sure our valued members get access to the best information possible to help you navigate the uncertainty. This is why you may have noticed the recent enhancements to our Stock Ideas Update email.


Each week, we are sending you education and stock ideas that are relevant to today’s market. Markets like these expose bargains, so we want to highlight a few ideas that can help you replenish your portfolio through sound strategies with good long-term performance.

If you find this information valuable and want an edge throughout this market volatility, you can access robust stock screens and evaluations through A+ Investor, a suite of rigorous investment tools that includes diversification analysis, stock evaluators and more than 50 stock screens updated every day.

This week we cover our Stock All-Stars. These are stocks that pass multiple screens and can be found by using AAII.com’s powerful My Screens feature.


 

 


 

Please read on to learn more about our All-Stars and see the stocks that currently pass four or more of the stock screening strategies that AAII tracks.

29 All-Star Stocks Passing the Most Screens

Over the years, AAII has studied the works of many successful investors. Our goal has been to learn from the winning strategies and techniques of investment legends, modern day investment professionals with a proven record of long-term success and even prominent academic research on investing. The desire has been to use this knowledge to create screening strategies that investors can use to identify interesting investment candidates.

Screening is filtering the stock universe down to a small list of attractive stock ideas.

There are around 40 quantitative screening strategies on AAII.com developed from the works of successful gurus, along with 20 screens based upon academic research and investment factors that help you to identify promising investment ideas. The screens range from deep value approaches following the philosophy of investment gurus such as Warren Buffett to earnings and price momentum strategies championed by William O’Neil.

Stocks Passing the Most Screens

In looking at the stocks that pass the screens, an interesting question arises: Is a stock that passes multiple screening approaches more attractive than another stock that just passes one screening approach? Possibly, if the screening approaches that a stock passes are based upon solid financial principles and are diverse enough to capture unique yet desirable qualities.

There are 972 stocks that currently pass at least one of the 60+ screening strategies presented on AAII.com, but there are only 29 exchange-listed stocks passing four or more screens, and they are the stocks that are presented below.

The stocks are ranked by how close their price relates to their 52-week high price. With the dramatic market ups and downs over the course of this year, it is interesting to identify which companies are close to hitting new highs. Evercore Inc. (EVR) passes eight of our screens and is trading near its 52-week high. Evercore is a global investment banking advisory company.

For the most part, the stocks currently passing multiple screens are meeting the criteria for value or growth approaches that identify companies with low prices relative to company financial measures, such as assets or earnings, or companies exhibiting strong, consistent and prolonged growth. For example, the Buffett Hagstrom screen combines price relative to free cash flow, historical earnings growth, industry-beating margins and return on equity. All of these elements are well known and well used by value investors. The approach identifies “excellent” businesses based on the prospects for the industry and the ability of management to capitalize on opportunities for the ultimate benefit of shareholders. When combined, the characteristics help to indicate if a candidate merits further analysis.

The table lists two price-earnings ratio calculations: one based upon trailing earnings per share, and one that is determined using forward earnings expected for the current year. The price-earnings ratio is a basic valuation measure, but it can be more difficult to use during economic turning points. If you see a forward price-earnings ratio that is lower than the trailing ratio, it indicates that analysts are expecting future earnings to be higher.

The market capitalization (number of shares outstanding times the share price) is a common way to measure the size of a firm. With a market cap of $30.5 billion, Cadence Design Systems Inc. (CDNS) is the largest company to pass four or more screens. Cadence Design Systems provides solutions that enable its customers to design electronic products.

While you cannot automatically consider a group of consensus stocks to be a diversified portfolio, they may present a good starting point for constructing your personal portfolio. Optimally, the group of screening approaches a stock passes is diverse enough to capture unique, yet desirable qualities.
 


All-Star Stocks: Stocks Passing the Most Screens (Ranked by Price as a % of 52-Week High)

Company Ticker Last
Price
($)
(11/3)
52-Wk
High-
Low
($)
#
of
Screens
Passed
Screens Passed Trailing
P/E
Ratio
(X)
Forward
P/E
Ratio
(X)
Market
Cap
($ mil)
Timken Co. TKR 63.94 (64.50 – 22.26) 4 Dual Cash Flow, Est Rev Up 5%, Kirkpatrick Bargain, P/E Relative 13.9 15.3 4,499
Green Brick Partners Inc. GRBK 19.75 (19.94 – 5.66) 4 O’Shaughnessy Growth II, O’Shaughnessy Small Cap Growth & Value, P/E Relative, Zweig 9.0 8.6 906
Sleep Number Corp. SNBR 67.07 (67.72 – 15.27) 6 Est Rev Top 30 Up, Est Rev Up 5%, Kirkpatrick Bargain, Kirkpatrick Growth, O’Shaughnessy Small Cap Growth & Value, P/E Relative 18.7 16.1 1,759
The Providence Service Corp. PRSC 123.91 (126.00 –- 40.40) 4 Kirkpatrick Bargain, Kirkpatrick Growth, O’Shaughnessy Growth II, O’Shaughnessy Small Cap Growth & Value -- 20.8 1,652
Cadence Design Systems Inc. CDNS 113.59 (118.22 – 51.39) 4 Buffett Hagstrom, Fundamental Rule of Thumb, P/E Relative, Value on the Move—PEG With Hist Growth 28.7 41.0 30,507
Axos Financial Inc. AX 29.46 (30.73 – 13.69) 5 Driehaus Revised, Est Rev Up 5%, Lakonishok, P/E Relative, Value on the Move—PEG With Hist Growth 8.9 9.5 1,610
Evercore Inc. EVR 80.15 (84.74 – 33.25) 8 Buffett Hagstrom, Buffettology EPS Growth, Buffettology Sustainable Growth, High Relative Dividend Yield, Dreman With Est Revisions, Est Rev Top 30 Up, Est Rev Up 5%, P/E Relative 14.4 15.0 3,732
MarineMax Inc. HZO 32.03 (34.06 – 7.25) 4 Est Rev Up 5%, O’Shaughnessy Growth II, P/E Relative, Price-to-Sales 11.7 8.3 648
Escalade, Inc. ESCA 21.39 (22.78 – 4.69) 4 Foolish Small Cap 8, O’Shaughnessy Growth II, O’Shaughnessy Small Cap Growth & Value, Oberweis Octagon 12.3 12.2 264
Logitech International LOGI 88.14 (95.71 – 31.37) 6 Buffett Hagstrom, Buffettology EPS Growth, Est Rev Up 5%, Return on Equity, Value on the Move—PEG With Est Growth, Value on the Move—PEG With Hist Growth 21.6 24.8 14,602
Lumber Liquidators Holdings LL 26.78 (29.60 – 3.77) 4 Est Rev Up 5%, Kirkpatrick Value, O’Shaughnessy Growth II, O’Shaughnessy Small Cap Growth & Value 23.1 17.8 638
Mr. Cooper Group Inc. COOP 22.09 (25.14 – 4.31) 4 Kirkpatrick Bargain, Kirkpatrick Growth, O’Shaughnessy Growth II, O’Shaughnessy Small Cap Growth & Value 4.7 2.6 1,915
PulteGroup, Inc. PHM 43.15 (49.70 – 17.12) 5 Neff, O’Shaughnessy Growth Market Leaders, P/E Relative, Value on the Move—PEG With Est Growth, Value on the Move—PEG With Hist Growth 8.8 8.8 10,928
Tractor Supply Co. TSCO 135.99 (157.07 – 63.89) 5 Buffett Hagstrom, Neff, P/E Relative, Return on Equity, Templeton 20.7 19.9 15,519
Lithia Motors Inc. LAD 249.18 (288.56 – 55.74) 4 Dreman With Est Revisions, Est Rev Up 5%, Muhlenkamp, O’Shaughnessy Growth II 15.9 13.7 6,089
Xpel Inc. XPEL 27.38 (31.98 – 7.50) 4 Buffettology EPS Growth, Buffettology Sustainable Growth, Foolish Small Cap 8, Fundamental Rule of Thumb 49.4 48.7 684
D. R. Horton Inc. DHI 69.46 (81.21 – 25.51) 4 Inve$tWare Quality Growth, O’Shaughnessy Growth Market Leaders, Value on the Move—PEG With Est Growth, Value on the Move—PEG With Hist Growth 12.5 11.8 24,299
Big Lots, Inc. BIG 48.48 (57.24 – 10.13) 4 Fundamental Rule of Thumb, O’Shaughnessy All Cap, O’Shaughnessy Growth II, O’Shaughnessy Small Cap Growth & Value 2.6 6.0 1,869
Renewable Energy Group Inc. REGI 54.73 (65.65 – 16.05) 4 Fundamental Rule of Thumb, Kirkpatrick Bargain, Magic Formula, O’Shaughnessy Growth II 5.3 16.6 2,216
USANA Health Sciences, Inc. USNA 76.55 (92.26 – 43.01) 4 Buffett Hagstrom, Fundamental Rule of Thumb, Magic Formula, Price-to-Sales 14.0 13.9 1,590
Spark Energy Inc. SPKE 9.39 (11.47 – 5.25) 4 Fundamental Rule of Thumb, O’Shaughnessy All Cap, Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, Price-to-Sales 5.9 -- 324
Raymond James Financial RJF 79.98 (102.45 – 54.21) 6 Buffettology EPS Growth, High Relative Dividend Yield, Dreman With Est Revisions, Est Rev Up 5%, Lakonishok, P/E Relative 12.7 12.6 10,485
PennyMac Financial Services PFSI 52.52 (67.77 – 13.14) 6 Dreman With Est Revisions, Est Rev Up 5%, Fundamental Rule of Thumb, O’Shaughnessy Growth II, Oberweis Octagon, P/E Relative 4.4 3.0 3,679
Mohawk Industries, Inc. MHK 116.99 (153.05 – 56.62) 5 Dreman With Est Revisions, Est Rev Up 5%, Kirkpatrick Bargain, Lakonishok, P/E Relative 15.4 14.8 7,347
Superior Group of Companies SGC 21.82 (28.58 – 6.10) 4 Graham—Defensive Investor Non-Utility, O’Shaughnessy Small Cap Growth & Value, Oberweis Octagon, Price-to-Sales 10.6 12.0 334
JinkoSolar Holding Co. JKS 64.12 (90.20 – 11.42) 4 Est Rev Up 5%, Kirkpatrick Bargain, O’Shaughnessy Growth II, Oberweis Octagon 15.1 16.3 2,599
BOK Financial Corp. BOKF 61.75 (88.28 – 34.57) 4 High Relative Dividend Yield, Est Rev Up 5%, Lakonishok, P/E Relative 9.4 10.2 4,130
Horizon Bancorp Inc. HBNC 13.02 (19.48 – 7.42) 4 High Relative Dividend Yield, Est Rev Up 5%, Lakonishok, P/E Relative 8.5 8.6 544
Mastech Digital Inc. MHH 16.23 (29.98 – 7.25) 4 Buffettology EPS Growth, Buffettology Sustainable Growth, O’Shaughnessy Growth II, O’Shaughnessy Tiny Titans 20.3 13.9 178
Source: AAII Stock Investor Pro, Refinitiv and I/B/E/S. Data as of 11/3/2020.

 

 

Keep in mind that no matter how well a stock screening methodology has performed (or how badly it has underperformed) over the long term, stock screening is only the first step in the stock selection process. You will want to do your homework to see why these companies are at their current levels. Only then will you gain insight into those that will continue to languish and those that may eventually flourish.

The stocks meeting the criteria of the approach do not represent a “recommended” or “buy” list. It is important to perform due diligence to verify the financial strength of the passing companies and to identify those stocks that match your investing tolerances and constraints before committing your investment dollars. Keep in mind that the quantitative screens AAII has developed are based upon our interpretations of published works tied to the market gurus.

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