Remembering AAII's Derek Hageman
by Charles Rotblut | March 30, 2023
This past weekend, we lost Derek Hageman to illness.
Many of you got to know Derek through his work as the editor of AAII Dividend Investing (DI) or his many articles in the AAII Journal. You may have seen him present or participate in an AAII webinar. Some of you were fortunate enough to have met Derek in person at the 2019 AAII conference.
To those of us at AAII, Derek was both a colleague and a friend. He was a pleasure to work and converse with. Derek consistently found the right mix of professionalism, hard work, creativity, collegiality and humor.
This was evident from the start. In his first DI weekly commentary, Derek coined a phrase that was associated with him from that day forward: “Wishing you green arrows.” The phrase is a reference to the upward-pointing arrows we show on the Dividend Investing website for a stock that has increased its dividend. We now also use the upward pointing arrows for stocks, mutual funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) whose A+ Investor Grades have improved. Nevertheless, it will be impossible for any of us to say “green arrows” without thinking of Derek.
As an investor, he was a card-carrying member of the value investing club. Here’s how Derek introduced himself to DI subscribers: “While I enjoyed Bill Browder’s high finance thriller ‘Red Notice’ and would love to replicate Kurt Vonnegut’s infallible system for stock investing in the book ‘The Sirens of Titan,’ the set of beliefs and principles that guide my investment decision-making process would be described as value or contrarian investing. I look for investments that I believe to be undervalued and/or out of favor. To be concise, I believe in Warren Buffett’s dictum on investing that it is wise ‘to be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.’”
Derek also popularized the term “three pillars of dividend investing.” (“Three pillars” is a reference to the logo used for DI.) Those pillars are a firm’s growth trends, financial strength/quality and valuation. Growth trends include rising cash flow from operations and dividends as well as good profitability. Quality means reasonable to low levels of debt leverage ratios and sustainable dividends. Valuation centers on a stock’s relative dividend yield.
Beyond AAII Dividend Investing, Derek was involved in the oversight of all AAII model portfolios, contributed to project development and enhancements, managed our research staff and wrote regularly for the AAII Journal among other tasks. He brought fresh, exciting ideas to our First Cut Stocks screening articles. Those included “Karate Chop: Recent Stock Splits” (June 2021) and “Sweet and Savory Halloween Treats” (October 2021).
Beyond what you saw in his writings and presentations, Derek was a former Peace Corps volunteer. He also had great taste in music, enjoyed traveling and loved getting outdoors. He never stopped being a Minnesota Twins and Vikings fan even when, much to his chagrin, both teams disappointed him. Derek was also an Ironman finisher—an event consisting of a 2.4-mile swim followed by a 112-mile bike ride and a 26.2 mile run.
I was fortunate to share an endurance event with him. I mention it because I experienced firsthand how the old adage of actions speaking louder than words exemplified Derek.

In February 2020, Derek joined me to do the Hustle Chicago stair climb. This is an annual fundraiser for the Respiratory Health Association that involves taking the stairs up all 94 floors of the formerly named John Hancock tower. I climbed the 94 floors in 18 minutes, 27 seconds. Derek did it in 17 minutes, 22 seconds.
After we made it to the top floor, I momentarily passed out. The emergency staff at the event sent me to the hospital out of precaution. (Everything turned out to be fine, fortunately. It was mostly a combination of dehydration and a lack of carbohydrates.) Derek accompanied me and another friend of mine who also did the climb, James, to the hospital. James and his wife knew my wife, but Derek had only met her once. Nonetheless, Derek stayed in the emergency room with James and me until my wife could arrive. It was a gesture of kindness that I’ll never forget. It spoke volumes about who Derek was as a person.
On behalf of everyone at AAII, we’ll miss you, Derek. May your memory be a blessing.
Those wishing to make a donation in honor of Derek can do so at the Pancreatic Cancer Action Network website.
-
Three Pillars for Successful Dividend Investing
A look at a total-return strategy that seeks stocks that have the potential to rise in price and make larger dividend payments in the future. -
Pros and Cons of Two Dividend Investing Strategies
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Tilting AAII’s Asset Allocation Models to Match Your Growth or Value Style
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One of the challenges for mutual fund and exchange-traded fund (ETF) investors is deciding whether to use an actively managed (“active”) or a passively managed (index) fund. -
The Carrie Finances: Using a Mini-Budget to Get Back on Track
In her latest My Investing Discoveries blog post, Anine Sus finds a budgeting hack that helps her bridge a temporary shortfall in her monthly savings.
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AAII Sentiment Survey
Pessimism among individual investors decreased but remains above average for the sixth consecutive week in the latest AAII Sentiment Survey. Both neutral sentiment and bullish sentiment increased.
Bullish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months, rose 1.6 percentage points to 22.5%. Despite this increase, optimism is still at an unusually low level for the sixth consecutive week and the 46th time out of the past 65 weeks. Bullish sentiment is below its historical average of 37.5% for the 69th time out of the past 71 weeks.
Neutral sentiment, expectations that stock prices will stay essentially unchanged over the next six months, rose 1.7 percentage points to 31.9%. This small increase puts neutral sentiment above its historical average of 31.5%.
Bearish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will fall over the next six months, fell 2.8 percentage points to 45.6%. This is the fifth consecutive week and the 44th time out of the past 65 weeks that bearish sentiment is at an unusually high level. Bearish sentiment is also above its historical average of 31.0% for the 66th time out of the past 71 weeks.
The bull-bear spread (bullish minus bearish sentiment) rose by 4.8 percentage points to –23.1% but remains unusually low for the sixth consecutive week. The bull-bear spread is at an unusually low level for the 48th time out of the past 65 weeks.
Historically, the S&P 500 index has gone on to realize above-average and above-median returns during the six- and 12-month periods following unusually low readings for bullish sentiment and the bull-bear spread. Similarly, the market benchmark has gone on to realize above-average and above-median returns during the six- and 12-month periods following unusually high readings for bearish sentiment.
With recent headlines, along with the lingering worry of economic growth and inflation, individual investors are reflecting concern with their investment choices.
This week’s special question asked AAII members if they agree with the Federal Reserve’s decision to raise interest rates by just a quarter point (0.25%). Here are the responses:
- Yes, it was the right decision: 62.9%
- No, they should have raised interest rates by a larger amount: 11.2%
- No, they should not have raised interest rates: 15.4%
- No, they should have lowered interest rates: 1.1%
- Not sure/no opinion: 8.1%
Bullish: 22.5%, up 1.6 points
Neutral: 31.9%, up 1.7 points
Bearish: 45.6%, down 3.3 points
Bullish: 37.5%
Neutral: 31.5%
Bearish: 31.0%
See more Sentiment Survey results.
March 23, 2023 March Charts of Interest
March 16, 2023 Banks Behaving Badly, and How Your Accounts Are Insured
March 9, 2023 Both Small-Cap and Large-Cap Stocks Rebound Strongly
March 2, 2023 Buffett on Buybacks, Dividends and Investing Mistakes
Discussion
Mike Gadell from TX posted over 3 years ago:
So sorry to learn of Derek's passing. Condolences to his family and friends. As a DI member I always enjoyed his commentary.
Rob Adams from NC posted over 3 years ago:
I'm very sorry to hear of Derek Hageman's passing. He was way too young. My condolences to his family, friends, and colleagues.
Tom Talbot from NJ posted over 3 years ago:
I'm shocked and saddened by this news. I very much enjoyed Derek's commentary, and if I'm not mistaken, believe he was one of the first (or THE first) to start producing live webcasts, with others (Wayne, Charles, John) soon to follow. I always looked forward to his video Weekly Update for the Dividend Portfolio. Condolences to his family and also, in particular, his AAII family. He'll be missed by many of us. RIP
Tim Wheeler from Michigan posted over 3 years ago:
I'm so sad to hear of Derek's passing. The principles of investing he taught will remain with me for my lifetime. My condolences to all who knew him.
Wayne Paulson from Minnesota posted over 3 years ago:
Sad to see my Minnesota boy leave us…. I’ll cheer louder this year for our beloved Vikings and Twins.
John Schwerdt from Tennessee posted over 3 years ago:
I lost my wife to pancreatic cancer 3 weeks ago. I immediately made a donation to Pancreatic Cancer Action Network, which I learned of when reading the memorial to Derek Hageman. A terrible disease that takes its victims far too quickly. I'm indebted to Derek, not only for the education I got from his articles, but for being the instrument that introduced me to an organization that is fighting this disease.
Bill Roebuck from New Hampshire posted over 3 years ago:
Very sad and I sincerely sorry. He was a wonderful teacher of investing. Far too short of a life!
Barry from TX posted over 3 years ago:
I was a big fan of Derek's purposeful thinking process and the useful conclusions it produced. Among the sources of financial "education" I follow, Derek stood out. Derek, thanks for doing your job with the same focus, dedication, and high energy you brought from your distance-running avocation. Run on.
Andrew from NM posted over 3 years ago:
The loss of a friend always leaves a hole in your life. My condolences to Charles and all Derek's family and friends.
Eddie from va posted over 3 years ago:
Very shocked at Derek Hageman's demise but I was better able to see why he passed so young. I lost a son at age 45 to the same thing. Derek's loss was a shock to me and I am sure to his family more so. I wish them condolences and good memories. I read just about all of his weekly and monthly commentary regarding DI and loved his scholarly bent that just oozed with down to earth practicality. I wish for those left behind that you know that you are not alone. He has left a big shoe and my hope is that this awful disease is conquered soon.
Charles Rotblut from Illinois posted over 3 years ago:
Thank you for all the kind comments. They are appreciated. -Charles
Charles Rotblut from Illinois posted over 3 years ago:
John - I'm sorry for your loss. May your wife's memory be a blessing.
-Charles
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