AAII Sentiment Investing Articles
The Fed Model’s Role in Market Valuation and Sentiment Analysis
May 2026 by John Bajkowski, Charles Rotblut
The Fed Model offers a simple and intuitive way to compare stock and bond valuations, but its theoretical and practical weaknesses need to be understood.
May 2026 by John Bajkowski, Charles Rotblut
The Fed Model offers a simple and intuitive way to compare stock and bond valuations, but its theoretical and practical weaknesses need to be understood.
Using New Highs and New Lows to Measure Market Breadth
April 2026 by John Bajkowski
The new highs/new lows indicator provides a simple yet powerful window into the market’s internal health.
April 2026 by John Bajkowski
The new highs/new lows indicator provides a simple yet powerful window into the market’s internal health.
The Great Market Indicator Debate
March 2026 by Jenna Brashear
Join your fellow investors in a debate on two market indicators: the Fed Model versus the yield curve.
March 2026 by Jenna Brashear
Join your fellow investors in a debate on two market indicators: the Fed Model versus the yield curve.
How to Use Short Interest as a Market Sentiment Indicator
November 2025 by Charles Rotblut
Short interest reveals how defensively or complacently institutional investors are positioned.
November 2025 by Charles Rotblut
Short interest reveals how defensively or complacently institutional investors are positioned.
Looking Beyond Price Trends With the McClellan Oscillator
October 2025 by Wayne A. Thorp
The oscillator exposes whether market strength reflects broad-based buying or narrow leadership, a distinction that often determines whether rallies continue or reverse.
October 2025 by Wayne A. Thorp
The oscillator exposes whether market strength reflects broad-based buying or narrow leadership, a distinction that often determines whether rallies continue or reverse.
Reading Minds: Combining AAII’s Investor Pulse With BI’s Community Intelligence
October 2025 by Wayne A. Thorp, Doug Gerlach
AAII’s surveys historically reach extremes just before major market turning points, while BetterInvesting’s tools reveal what investment clubs are buying and the analytical thoughts of seasoned individual investors.
October 2025 by Wayne A. Thorp, Doug Gerlach
AAII’s surveys historically reach extremes just before major market turning points, while BetterInvesting’s tools reveal what investment clubs are buying and the analytical thoughts of seasoned individual investors.
Using Moving Averages to Guide Investment Decisions
September 2025 by Wayne A. Thorp, John Bajkowski
Moving averages can help distinguish between meaningful price movements and random fluctuations.
September 2025 by Wayne A. Thorp, John Bajkowski
Moving averages can help distinguish between meaningful price movements and random fluctuations.
Making Sense of Sentiment Data
August 2025 by Jenna Brashear
Share your perspective and challenges when it comes to interpreting and applying sentiment data to your strategy.
August 2025 by Jenna Brashear
Share your perspective and challenges when it comes to interpreting and applying sentiment data to your strategy.
Using the Arms Index (TRIN) for Market Breadth Analysis
August 2025 by Wayne A. Thorp
The most reliable signals occur when extreme TRIN readings align with other technical indicators and happen during high-volume sessions.
August 2025 by Wayne A. Thorp
The most reliable signals occur when extreme TRIN readings align with other technical indicators and happen during high-volume sessions.
Identifying Future Economic Changes With the Yield Curve
July 2025 by Cynthia McLaughlin
A positive, upward-sloping yield curve is a sign of economic expansion. A negative, inverted yield curve is a harbinger of economic contraction.
July 2025 by Cynthia McLaughlin
A positive, upward-sloping yield curve is a sign of economic expansion. A negative, inverted yield curve is a harbinger of economic contraction.
The Put-Call Ratio: Viewing Market Sentiment Through Options Activity
June 2025 by Wayne A. Thorp
During periods of fear or euphoria, the CBOE equity put-call ratio can inform your judgment by showing where sentiment may have gone too far.
June 2025 by Wayne A. Thorp
During periods of fear or euphoria, the CBOE equity put-call ratio can inform your judgment by showing where sentiment may have gone too far.
Navigating Market Cycles With Shiller’s CAPE Ratio
May 2025 by Wayne A. Thorp
The CAPE ratio empowers long-term investors to navigate volatile markets, forecast returns and make smarter decisions grounded in historical valuation trends.
May 2025 by Wayne A. Thorp
The CAPE ratio empowers long-term investors to navigate volatile markets, forecast returns and make smarter decisions grounded in historical valuation trends.
Understanding the VIX: A Practical Guide
April 2025 by Wayne A. Thorp
The VIX is a widely watched metric that tracks expected volatility in the stock market. How you can use it to gauge potential market turning points.
April 2025 by Wayne A. Thorp
The VIX is a widely watched metric that tracks expected volatility in the stock market. How you can use it to gauge potential market turning points.